Tomas Machac vs Taylor Fritz Prediction & Picks - ATP US Open
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by Lou Aguila | in ATP US Open Picks
Taylor Fritz of the United States will take on Tomas Machac of the Czech Republic, looking to become the first American to book a spot in the quarterfinals of the 2025 US Open on Sunday.
Fritz, the runner-up of last year’s US Open Championship, is trading at -275 money favorite against Machac on DraftKings.
Current Form:
After a breezy first-round win over Emilio Nava of the United States 7-5 6-2 6-3, Fritz was tested in his last two matches against Lloyd Harris of South Africa 4-6 7-6(3) 6-2 6-4 and Jerome Kym of Switzerland 7-6(3) 6-7(9) 6-4 6-4. Fritz, who sports a career 66 percent win in hard-court matches, has gone 11-3 in his North American hard-court campaign.
Machac has yet to drop a set in this year’s US Open. The Czech kicked off his campaign in Flushing Meadows with a resounding 6-3 6-1 6-1 win over Luca Nardi of Italy. Machac followed it up with another three-set domination of Brazilian teen sensation Joao Fonseca 7-6(4) 6-2 6-3 and a sweep of Ugo Blanchet of France 7-5 6-3 6-1. Machac is 22-14 on the 2025 ATP season, and 14-6 on the hard court this year.
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Tomas Machac vs Taylor Fritz Form
Tomas Machac and Taylor Fritz Latest Matches
3/6 (50%)
3/6 (50%)
Aug 29, 2025 - ATP US Open
Aug 27, 2025 - ATP US Open
Aug 24, 2025 - ATP US Open
Aug 9, 2025 - ATP Cincinnati Open
Jul 29, 2025 - ATP Toronto
Jul 3, 2025 - ATP Wimbledon Championships
5/6 (83%)
1/6 (17%)
Aug 29, 2025 - ATP US Open
Aug 27, 2025 - ATP US Open
Aug 24, 2025 - ATP US Open
Aug 13, 2025 - ATP Cincinnati Open
Aug 11, 2025 - ATP Cincinnati Open
Aug 9, 2025 - ATP Cincinnati Open
Tomas Machac - Taylor Fritz Key Points
- Taylor Fritz defeated Jerome Kym of Switzerland 7-6(3) 6-7(9) 6-4 6-4 in the third round of the 2025 US Open.
- Taylor Fritz is 11-3 in his last 14 hard-court matches.
- Tomas Machac defeated Ugo Blachet 7-5, 6-3, 6-1 in the third round of the 2025 US Open.
- Tomas Machac is 14-6 on the hard court in 2025.
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Our Tomas Machac vs Taylor Fritz Prediction
Fearless Forecast: Taylor Fritz banks on his experience to grind out a close win over Tomas Machac.
After surviving a five-set marathon against Kym in the third round, Fritz should be mentally prepared for a rougher matchup with Machac. The American has won his last two head-to-head matchups against Machac, including 6-7(4) 6-5 ret. victory in the semifinals of the 2025 United Cup in January. Machac, who has four career wins over top-10 opponents, isn’t going to let Fritz run away with a win for the third time. Armed with a versatile style of play, Machac should present a myriad of problems for Fritz. Still, only few players on the tour can match Fritz’s composure in high-stakes matches, and his caliber as a perennial top-10 player. This will be a close one, but I have Fritz winning by at least four games against Machac.
Our betting prediction for Taylor Fritz vs. Tomas Machac: Taylor Fritz -3.5 Games
All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.