Atletico Madrid vs Real Madrid Prediction & Picks - LaLiga

Spain - LaLiga

Atletico Madrid
9/20/26 10:15
Real Madrid

Prediction:

 

Both teams to score over 1.5 goals

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 by Simon Day | in LaLiga Picks

The first Madrid derby of the season takes place at the Metropolitano on Sunday, with Atletico and Real both coming into the game in red hot form. 

After a mediocre start to the campaign, Atletico have burst into life this week by scoring seven goals without reply in resounding victories over Osasuna and Real Sociedad. Real will offer a much stiffer test for Diego Simeone's men, but Atletico have a decent record agisnt their rivals in recent years, so will be confident of getting something from the game. 

Carlos Espi's last minute winner for Real at Elche means that Jose Mourinho's side have now won three games in a row following their shock defeat at Betis. However, due to that defeat, they are three points behind La Liga leaders Barcelona, and given Barca's incredible early-season form, they will be desperate not to fall even further behind in the title race. 

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Atletico Madrid vs Real Madrid Form

Table

Teams Pts P W D L GD
2 Real Madrid
15 6 5 0 1 +11
4 Atletico Madrid
13 6 4 1 1 +8

Atletico Madrid and Real Madrid Latest Matches

Atletico Madrid
Atletico Madrid Latest matches
D W L L W W
Victories

3/6 (50%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Defeats

2/6 (33%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3.5 Total goals
50% BTTS
2.17 Goals scored
1.33 Goals conceded
100% Over 2.5
0% Under 2.5

Sep 16, 2026 - LaLiga

Atletico Madrid
4 :  0
Osasuna

Sep 13, 2026 - LaLiga

Real Sociedad
0 :  3
Atletico Madrid

Sep 9, 2026 - Champions League

Liverpool
2 :  1
Atletico Madrid

Sep 5, 2026 - LaLiga

Athletic Bilbao
3 :  0
Atletico Madrid

Aug 29, 2026 - LaLiga

Sevilla
1 :  3
Atletico Madrid

Aug 23, 2026 - LaLiga

Atletico Madrid
2 :  2
Villarreal
L W W W D W
Victories

4/6 (67%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Defeats

1/6 (17%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.83 Total goals
33% BTTS
2.17 Goals scored
0.67 Goals conceded
50% Over 2.5
50% Under 2.5

Sep 16, 2026 - LaLiga

Atletico Madrid
4 :  0
Osasuna

Aug 23, 2026 - LaLiga

Atletico Madrid
2 :  2
Villarreal

Aug 19, 2026 - LaLiga

Atletico Madrid
2 :  0
Málaga

Jul 29, 2026 - Clubs Friendlies

Atletico Madrid
4 :  1
Getafe

May 17, 2026 - LaLiga

Atletico Madrid
1 :  0
Girona

May 9, 2026 - LaLiga

Atletico Madrid
0 :  1
Celta Vigo
L W W L L W
Victories

3/6 (50%)

Draw

0/6 (0%)

Defeats

3/6 (50%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3.33 Total goals
67% BTTS
1.67 Goals scored
1.67 Goals conceded
100% Over 2.5
0% Under 2.5

Sep 13, 2026 - LaLiga

Real Sociedad
0 :  3
Atletico Madrid

Sep 9, 2026 - Champions League

Liverpool
2 :  1
Atletico Madrid

Sep 5, 2026 - LaLiga

Athletic Bilbao
3 :  0
Atletico Madrid

Aug 29, 2026 - LaLiga

Sevilla
1 :  3
Atletico Madrid

Aug 14, 2026 - Clubs Friendlies

Marseille
1 :  2
Atletico Madrid

Aug 9, 2026 - Clubs Friendlies

Manchester City
3 :  1
Atletico Madrid
Real Madrid
Real Madrid Latest matches
W W L W W W
Victories

5/6 (83%)

Draw

0/6 (0%)

Defeats

1/6 (17%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3.83 Total goals
67% BTTS
2.83 Goals scored
1 Goals conceded
83% Over 2.5
17% Under 2.5

Sep 15, 2026 - LaLiga

Elche
2 :  3
Real Madrid

Sep 12, 2026 - LaLiga

Real Madrid
4 :  1
Rayo Vallecano

Sep 8, 2026 - Champions League

Real Madrid
2 :  1
Inter Milan

Sep 4, 2026 - LaLiga

Betis
1 :  0
Real Madrid

Aug 30, 2026 - LaLiga

Real Madrid
4 :  0
Málaga

Aug 26, 2026 - LaLiga

Real Madrid
4 :  1
Real Sociedad
W D W W W W
Victories

5/6 (83%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Defeats

0/6 (0%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

4.5 Total goals
83% BTTS
3.33 Goals scored
1.17 Goals conceded
100% Over 2.5
0% Under 2.5

Sep 12, 2026 - LaLiga

Real Madrid
4 :  1
Rayo Vallecano

Sep 8, 2026 - Champions League

Real Madrid
2 :  1
Inter Milan

Aug 30, 2026 - LaLiga

Real Madrid
4 :  0
Málaga

Aug 26, 2026 - LaLiga

Real Madrid
4 :  1
Real Sociedad

Aug 1, 2026 - Clubs Friendlies

Real Madrid
2 :  2
Fiorentina

May 23, 2026 - LaLiga

Real Madrid
4 :  2
Athletic Bilbao
W W W W L W
Victories

5/6 (83%)

