Washington Wizards vs Memphis Grizzlies Prediction & Picks - NBA

USA - NBA

Washington Wizards
12/20/25 20:00
Memphis Grizzlies

Prediction:

 

Less than 232.5 goals

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 by Erik Gibbs | in NBA Picks

The Washington Wizards and Memphis Grizzlies meet today at the FedExForum, and the matchup brings together two teams moving in very different directions. Washington continues to struggle through a difficult stretch, while Memphis has found ways to win consistently despite dealing with multiple injuries. On paper and by recent form, this game clearly favors the home side.

The Wizards have lost five of their last six games and are coming off an ugly 119-94 road loss to the Spurs on Thursday. That defeat was another example of how quickly games can unravel for Washington when defensive lapses pile up. The Wizards are allowing a league-worst 126.4 points per game, and that number tells the story of their season. Even when the offense is serviceable, the defense simply cannot hold up, especially against teams that move the ball well and push the pace.

That said, Washington has not been completely uncompetitive. There have been isolated performances that suggest some fight remains, including a surprising road win over Indiana earlier this week. In that game, the Wizards showed better focus and effort on both ends, but those performances have been the exception rather than the rule. Injuries continue to complicate matters as well, with Corey Kispert and Khris Middleton still sidelined and Malaki Branham listed as questionable. With limited depth and inconsistent execution, Washington has struggled to sustain any momentum.

Memphis enters this matchup in strong form, having won nine of its last 12 games overall. The Grizzlies are aiming for a third straight victory after a hard-fought 116-110 road win over the Timberwolves on Wednesday. That result was another example of Memphis finding ways to win close games, even without several key players available. Their ability to stay organized and disciplined has been a major factor in this recent surge.

Washington Wizards vs Memphis Grizzlies Form

Table

Teams % P W L Series
9
Memphis Grizzlies
Memphis Grizzlies
0.464 28 13 15 -1
15
Washington Wizards
Washington Wizards
0.185 27 5 22 -1

Washington Wizards and Memphis Grizzlies Latest Matches

Washington Wizards
Washington Wizards Latest matches
L L L L W L
Victories

1/6 (17%)

Defeats

5/6 (83%)

Dec 18, 2025 - NBA

Washington Wizards
94 :  119
San Antonio Spurs

Dec 14, 2025 - NBA

Washington Wizards
108 :  89
Indiana Pacers

Dec 12, 2025 - NBA

Cleveland Cavaliers
130 :  126
Washington Wizards

Dec 6, 2025 - NBA

Atlanta Hawks
131 :  116
Washington Wizards

Dec 4, 2025 - NBA

Boston Celtics
146 :  101
Washington Wizards

Dec 2, 2025 - NBA

Washington Wizards
102 :  121
Philadelphia 76ers
L W W L L L
Victories

2/6 (33%)

Defeats

4/6 (67%)

Dec 12, 2025 - NBA

Cleveland Cavaliers
130 :  126
Washington Wizards

Dec 6, 2025 - NBA

Atlanta Hawks
131 :  116
Washington Wizards

Dec 4, 2025 - NBA

Boston Celtics
146 :  101
Washington Wizards

Dec 1, 2025 - NBA

Milwaukee Bucks
126 :  129
Washington Wizards

Nov 25, 2025 - NBA

Atlanta Hawks
113 :  132
Washington Wizards

Nov 16, 2025 - NBA

Brooklyn Nets
129 :  106
Washington Wizards
L L L L W L
Victories

1/6 (17%)

Defeats

5/6 (83%)

Dec 18, 2025 - NBA

Washington Wizards
94 :  119
San Antonio Spurs

Dec 14, 2025 - NBA

Washington Wizards
108 :  89
Indiana Pacers

Dec 2, 2025 - NBA

Washington Wizards
102 :  121
Philadelphia 76ers

Nov 28, 2025 - NBA

Washington Wizards
86 :  119
Indiana Pacers

Nov 22, 2025 - NBA

Washington Wizards
120 :  121
Chicago Bulls

Nov 21, 2025 - NBA

Washington Wizards
110 :  140
Toronto Raptors
Memphis Grizzlies
Memphis Grizzlies Latest matches
L W W L W W
Victories

4/6 (67%)

Defeats

2/6 (33%)

