Tommy Paul vs Carlos Alcaraz Prediction & Picks - ATP US Open

Prediction published on 9/6/26, 1:07 AM  by Lou Aguila | Modified on 9/6/26 at 1:09 AM in ATP US Open Picks

Listed at -135 to cover +6.5 games, Tommy Paul sports the form and momentum to give Carlos Alcaraz his first real test at the US Open.

Current Form:

Carlos Alcaraz has breezed through to the fourth round. The Spaniard has dropped only one set so far at the US Open. He swept Roman Safiullin 6-4, 6-4, 6-4 and Wu Yibing 6-3, 6-4, 6-1 and outlasted Jaime Faria in four sets, 4-6, 6-0, 6-3, 6-2.

Meanwhile, Tommy Paul had to deliver clutch performances to stay in contention. Paul gutted out a five-set win over Alexander Bublik 6-4, 3-6, 6-7, 6-1, 6-3, to reach the fourth round. The American also toppled Coleman Wong 6-7, 6-1, 6-3, 6-3 and Dino Prizmic 6-2, 6-3, 5-7, 6-4 in the previous two rounds.

The Matchup: Alcaraz has dominated the head-to-head series 6-2. The Spaniard has won the last four encounters, including a straight-set win over Paul at the Australian Open, 7-6, 6-4, 7-5.