Atalanta vs Bayern Munich Prediction & Picks - Champions League

Europe - Champions League

Atalanta
3/10/26 16:00
Bayern Munich

Prediction:

 

Bayern Munich & Over 1.5 Goals

-119
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 by Tyler Doty | in Champions League Picks

We head to Italy to watch one of the Champions League round of 16 matches. It's an uneven matchup as we have a title contender in this fixture: Bayern Munich. Away at Atalanta Bergamo, the Germans will try to take the lead after the first 90 minutes. The goal is to avoid a difficult return to the Allianz Arena. Our experts don't see the German champions losing at the end of regulation time, especially given the apparent gap in quality at this stage of the competition.

However, caution is advised in underestimating Atalanta, who are capable of putting in a strong performance at the New Balance Arena, which is set to host the biggest night of the season. To assert their status as favorites, the visitors need to make their mark at this stage of the competition. Will logic prevail on Tuesday evening? We'll find out when the whistle blows!

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Atalanta vs Bayern Munich Form

Atalanta and Bayern Munich Latest Matches

Atalanta
Atalanta Latest matches
L W W L D D
Victories

2/6 (33%)

Draw

2/6 (33%)

Defeats

2/6 (33%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3.5 Total goals
83% BTTS
1.83 Goals scored
1.67 Goals conceded
83% Over 2.5
17% Under 2.5

Mar 7, 2026 - Serie A

Atalanta
2 :  2
Udinese

Mar 4, 2026 - Coppa Italia

Lazio
2 :  2
Atalanta

Mar 1, 2026 - Serie A

Sassuolo
2 :  1
Atalanta

Feb 25, 2026 - Champions League

Atalanta
4 :  1
Borussia Dortmund

Feb 22, 2026 - Serie A

Atalanta
2 :  1
Napoli

Feb 17, 2026 - Champions League

Borussia Dortmund
2 :  0
Atalanta
W W W W W D
Victories

5/6 (83%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Defeats

0/6 (0%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3.67 Total goals
67% BTTS
2.83 Goals scored
0.83 Goals conceded
100% Over 2.5
0% Under 2.5

Mar 7, 2026 - Serie A

Atalanta
2 :  2
Udinese

Feb 25, 2026 - Champions League

Atalanta
4 :  1
Borussia Dortmund

Feb 22, 2026 - Serie A

Atalanta
2 :  1
Napoli

Feb 9, 2026 - Serie A

Atalanta
2 :  1
Cremonese

Feb 5, 2026 - Coppa Italia

Atalanta
3 :  0
Juventus

Jan 25, 2026 - Serie A

Atalanta
4 :  0
Parma
L D W L L D
Victories

1/6 (17%)

Draw

2/6 (33%)

Defeats

3/6 (50%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2 Total goals
33% BTTS
0.83 Goals scored
1.17 Goals conceded
33% Over 2.5
67% Under 2.5

Mar 4, 2026 - Coppa Italia

Lazio
2 :  2
Atalanta

Mar 1, 2026 - Serie A

Sassuolo
2 :  1
Atalanta

Feb 17, 2026 - Champions League

Borussia Dortmund
2 :  0
Atalanta

Feb 14, 2026 - Serie A

Lazio
0 :  2
Atalanta

Feb 1, 2026 - Serie A

Como 1907
0 :  0
Atalanta

Jan 28, 2026 - Champions League

Union Saint-Gilloise
1 :  0
Atalanta
Bayern Munich
Bayern Munich Latest matches
W W W W W W
Victories

6/6 (100%)

Draw

0/6 (0%)

Defeats

0/6 (0%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

4.33 Total goals
67% BTTS
3.33 Goals scored
1 Goals conceded
83% Over 2.5
17% Under 2.5

Mar 6, 2026 - Bundesliga

Bayern Munich
4 :  1
Mönchengladbach

Feb 28, 2026 - Bundesliga

Borussia Dortmund
2 :  3
Bayern Munich

Feb 21, 2026 - Bundesliga

Bayern Munich
3 :  2
Eintracht Frankfurt

Feb 14, 2026 - Bundesliga

Werder Bremen
0 :  3
Bayern Munich

Feb 11, 2026 - DFB Pokal

Bayern Munich
2 :  0
Leipzig

Feb 8, 2026 - Bundesliga

Bayern Munich
5 :  1
Hoffenheim
W L W W W W
Victories

5/6 (83%)

Draw

0/6 (0%)

Defeats

1/6 (17%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3.83 Total goals
67% BTTS
2.83 Goals scored
1 Goals conceded
67% Over 2.5
33% Under 2.5

Mar 6, 2026 - Bundesliga

Bayern Munich
4 :  1
Mönchengladbach

Feb 21, 2026 - Bundesliga

Bayern Munich
3 :  2
Eintracht Frankfurt

Feb 11, 2026 - DFB Pokal

Bayern Munich
2 :  0
Leipzig

Feb 8, 2026 - Bundesliga

Bayern Munich
5 :  1
Hoffenheim

Jan 24, 2026 - Bundesliga

Bayern Munich
1 :  2
Augsburg

Jan 21, 2026 - Champions League

Bayern Munich
2 :  0
Union Saint-Gilloise
W W W D W W
Victories

5/6 (83%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Defeats

0/6 (0%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

4.17 Total goals
83% BTTS
3 Goals scored
1.17 Goals conceded
100% Over 2.5
0% Under 2.5

Feb 28, 2026 - Bundesliga

Borussia Dortmund
2 :  3
Bayern Munich

Feb 14, 2026 - Bundesliga

Werder Bremen
0 :  3
Bayern Munich

Jan 31, 2026 - Bundesliga

Hamburg
2 :  2
Bayern Munich

Jan 28, 2026 - Champions League

PSV Eindhoven
1 :  2
Bayern Munich

Jan 17, 2026 - Bundesliga

Leipzig
1 :  5
Bayern Munich

Jan 14, 2026 - Bundesliga

Köln
1 :  3
Bayern Munich

Atalanta - Bayern Munich: Form Analysis

Atalanta has had a turbulent run-up to the game. This is their most important European match of the season, kicking off with three games without a win in March. A total of two draws (Udinese, Lazio Rome) and a narrow defeat at Sassuolo. The most worrying thing for Raffaele Palladino and his team? An average of two goals conceded every 270 minutes. If the Bergamaschi don't fix this problem, they could be in for a beating!

