Casper Ruud vs Karen Khachanov Prediction & Picks - ATP Italian Open

ATP - ATP Italian Open

ATP 12 Norway
Casper Ruud
5/13/26 09:00
ATP 22
Karen Khachanov

Prediction:

 

Over 2.5 Sets

+155
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 by Bradley Gibbs | in ATP Italian Open Picks

At the ATP event in Rome, Casper Ruud and Karen Khachanov will lock horns on Wednesday. The world number 15 and the world number 25 will battle it out for a place in the semi-finals of this prestigious clay-court event. The Russian had made a reasonably poor start to the European clay-court season, struggling early doors in both Monte Carlo and Barcelona, but after getting a win under his belt in Madrid, he's really taken to the slower conditions in Rome, which clearly suit him. 

The Norwegian is also seemingly suited by how the courts are playing in the Italian capital, defeating Lorenzo Musetti in straight sets, after beating Jiri Lehecka without dropping a set. Such wins tells us that Ruud is looking to go all the way, but he may not have it all his own way here, which is usually the case when these two meet. 

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Casper Ruud vs Karen Khachanov Form

Casper Ruud and Karen Khachanov Latest Matches

Casper Ruud Latest matches
W W L W W W
Victories

5/6 (83%)

Defeats

1/6 (17%)

May 12, 2026 - ATP Italian Open

Lorenzo Musetti
0 :  2
Casper Ruud

May 10, 2026 - ATP Italian Open

Casper Ruud
2 :  0
Jiri Lehecka

May 8, 2026 - ATP Italian Open

Casper Ruud
2 :  0
Zachary Svajda

Apr 30, 2026 - ATP Mutua Madrid Open

Casper Ruud
0 :  2
Alexander Blockx

Apr 28, 2026 - ATP Mutua Madrid Open

Stefanos Tsitsipas
1 :  2
Casper Ruud

Apr 27, 2026 - ATP Mutua Madrid Open

Alejandro Davidovich Fokina
0 :  2
Casper Ruud
Karen Khachanov Latest matches
L W L W W W
Victories

4/6 (67%)

Defeats

2/6 (33%)

May 12, 2026 - ATP Italian Open

Karen Khachanov
2 :  0
Dino Prizmic

May 10, 2026 - ATP Italian Open

Karen Khachanov
2 :  1
Botic Van De Zandschulp

May 8, 2026 - ATP Italian Open

Karen Khachanov
2 :  0
Aleksandr Shevchenko

Apr 27, 2026 - ATP Mutua Madrid Open

Karen Khachanov
0 :  2
Jakub Mensik

Apr 25, 2026 - ATP Mutua Madrid Open

Karen Khachanov
2 :  0
Adam Walton

Apr 14, 2026 - ATP Barcelona

Camilo Ugo Carabelli
2 :  0
Karen Khachanov

Casper Ruud against Karen Khachanov : Head to Head (H2H)

Casper Ruud

0 %

Karen Khachanov

100 %

Aug 2, 2025 - ATP Toronto

Karen Khachanov
2 :  0
Casper Ruud

Casper Ruud - Karen Khachanov Key Points

  1. When the pair last met, more than the minimum number of sets were played.
  2. Each of the previous two clay-court meetings between these two players has contained more than the minimum number of sets.
  3. Casper Ruud has never beaten Karen Khachanov in straight sets.
  4. Between them so far in Rome, these two have dropped just a single set.
Up to $250 to bet on Casper Ruud - Karen Khachanov! 

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Our Casper Ruud vs Karen Khachanov Prediction

This is far from an easy match to call. Sure, Casper Ruud is ranked above Karen Khachanov, and the Norwegian does have a decent clay-court record against the Russian, winning each of the previous two renewals of this match on this surface. However, he's won neither of those matches in straight sets. 

Ultimately, given the history between the two, and the fact that neither player has made a habit of losing in straight sets recently, a bet on 'Over 2.5 Sets' really does look to be a little generously priced at +155. +125 would be fairer, so while we can get bigger odds, we should get stuck in and take the value. 

Our Casper Ruud vs Karen Khachanov Pick: Over 2.5 Sets.

Prediction:

 

Over 2.5 Sets

+155
$250 offered for betting!

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All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.

Casper Ruud vs Karen Khachanov Picks