2026 US Open Picks & Predictions
Sep 13, 2026, 2:00 PM
ATP - ATP US Open
Alexander Zverev ML
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2026 US Open: Tournament Preview and Predictions
Ready to make your US Open tennis predictions? The SportyTrader editorial team is on your side! From August 30 to September 13, 2026, our tennis experts reveal their best analyses on the last Grand Slam of the season, along with their best betting advice.
Who will be able to succeed Carlos Alcaraz on the courts of Flushing Meadows? What are the sports bets to favor on the American fortnight? Who are the favorites of the US Open? We tell you everything on this page! Your tennis bets are likely to delight you in this 2026 edition of the US Open.
The tournament sheet
- Location: Flushing Meadows, New York
- Dates: August 30 to September 13, 2026
- Surface: Hard (outdoor)
- Prize Money: TBD ($75M in 2025)
- The last winner: Carlos Alcaraz
US Open Winner Prediction: Who will win the tournament in 2026?
Carlos Alcaraz came into this tournament after an injury, putting his title on the line at the 2026 US Open. It was looking like his tournament again until he came up against American tennis star Ben Shelton. In a legendary 5 set match, Shelton came out on top and looks destined to take his first grand slam.
We therefore see Shelton winning this year’s US Open to claim his third title at Flushing Meadows. Our 2026 US Open prediction: Shelton to win!
2026 ATP US Open Futures:
- Alexander Zverev -1-0
- Ben Shelton +155
- Frances Tiafoe +1000
- Karen Khachanov +1300
Odds courtesy of FanDuel.
US Open Women's Winner Prediction: Who will win the WTA tournament in 2026?
As with the men, the WTA draw is particularly interesting to follow this year. Two-time defending champion Aryna Sabalenka will face stiff competition again this year at the women's US Open. She remains one of the main favorites to win in 2026 before the tournament kicks off, but it is common knowledge that Grand Slam titles are hard to retain in the WTA.
Her main rival is Coco Gauff, who will have the support of the American public. Having won the tournament in 2023, she looks to repeat the feat in front of her fans every year.
Sabalenka is likely to be difficult to stop at the women's US Open, and she has the chance to complete a three-peat. After her defeat in the Australian Open final earlier this year, the world number 1 will want to claim the final Grand Slam of the season. Our US Open WTA prediction: Sabalenka wins the tournament!
2026 WTA US Open Futures
- Aryna Sabalenka -146
- Elena Rybakina +122
Odds courtesy of FanDuel.
Our advice for betting on the US Open
Every season, the US Open is the last Grand Slam tournament of the tennis year. After the Australian Open, the French Open, and Wimbledon, the American tournament brings together the best players on the planet for a highly publicized global event.
Between its legendary list of past champions (Nadal, Djokovic, Federer of course, but also Murray, Sampras, Agassi, Edberg, Becker, Lendl, McEnroe, and Ashe), its enjoyable style of play, and its decisive role in qualifying for the end-of-season Masters tournament, the US Open always attracts tennis lovers, and especially bettors. Once again this year, many of you should be tempted to place a bet or two on the American competition. To succeed, here are the main tips provided by our team of specialists.
Check the players' form
The first thing to do to correctly predict a US Open tennis match is obviously to check the form of the two players facing each other. Do not fall into the trap of big names! Placed just after the exhausting Rogers Cup and Cincinnati Masters on the calendar, the US Open puts the competing athletes to a severe test.
If you were only planning to bet by looking at the ATP ranking or the fame of the two players, forget it immediately. You must absolutely look at the recent results recorded by both players, as well as some statistics like the number of winners hit in recent matches, the number of service games dropped, or break/set/match points missed. This will give you a great overview of the physical and mental state of both players.
Consider the playing surface
The US Open is a tournament played on Hard (outdoor hard courts). Take this into account when analyzing matches. Indeed, do not forget that every player has a preferred tennis surface. How could we not mention Jannik Sinner on hard courts, or Roger Federer on grass during his prime?
To bet reliably in 2026, favor tennis players who are used to shining on hard courts. This surface allows for a fairly fast and intense game, making physical fitness absolutely paramount. For example, avoid betting on a player who has only achieved good results on grass or clay this season. This could lead you astray.
Look at the head-to-head history
In tennis, as in any other individual sport, the mental and psychological aspects count for a lot in performances. It is therefore necessary to know which player has the psychological upper hand before predicting a US Open match. Even if a player is ranked higher than another in the ATP Rankings and is coming off a more convincing recent match than their opponent of the day, avoid betting on their success if they are on a 4-match losing streak against that specific opponent, for example.