Atalanta have looked out of ideas in recent weeks.

Bayern Munich wants to send a strong message to Italy on Tuesday. Since their defeat against Augsburg at the end of January, Vincent Kompany's men have been on a roll in all competitions. The Bavarians travel to Italy with seven wins in eight games and three or more goals scored in that run. If they continue in the same vein as last week against Monchengladbach (4-1), the evening should end on a positive note, even on Italian soil. 

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Atalanta against Bayern Munich Lineups: Starting 11

Atalanta

Formation : 4 - 4 - 2

29
M. Carnesecchi
77
D. Zappacosta
4
I. Hien
23
S. Kolasinac
47
L. Bernasconi
7
K. Sulemana
15
M. De Roon
8
M. Pasalic
59
N. Zalewski
90
N. Krstovic
9
G. Scamacca
11
N. Jackson
14
L. Diaz
7
S. Gnabry
17
M. Olise
45
A. Pavlovic
6
J. Kimmich
27
K. Laimer
4
J. Tah
2
D. Upamecano
44
J. Stanisic
40
J. Urbig

Formation : 4 - 2 - 3 - 1

Bayern Munich

Substitutes

Atalanta
Atalanta
Goalkeeper

F. Rossi

M. Sportiello

Defender

R. Bellanova

D. Zappacosta 67'

M. Bakker

O. Kossounou

B. Djimsiti

G. Scamacca 46'

H. Ahanor

S. Kolasinac 55'

Midfielder

Y. Musah

N. Zalewski 55'

L. Samardzic

K. Sulemana 73'

F. Cassa

Forward

D. Vavassori

Bayern Munich
Bayern Munich
Goalkeeper

S. Ulreich

L. Prescott

Defender

A. Davies

M. Olise 46'

K. Min-jae

R. Guerreiro

J. Stanisic 86'

Midfielder

T. Bischof

A. Davies 71'

J. Musiala

S. Gnabry 46'

L. Karl

L. Goretzka

A. Pavlovic 68'

Forward

H. Kane

Missing players

Atalanta
Atalanta
Bayern Munich
Bayern Munich
Goalkeeper

M. Neuer

Defender

H. Ito

Atalanta & Bayern Munich Squad Analysis

The striker to watch on the Italian side? Gianluca Scamacca, who recently scored in Serie A against Udinese. He will be able to rely on a player who has proven decisive in big games: Lazar Samardzic, who scored against Napoli and Dortmund in the space of three days. By capitalizing on their current strengths, Atalanta can hope to upset Bayern Munich, as they did in the return leg against Dortmund.

Once again, many players in the Bavarian team could make the difference.

Harry Kane, who was rested last weekend, has scored 11 times in his previous seven appearances. If he fails to find the net, he can count on Jackson, who scored last weekend. With the support of Diaz, Musiala, Karl, and Olise, Munich are likely to enjoy a successful evening. 

Most goals and assists

CD Huachipato Atalanta
CD Huachipato Bayern Munich
Top Goalscorer
Serbia L. Samardzic (4 Goals)
Top Goalscorer
England H. Kane (14 Goals)
Best assists
Belgium C. De Ketelaere (2 Assists)
Netherlands M. de Roon (2 Assists)
Best assists
France M. Olise (5 Assists)

Atalanta - Bayern Munich Key Points

  1. Atalanta has not won any of its last three games.
  2. Atalanta has not kept a clean sheet in six games.
  3. Atalanta has conceded an average of two goals in its last three games.
  4. Bayern Munich has won nine and drawn one of its last ten away games.
  5. Bayern Munich has scored three or more goals on eight occasions.
  6. Bayern Munich is unbeaten in its last eight games.
Up to $250 to bet on Atalanta - Bayern Munich! 

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Our Atalanta vs Bayern Munich Prediction

Bayern Munich is one of the favorites to win the Champions League. There is no question that the Bavarians will lose in the round of 16, especially against an opponent that is inferior on paper. Atalanta is often considered a thorn in the side of European football, but against one of the giants of the Champions League, the difference should be clear within the next 90 minutes. It remains to be seen whether the black and blues are capable of springing a surprise at the end of this first leg.

Our prediction for Atalanta Bergamo vs. Bayern Munich: Bayern Munich to win and over 1.5 goals!

Prediction:

 

Bayern Munich & Over 1.5 Goals

-119
$250 offered for betting!

Atalanta vs Bayern Munich - Other Interesting Picks

Harry Kane Anytime Goalscorer

Odds -140
The German striker has scored 11 goals in his last 7 games and is no stranger to big UCL clashes.
$250 offered for betting!

Over 3.5

Odds +120
Bayern are known for their heavy score lines. In fact, the last three Bayern Munich matches have finished with a score line of over 3.5 goals.
$250 offered for betting!

Bayern Munich win the match

Odds -160
Bayern are keen to take the lead before the return leg in Germany. A win in Bergamo would be perfect to avoid the pressure of the second leg.
$250 offered for betting!

All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.

Atalanta vs Bayern Munich Picks