Tomas Machac vs Taylor Fritz Prediction & Picks - ATP US Open

ATP - ATP US Open

ATP 43 Czech Republic
Tomas Machac
8/31/25 18:10
ATP 9 USA
Taylor Fritz

Prediction:

 

Taylor Fritz +3.5 Games

-150
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 by Lou Aguila | in ATP US Open Picks

Taylor Fritz of the United States will take on Tomas Machac of the Czech Republic, looking to become the first American to book a spot in the quarterfinals of the 2025 US Open on Sunday.

Fritz, the runner-up of last year’s US Open Championship, is trading at -275 money favorite against Machac on DraftKings.

Current Form:

After a breezy first-round win over Emilio Nava of the United States 7-5 6-2 6-3, Fritz was tested in his last two matches against Lloyd Harris of South Africa 4-6 7-6(3) 6-2 6-4 and Jerome Kym of Switzerland 7-6(3) 6-7(9) 6-4 6-4. Fritz, who sports a career 66 percent win in hard-court matches, has gone 11-3 in his North American hard-court campaign.

Machac has yet to drop a set in this year’s US Open. The Czech kicked off his campaign in Flushing Meadows with a resounding 6-3 6-1 6-1 win over Luca Nardi of Italy. Machac followed it up with another three-set domination of Brazilian teen sensation Joao Fonseca 7-6(4) 6-2 6-3 and a sweep of Ugo Blanchet of France 7-5 6-3 6-1. Machac is 22-14 on the 2025 ATP season, and 14-6 on the hard court this year.

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Tomas Machac vs Taylor Fritz Form

Tomas Machac and Taylor Fritz Latest Matches

Tomas Machac Latest matches
L L L W W W
Victories

3/6 (50%)

Defeats

3/6 (50%)

Aug 29, 2025 - ATP US Open

Ugo Blanchet
0 :  3
Tomas Machac

Aug 27, 2025 - ATP US Open

Joao Fonseca
0 :  3
Tomas Machac

Aug 24, 2025 - ATP US Open

Luca Nardi
0 :  3
Tomas Machac

Aug 9, 2025 - ATP Cincinnati Open

Tomas Machac
0 :  2
Adrian Mannarino

Jul 29, 2025 - ATP Toronto

Reilly Opelka
2 :  1
Tomas Machac

Jul 3, 2025 - ATP Wimbledon Championships

August Holmgren
3 :  2
Tomas Machac
Taylor Fritz Latest matches
W W L W W W
Victories

5/6 (83%)

Defeats

1/6 (17%)

Aug 29, 2025 - ATP US Open

Jerome Kym
1 :  3
Taylor Fritz

Aug 27, 2025 - ATP US Open

Lloyd Harris
1 :  3
Taylor Fritz

Aug 24, 2025 - ATP US Open

Emilio Nava
0 :  3
Taylor Fritz

Aug 13, 2025 - ATP Cincinnati Open

Taylor Fritz
1 :  2
Terence Atmane

Aug 11, 2025 - ATP Cincinnati Open

Taylor Fritz
2 :  0
Lorenzo Sonego

Aug 9, 2025 - ATP Cincinnati Open

Taylor Fritz
2 :  0
Emilio Nava

Tomas Machac - Taylor Fritz Key Points

  1. Taylor Fritz defeated Jerome Kym of Switzerland 7-6(3) 6-7(9) 6-4 6-4 in the third round of the 2025 US Open.
  2. Taylor Fritz is 11-3 in his last 14 hard-court matches.
  3. Tomas Machac defeated Ugo Blachet 7-5, 6-3, 6-1 in the third round of the 2025 US Open.
  4. Tomas Machac is 14-6 on the hard court in 2025.
Up to $200 to bet on Tomas Machac - Taylor Fritz! 

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Our Tomas Machac vs Taylor Fritz Prediction

Fearless Forecast: Taylor Fritz banks on his experience to grind out a close win over Tomas Machac.

After surviving a five-set marathon against Kym in the third round, Fritz should be mentally prepared for a rougher matchup with Machac. The American has won his last two head-to-head matchups against Machac, including 6-7(4) 6-5 ret. victory in the semifinals of the 2025 United Cup in January. Machac, who has four career wins over top-10 opponents, isn’t going to let Fritz run away with a win for the third time. Armed with a versatile style of play, Machac should present a myriad of problems for Fritz. Still, only few players on the tour can match Fritz’s composure in high-stakes matches, and his caliber as a perennial top-10 player. This will be a close one, but I have Fritz winning by at least four games against Machac.

Our betting prediction for Taylor Fritz vs. Tomas Machac: Taylor Fritz -3.5 Games

Prediction:

 

Taylor Fritz +3.5 Games

-150
$200 offered for betting!

All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.

Tomas Machac vs Taylor Fritz Picks