Since every player has strengths and weaknesses, it is not uncommon to find a "bogey player" for everyone on the circuit. So take the time to check the recent head-to-head matchups between the two players facing each other; this will reinforce the reliability of your US Open prediction.
Observe the latest performances at the US Open
In the same vein as the previous tip, we also advise you to check the recent US Open performances on both sides of the net. Just like with an opponent or a surface, every player actually has their favorite tournaments, and others they like much less. For example, we can cite the Australian Open and the Miami Masters 1000 for Novak Djokovic, or Wimbledon and the Cincinnati Masters 1000 for the legendary Roger Federer during his peak years.
To succeed with your tennis prediction, take the time to check each player's run during the last edition of the US Open, or even the last 2-3 editions. If a player is, for instance, ranked 30 spots above their opponent of the day but has never made it past the second round at Flushing Meadows, avoid betting heavily on them. All players have their tennis habits; never forget that.
Keep the ATP ranking in mind
Finally, as a fifth major tip, we ask you to keep the ATP ranking and the Race in mind when predicting a match at the 2026 US Open. Remember that a player must match their performance from the previous year to avoid losing points, or do better if they wish to gain some.
If a player is aiming to qualify for the Nitto ATP Finals, secure a spot in the Top 3, reach their career-high ranking, or simply become the number 1 player in their country, you can be sure they will be highly motivated to beat their opponent of the day. With motivation on their side, they should be favored in your US Open prediction. Conversely, if a player isn't aiming for anything special and is just playing the tournament for fun, don't bet too heavily on their performance. Commitment plays a massive role in the outcome of a tennis match.
The stats you need to know for your 2026 US Open predictions
Now that you know our editorial team's predictions for this 2026 US Open tennis tournament, let's talk about the important statistics of the American event. To bet well on the US Open, you truly need to know the key figures of the fortnight, which give you a clear indication of the tennis bets to favor.
Here are the main US Open stats you need to know, recorded by our tennis tipsters. Always keep them handy.
- Average games per match: 36.3 games
- Matches in three sets: 50%
- Matches in four sets: 32%
- Matches in five sets: 18%
- Matches where the winner took the 1st set: 83%
- Matches with a comeback (0-2 / 3-2): 3%
- Matches with a Golden Set (6-0): 10%
- Matches with a tie-break in the 1st set: 19%
- Matches with a tie-break in the 2nd set: 21%
- Matches with a tie-break in the 3rd set: 15%
- Matches with a tie-break in the 4th set: 6%
For your bets on the New York tournament in 2026, you should remember that it is preferable to bet on matches with a lot of games and that it is useful to live bet on the success of the player who won the first set.
While there are no absolute certainties, this could make a real difference to your bankroll.
In short: how to make a good US Open prediction in 2026?
To have reliable predictions on the US Open this year, there is no secret. In addition to consulting the tennis predictions from our specialists, take the time to analyze each match carefully before betting on your own.
Whether we are talking about statistics, the current form of the players, or the mental context of the matchup, many factors can influence the success of your tennis bets (see above).
So, do your homework before every wager, and you can only increase your chances of making winning predictions. This is the vision of the tennis tipsters at SportyTrader.
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Our current US Open predictions
ATP US Open - Tennis
2026 US Open : Frequently Asked Questions
Men’s Singles:
Arthur Ashe, Rod Laver, Ken Rosewall, Stan Smith, Ilie Nastase, John Newcombe, Jimmy Connors, Manuel Orantes, Guillermo Vilas, John McEnroe, Ivan Lendl, Mats Wilander, Boris Becker, Pete Sampras, Stefan Edberg, Andre Agassi, Patrick Rafter, Marat Safin, Lleyton Hewitt, Andy Roddick, Roger Federer, Juan Martín del Potro, Rafael Nadal, Novak Djokovic, Andy Murray, Marin Cilic, Stan Wawrinka, Dominic Thiem, Daniil Medvedev, Carlos Alcaraz, and Jannik Sinner.
Women’s Singles:
Virginia Wade, Margaret Court, Billie Jean King, Chris Evert, Tracy Austin, Martina Navratilova, Hana Mandlíková, Steffi Graf, Monica Seles, Arantxa Sánchez Vicario, Gabriela Sabatini, Lindsay Davenport, Venus Williams, Serena Williams, Justine Henin, Kim Clijsters, Samantha Stosur, Flavia Pennetta, Angelique Kerber, Sloane Stephens, Naomi Osaka, Emma Raducanu, Iga Swiatek, and Coco Gauff.