Draw

0/6 (0%)

Defeats

1/6 (17%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.67 Total goals
50% BTTS
1.83 Goals scored
0.83 Goals conceded
67% Over 2.5
33% Under 2.5

Sep 15, 2026 - LaLiga

Elche
2 :  3
Real Madrid

Sep 4, 2026 - LaLiga

Betis
1 :  0
Real Madrid

Aug 22, 2026 - LaLiga

Espanyol
1 :  2
Real Madrid

Aug 16, 2026 - Clubs Friendlies

Schalke 04
0 :  3
Real Madrid

Aug 12, 2026 - Clubs Friendlies

La Coruna
0 :  1
Real Madrid

Aug 8, 2026 - Clubs Friendlies

Ferencvarosi Budapest
1 :  2
Real Madrid

Atletico Madrid against Real Madrid : Head to Head (H2H)

Atletico Madrid

33 %

Draw

17 %

Real Madrid

50 %

Average stats (last H2H results)

3.5
Total goals
83.33%
BTTS
1.83
Goals scored
1.67
Goals conceded
66.67%
Over 2.5
33.33%
Under 2.5

Mar 22, 2026 - LaLiga

Real Madrid
3 :  2
Atletico Madrid

Jan 8, 2026 - Spanish Super Cup

Atletico Madrid
1 :  2
Real Madrid

Sep 27, 2025 - LaLiga

Atletico Madrid
5 :  2
Real Madrid

Mar 12, 2025 - Champions League

Atletico Madrid
1 :  0
Real Madrid

Mar 4, 2025 - Champions League

Real Madrid
2 :  1
Atletico Madrid

Feb 8, 2025 - LaLiga

Real Madrid
1 :  1
Atletico Madrid
Atletico Madrid vs Real Madrid Picks

Real Madrid v Atletico Madrid last Lineups

Atletico Madrid

Formation : 4 - 4 - 2

13
J. Oblak
14
M. Llorente
21
C. Romero
24
R. Le Normand
22
A. Grimaldo
7
L. Kang-in
5
J. Cardoso
6
Koke
11
A. Lookman
15
J. David
10
A. Baena
7
Vinicius Junior
10
K. Mbappe
15
A. Guler
14
A. Tchouameni
8
F. Valverde
25
Y. Diomande
17
M. Cucurella
4
D. Huijsen
16
I. Konate
12
T. Alexander-Arnold
1
T. Courtois

Formation : 4 - 4 - 2

Real Madrid

Substitutes

Atletico Madrid
Atletico Madrid
Goalkeeper

S. Esquivel

J. Musso

Defender

M. Pubill

D. Martinez Moreno

J. Dominguez

D. Hancko

Midfielder

R. Martinez Moya

J. Castillo

O. Vargas

M. Hjulmand

Forward

A. Ortiz

G. Simeone

Real Madrid
Real Madrid
Goalkeeper

A. Lunin

Defender

R. Asencio

A. Rudiger

D. Dumfries

A. Carreras

Midfielder

B. Silva

E. Camavinga

J. Bellingham

T. Pitarch Pinar

Forward

B. Diaz

C. Espi

Endrick

Missing players

Atletico Madrid
Atletico Madrid
Midfielder

P. Barrios

Forward

A. Sorloth

Real Madrid
Real Madrid
Defender

F. Mendy

E. Militao

Forward

Rodrygo

Most goals and assists

CD Huachipato Atletico Madrid
CD Huachipato Real Madrid
Top Goalscorer
Spain A. Baena (4 Goals)
Top Goalscorer
France K. Mbappe (7 Goals)
Best assists
Slovakia D. Hancko (2 Assists)
Best assists
Brazil Vinicius Junior (3 Assists)

Atletico Madrid and Real Madrid Stats in LaLiga

Atletico Madrid
Atletico Madrid
Real Madrid
Real Madrid
67%
Wins
83%
17%
Losses
17%
17%
Draws
0%
3.33
Average goals per match
3.83
2.33
Goals scored per match
2.83
1
Goals conceded per match
1
17%
Under 2.5 goals
17%
83%
Over 2.5 goals
83%
50%
No goals conceded
17%
33%
Both score
67%

Atletico Madrid - Real Madrid Key Points

  1. Both teams have scored in Real's last 3 games
  2. Both teams have scored in 13 of the last 14 Madrid derbies
  3. 4 of the last 8 Madrid derbies have ended in draws
  4. Real have kept just 1 clean sheet in their last 8 games
Up to $200 to bet on Atletico Madrid - Real Madrid! 

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Our Atletico Madrid vs Real Madrid Prediction

This has all the makings of a classic Madrid derby. Both Real and Atletico have been scoring for fun in recent games, so goals seem inevitable at the Metropolitano on Sunday.

The game will feature attacking stars such as Kylian Mbappe, Vini Jnr, Jude Bellingham, Lee Kang-In and Jonathan David, all of whom are enjoying excellent starts to the season. So, instead of predicting a derby matchwinner, we are going to back both teams finding the net at least twice. 

Our prediction for Atletico Madrid vs Real Madrid is: Both teams to score over 1.5 goals. 

Prediction:

 

Both teams to score over 1.5 goals

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All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.