Dec 17, 2025 - NBA

Memphis Grizzlies
116 :  110
Minnesota Timberwolves

Dec 15, 2025 - NBA

Memphis Grizzlies
121 :  103
LA Clippers

Dec 12, 2025 - NBA

Utah Jazz
130 :  126
Memphis Grizzlies

Dec 7, 2025 - NBA

Portland Trail Blazers
96 :  119
Memphis Grizzlies

Dec 5, 2025 - NBA

LA Clippers
98 :  107
Memphis Grizzlies

Dec 2, 2025 - NBA

Memphis Grizzlies
119 :  126
San Antonio Spurs
L W L W W L
Victories

3/6 (50%)

Defeats

3/6 (50%)

Dec 12, 2025 - NBA

Utah Jazz
130 :  126
Memphis Grizzlies

Dec 7, 2025 - NBA

Portland Trail Blazers
96 :  119
Memphis Grizzlies

Dec 5, 2025 - NBA

LA Clippers
98 :  107
Memphis Grizzlies

Nov 24, 2025 - NBA

Denver Nuggets
125 :  115
Memphis Grizzlies

Nov 20, 2025 - NBA

Sacramento Kings
96 :  137
Memphis Grizzlies

Nov 9, 2025 - NBA

Oklahoma City Thunder
114 :  100
Memphis Grizzlies
W W W L W W
Victories

5/6 (83%)

Defeats

1/6 (17%)

Dec 17, 2025 - NBA

Memphis Grizzlies
116 :  110
Minnesota Timberwolves

Dec 15, 2025 - NBA

Memphis Grizzlies
121 :  103
LA Clippers

Dec 2, 2025 - NBA

Memphis Grizzlies
119 :  126
San Antonio Spurs

Nov 30, 2025 - NBA

Memphis Grizzlies
115 :  107
Sacramento Kings

Nov 28, 2025 - NBA

Memphis Grizzlies
112 :  107
LA Clippers

Nov 26, 2025 - NBA

Memphis Grizzlies
133 :  128
New Orleans Pelicans

Washington Wizards against Memphis Grizzlies : Head to Head (H2H)

Washington Wizards

17 %

Memphis Grizzlies

83 %

Dec 8, 2024 - NBA

Memphis Grizzlies
140 :  112
Washington Wizards

Nov 8, 2024 - NBA

Washington Wizards
104 :  128
Memphis Grizzlies

Mar 12, 2024 - NBA

Washington Wizards
97 :  109
Memphis Grizzlies

Oct 28, 2023 - NBA

Memphis Grizzlies
106 :  113
Washington Wizards

Nov 6, 2022 - NBA

Washington Wizards
97 :  103
Memphis Grizzlies

Jan 29, 2022 - NBA

Washington Wizards
95 :  115
Memphis Grizzlies

Washington Wizards - Memphis Grizzlies Key Points

  1. The Over is 1-7 in the Grizzlies’ last 8 games as home favorites after a road win
  2. The Over is 0-5 in the Wizards’ last 5 road games
  3. The Grizzlies are 7-0 SU in their last 7 games vs. the Wizards at FedExForum
  4. The Wizards are 0-13 in their last 13 games at FedExForum after a loss

Our Washington Wizards vs Memphis Grizzlies Prediction

Despite missing Ja Morant, Zach Edey, Javon Small, and Vince Williams Jr once again, the Grizzlies continue to play a balanced brand of basketball. They rank well in rebounding, assist rate, and overall defensive activity, and they are allowing just 115.2 points per game. That defensive efficiency is a massive contrast compared to Washington's struggles on that end of the floor. Memphis does not rely on one scorer or one matchup advantage, which makes them difficult to disrupt.

Given current form, roster situations, and defensive trends, it is no surprise to see Washington listed as a double-digit underdog. The Wizards are coming off a demoralizing loss and now face a disciplined Memphis team that plays well at home and controls tempo effectively. Even without Morant, the Grizzlies appear well-positioned to dictate the flow of this game from the opening tip.

Unless Washington delivers one of its rare complete performances, this matchup strongly favors Memphis. The Grizzlies should be able to build an early lead, limit second chances, and wear down a Wizards team that has struggled badly on the defensive end. A comfortable Memphis win and cover feels like the most likely outcome. Our prediction for Memphis Grizzlies vs. Washington Wizards: Under 232.5 points.

Prediction:

 

Less than 232.5 goals

+100
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Washington Wizards vs Memphis Grizzlies Picks