Toronto Raptors vs Miami Heat Prediction & Picks - NBA

USA - NBA

Toronto Raptors
12/15/25 19:30
Miami Heat

Prediction:

 

Raptors (+6.5) cover the spread

-110
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 by Paul Tamayo in NBA Picks

The Toronto Raptors (15-11) visit the Miami Heat (14-11) in an NBA 2025-26 game on Monday, December 15, at the Kaseya Center in Miami.

Toronto comes in trying to snap a four-game losing streak, while Miami looks to protect home court and stay near the upper half of the Eastern Conference standings.

Recently, the Heat fell 117-108 to the Orlando Magic in the NBA Cup quarterfinals. Miami actually raced out to a 16-point first-quarter lead before Orlando’s Desmond Bane caught fire with 37 points and six threes. 

Over their last 10 games, the Heat are 5-5 but have averaged nearly 119 points per contest, showing how potent their offense is when they get in rhythm. Newly-acquired scorer Norman Powell continues to be Miami’s top scoring option, averaging 24.6 points per game on efficient shooting.

As for the Raptors, they’ve dropped four straight and six of their last nine, including a 117-101 loss to the New York Knicks in the NBA Cup quarterfinals. Toronto exploded for 39 first-quarter points behind Brandon Ingram’s hot start but faded as the game went on.

Despite their recent downward spiral, the Raptors still have a slightly better offensive rating than the Heat. But it's on the defense that the Heat packs an advantage.

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Toronto Raptors vs Miami Heat Form

Table

Teams % P W L Series
3
Toronto Raptors
Toronto Raptors
0.593 27 16 11 1
9
Miami Heat
Miami Heat
0.538 26 14 12 -5

Toronto Raptors and Miami Heat Latest Matches

Toronto Raptors
Toronto Raptors Latest matches
L W L L L L
Victories

1/6 (17%)

Defeats

5/6 (83%)

Dec 9, 2025 - NBA

New York Knicks
117 :  101
Toronto Raptors

Dec 7, 2025 - NBA

Boston Celtics
121 :  113
Toronto Raptors

Dec 5, 2025 - NBA

Charlotte Hornets
111 :  86
Toronto Raptors

Dec 4, 2025 - NBA

Los Angeles Lakers
123 :  120
Toronto Raptors

Dec 2, 2025 - NBA

Portland Trail Blazers
118 :  121
Toronto Raptors

Nov 30, 2025 - NBA

Toronto Raptors
94 :  116
New York Knicks
W W L L L L
Victories

2/6 (33%)

Defeats

4/6 (67%)

Dec 9, 2025 - NBA

New York Knicks
117 :  101
Toronto Raptors

Dec 7, 2025 - NBA

Boston Celtics
121 :  113
Toronto Raptors

Dec 5, 2025 - NBA

Charlotte Hornets
111 :  86
Toronto Raptors

Dec 4, 2025 - NBA

Los Angeles Lakers
123 :  120
Toronto Raptors

Dec 2, 2025 - NBA

Portland Trail Blazers
118 :  121
Toronto Raptors

Nov 26, 2025 - NBA

Indiana Pacers
95 :  97
Toronto Raptors
W W W W L L
Victories

4/6 (67%)

Defeats

2/6 (33%)

Nov 30, 2025 - NBA

Toronto Raptors
94 :  116
New York Knicks

Nov 29, 2025 - NBA

Toronto Raptors
111 :  118
Charlotte Hornets

Nov 19, 2025 - NBA

Toronto Raptors
121 :  112
Philadelphia 76ers

Nov 15, 2025 - NBA

Toronto Raptors
129 :  111
Indiana Pacers

Nov 13, 2025 - NBA

Toronto Raptors
126 :  113
Cleveland Cavaliers

Nov 11, 2025 - NBA

Toronto Raptors
119 :  109
Brooklyn Nets
Miami Heat
Miami Heat Latest matches
L W L L L L
Victories

1/6 (17%)

Defeats

5/6 (83%)

Dec 9, 2025 - NBA

Miami Heat
108 :  117
Orlando Magic

Dec 6, 2025 - NBA

Sacramento Kings
127 :  111
Miami Heat

Dec 5, 2025 - NBA

Miami Heat
105 :  106
Orlando Magic

Dec 3, 2025 - NBA

Miami Heat
108 :  118
Dallas Mavericks

Dec 1, 2025 - NBA

LA Clippers
123 :  140
Miami Heat

Nov 29, 2025 - NBA

Detroit Pistons
138 :  135
Miami Heat
W W W L W L
Victories

4/6 (67%)

Defeats

2/6 (33%)

Dec 6, 2025 - NBA

Sacramento Kings
127 :  111
Miami Heat

Dec 1, 2025 - NBA

LA Clippers
123 :  140
Miami Heat

Nov 29, 2025 - NBA

Detroit Pistons
138 :  135
Miami Heat

Nov 26, 2025 - NBA

Milwaukee Bucks
103 :  106
Miami Heat

Nov 24, 2025 - NBA

Dallas Mavericks
102 :  106
Miami Heat

Nov 19, 2025 - NBA

Golden State Warriors
96 :  110
Miami Heat
L W W L L L
Victories

2/6 (33%)

Defeats

4/6 (67%)

Dec 9, 2025 - NBA

Miami Heat
108 :  117
Orlando Magic

Dec 5, 2025 - NBA

Miami Heat
105 :  106
Orlando Magic

Dec 3, 2025 - NBA

Miami Heat
108 :  118
Dallas Mavericks

Nov 23, 2025 - NBA

Miami Heat
127 :  117
Philadelphia 76ers

Nov 21, 2025 - NBA

Miami Heat
143 :  107
Chicago Bulls

Nov 14, 2025 - NBA

Miami Heat
132 :  140
New York Knicks

Toronto Raptors against Miami Heat : Head to Head (H2H)

Toronto Raptors

17 %

Miami Heat

83 %

Feb 21, 2025 - NBA

Miami Heat
120 :  111
Toronto Raptors

Dec 12, 2024 - NBA

Toronto Raptors
104 :  114
Miami Heat

Dec 1, 2024 - NBA

Miami Heat
116 :  119
Toronto Raptors

Nov 29, 2024 - NBA

Toronto Raptors
111 :  121
Miami Heat

Jul 19, 2024 - NBA Summer League

Toronto Raptors
73 :  109
Miami Heat

Apr 14, 2024 - NBA

Toronto Raptors
103 :  118
Miami Heat

Toronto Raptors - Miami Heat Key Points

  1. The Heat are coming off a 117-108 loss to the New York Knicks.
  2. The Raptors are coming off a 117-101 loss to the New York Knicks.
  3. The Heat will miss the services of Pelle Larsson.
  4. The Raptors will miss the services of RJ Barrett.
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Our Toronto Raptors vs Miami Heat Prediction

With a healthier team profile and a better defensive rating, the Heat are favored in this game at home. At the same time, Toronto’s ball movement and length on the wings give the Raptors enough upside to keep things interesting if they can rediscover their shooting touch.

The Heat are still the favorites on Monday, but the Raptors could keep this game close in the end. Our prediction for the Miami Heat vs Toronto Raptors match is: Raptors (+6.5) cover the spread.

Prediction:

 

Raptors (+6.5) cover the spread

-110
$250 offered for betting!

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Toronto Raptors vs Miami Heat Picks