Casper Ruud vs Karen Khachanov Prediction & Picks - ATP Italian Open
ATP - ATP Italian Open
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by Bradley Gibbs | in ATP Italian Open Picks
At the ATP event in Rome, Casper Ruud and Karen Khachanov will lock horns on Wednesday. The world number 15 and the world number 25 will battle it out for a place in the semi-finals of this prestigious clay-court event. The Russian had made a reasonably poor start to the European clay-court season, struggling early doors in both Monte Carlo and Barcelona, but after getting a win under his belt in Madrid, he's really taken to the slower conditions in Rome, which clearly suit him.
The Norwegian is also seemingly suited by how the courts are playing in the Italian capital, defeating Lorenzo Musetti in straight sets, after beating Jiri Lehecka without dropping a set. Such wins tells us that Ruud is looking to go all the way, but he may not have it all his own way here, which is usually the case when these two meet.
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Casper Ruud vs Karen Khachanov Form
Casper Ruud and Karen Khachanov Latest Matches
5/6 (83%)
1/6 (17%)
May 12, 2026 - ATP Italian Open
May 10, 2026 - ATP Italian Open
May 8, 2026 - ATP Italian Open
Apr 30, 2026 - ATP Mutua Madrid Open
Apr 28, 2026 - ATP Mutua Madrid Open
Apr 27, 2026 - ATP Mutua Madrid Open
4/6 (67%)
2/6 (33%)
May 12, 2026 - ATP Italian Open
May 10, 2026 - ATP Italian Open
May 8, 2026 - ATP Italian Open
Apr 27, 2026 - ATP Mutua Madrid Open
Apr 25, 2026 - ATP Mutua Madrid Open
Apr 14, 2026 - ATP Barcelona
Casper Ruud against Karen Khachanov : Head to Head (H2H)
0 %
100 %
Aug 2, 2025 - ATP Toronto
Casper Ruud - Karen Khachanov Key Points
- When the pair last met, more than the minimum number of sets were played.
- Each of the previous two clay-court meetings between these two players has contained more than the minimum number of sets.
- Casper Ruud has never beaten Karen Khachanov in straight sets.
- Between them so far in Rome, these two have dropped just a single set.
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Our Casper Ruud vs Karen Khachanov Prediction
This is far from an easy match to call. Sure, Casper Ruud is ranked above Karen Khachanov, and the Norwegian does have a decent clay-court record against the Russian, winning each of the previous two renewals of this match on this surface. However, he's won neither of those matches in straight sets.
Ultimately, given the history between the two, and the fact that neither player has made a habit of losing in straight sets recently, a bet on 'Over 2.5 Sets' really does look to be a little generously priced at +155. +125 would be fairer, so while we can get bigger odds, we should get stuck in and take the value.
Our Casper Ruud vs Karen Khachanov Pick: Over 2.5 Sets.
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All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.