Matteo Berrettini vs Alex De Minaur Prediction & Picks - ATP Vienna
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by Bradley Gibbs in Tennis Picks
At the ATP event in Vienna, the final match due to take place on Friday sees Matteo Berrettini, who benefitted from a walkover in the last round, take on Alex De Minaur. Having not played a second-round match, the Italian should be fresh, but will he be prepared and sharp enough to seriously push a player of De Minaur's quality? Likely not.
At the time of writing, Alex De Minaur is available at a price of -189 (Fanatics), and such a price should be taken. The Aussie has not made a habit of faltering in matches of this nature in recent times, avoiding defeat against all lower-ranked players since the first week in September. He's also lost just one fully completed match since then, and even that was against the current world number one. Add in a promising hard-court record against his Italian opponent and the current world number 10 is impossible to oppose.
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Matteo Berrettini vs Alex De Minaur Form
Matteo Berrettini and Alex De Minaur Latest Matches
3/6 (50%)
3/6 (50%)
Oct 26, 2026 - ATP Vienna
Oct 20, 2026 - ATP Lyon Open
Oct 9, 2026 - ATP Shanghai Masters
Oct 7, 2026 - ATP Shanghai Masters
Oct 3, 2026 - ATP Japan Open
Oct 1, 2026 - ATP Japan Open
5/6 (83%)
1/6 (17%)
Oct 28, 2026 - ATP Vienna
Oct 26, 2026 - ATP Vienna
Oct 15, 2026 - ATP Shanghai Masters
Oct 13, 2026 - ATP Shanghai Masters
Oct 11, 2026 - ATP Shanghai Masters
Oct 4, 2026 - ATP Beijing Open
Matteo Berrettini against Alex De Minaur : Head to Head (H2H)
75 %
25 %
Oct 24, 2025 - ATP Vienna
Mar 25, 2025 - ATP Miami
Jul 7, 2023 - ATP Wimbledon Championships
Jun 19, 2021 - ATP London - Queen's
Matteo Berrettini - Alex De Minaur Key Points
- When the pair last met on a hard court, Alex De Minaur won in straight sets.
- Alex De Minaur defeated a higher-ranked player than Matteo Berrettini in straight sets last time out.
- Alex De Minaur has won three of his previous four hard-court matches against Matteo Berrettini.
- Alex De Minaur has not lost to a lower-ranked player since the first week in September.
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Our Matteo Berrettini vs Alex De Minaur Prediction
From a freshness point of view, the fact that Matteo Berrettini didn't need to play during the previous round is a positive, but from a getting-properly-into-the-swing-of-things point of view, it's a negative. He could be less than ideally prepared for a match against a player who simply has not missed in matches of this type in recent times.
Alex De Minaur's record against lower-ranked players in recent weeks is impossible to ignore, while the evidence of his last win over this opponent suggests that the Aussie is on his way to the semi-finals in the Austrian capital.
Our Matteo Berrettini vs Alex De Minaur Pick: Alex De Minaur to Win.
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All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
