Tampa Bay Buccaneers vs Atlanta Falcons Prediction & Picks - NFL

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Tampa Bay Buccaneers
9/7/25 13:00
Atlanta Falcons

Prediction:

 

Atlanta Falcons ML

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 by Matt Lowrimore | in NFL Picks

The new NFL season is finally underway, and Week 1 will feature plenty of great matchups, one of which will see the Atlanta Falcons take on the Tampa Bay Buccaneers. Let’s take a look at the match statistics and predictions for this NFC South divisional matchup between the Falcons and the Bucs. 

Tampa Bay enters this game coming off a 10-7 season in 2024-2025. The Bucs were good enough to win the NFC South, but ultimately lost to the Washington Commanders in the NFC Wild Card by a score of 23-20.

As for Atlanta, they are coming off a disappointing 2024-2025 season, finishing with a record of 8-9. The Falcons finished in second place in the NFC South and have now missed the playoffs in seven straight seasons. Last season also saw the fall of Kirk Cousins, as he was benched and replaced by Michael Penix Jr., who now takes over the starting quarterback role for the new season.

Tampa Bay Buccaneers vs Atlanta Falcons Form

Table

Teams % P W D L
9
Tampa Bay Buccaneers
Tampa Bay Buccaneers
1 1 1 0 0
21
Atlanta Falcons
Atlanta Falcons
0 1 0 0 1

Tampa Bay Buccaneers and Atlanta Falcons Latest Matches

Tampa Bay Buccaneers
Tampa Bay Buccaneers Latest matches
W W L W W L
Victories

4/6 (67%)

Draw

0/6 (0%)

Defeats

2/6 (33%)

Jan 12, 2025 - NFL

Washington Commanders
23 :  20
Tampa Bay Buccaneers

Jan 5, 2025 - NFL

New Orleans Saints
19 :  27
Tampa Bay Buccaneers

Dec 29, 2024 - NFL

Carolina Panthers
14 :  48
Tampa Bay Buccaneers

Dec 22, 2024 - NFL

Tampa Bay Buccaneers
24 :  26
Dallas Cowboys

Dec 15, 2024 - NFL

Tampa Bay Buccaneers
40 :  17
Los Angeles Chargers

Dec 8, 2024 - NFL

Las Vegas Raiders
13 :  28
Tampa Bay Buccaneers
L L W W W L
Victories

3/6 (50%)

Draw

0/6 (0%)

Defeats

3/6 (50%)

Jan 12, 2025 - NFL

Washington Commanders
23 :  20
Tampa Bay Buccaneers

Jan 5, 2025 - NFL

New Orleans Saints
19 :  27
Tampa Bay Buccaneers

Dec 29, 2024 - NFL

Carolina Panthers
14 :  48
Tampa Bay Buccaneers

Dec 8, 2024 - NFL

Las Vegas Raiders
13 :  28
Tampa Bay Buccaneers

Nov 10, 2024 - NFL

San Francisco 49ers
23 :  20
Tampa Bay Buccaneers

Oct 27, 2024 - NFL

Atlanta Falcons
31 :  26
Tampa Bay Buccaneers
W L W W W L
Victories

4/6 (67%)

Draw

0/6 (0%)

Defeats

2/6 (33%)

Dec 22, 2024 - NFL

Tampa Bay Buccaneers
24 :  26
Dallas Cowboys

Dec 15, 2024 - NFL

Tampa Bay Buccaneers
40 :  17
Los Angeles Chargers

Dec 1, 2024 - NFL

Tampa Bay Buccaneers
26 :  23
Carolina Panthers

Nov 24, 2024 - NFL

Tampa Bay Buccaneers
30 :  7
New York Giants

Nov 4, 2024 - NFL

Tampa Bay Buccaneers
24 :  30
Kansas City Chiefs

Oct 13, 2024 - NFL

Tampa Bay Buccaneers
51 :  27
New Orleans Saints
Atlanta Falcons
Atlanta Falcons Latest matches
L L W W L L
Victories

2/6 (33%)

Draw

0/6 (0%)

Defeats

4/6 (67%)

Jan 5, 2025 - NFL

Carolina Panthers
44 :  38
Atlanta Falcons

Dec 29, 2024 - NFL

Atlanta Falcons
24 :  30
Washington Commanders

Dec 22, 2024 - NFL

New York Giants
7 :  34
Atlanta Falcons

Dec 16, 2024 - NFL

Atlanta Falcons
15 :  9
Las Vegas Raiders

Dec 8, 2024 - NFL

Atlanta Falcons
21 :  42
Minnesota Vikings

Dec 1, 2024 - NFL

Los Angeles Chargers
17 :  13
Atlanta Falcons
W L W L W L
Victories

3/6 (50%)

Draw

0/6 (0%)

Defeats

3/6 (50%)

Jan 5, 2025 - NFL

Carolina Panthers
44 :  38
Atlanta Falcons

Dec 22, 2024 - NFL

New York Giants
7 :  34
Atlanta Falcons

Dec 1, 2024 - NFL

Los Angeles Chargers
17 :  13
Atlanta Falcons

Nov 3, 2024 - NFL

Dallas Cowboys
21 :  27
Atlanta Falcons

Oct 20, 2024 - NFL

Seattle Seahawks
34 :  14
Atlanta Falcons

Oct 3, 2024 - NFL

Tampa Bay Buccaneers
30 :  36
Atlanta Falcons
W L L L W L
Victories

2/6 (33%)

Draw

0/6 (0%)

Defeats

4/6 (67%)

Dec 29, 2024 - NFL

Atlanta Falcons
24 :  30
Washington Commanders

Dec 16, 2024 - NFL

Atlanta Falcons
15 :  9
Las Vegas Raiders

Dec 8, 2024 - NFL

Atlanta Falcons
21 :  42
Minnesota Vikings

Nov 17, 2024 - NFL

Atlanta Falcons
6 :  38
Denver Broncos

Nov 10, 2024 - NFL

Atlanta Falcons
17 :  20
New Orleans Saints

Oct 27, 2024 - NFL

Atlanta Falcons
31 :  26
Tampa Bay Buccaneers

Tampa Bay Buccaneers against Atlanta Falcons : Head to Head (H2H)

Tampa Bay Buccaneers

0 %

Draw

0 %

Atlanta Falcons

100 %

Oct 27, 2024 - NFL

Atlanta Falcons
31 :  26
Tampa Bay Buccaneers

Oct 3, 2024 - NFL

Tampa Bay Buccaneers
30 :  36
Atlanta Falcons

Oct 22, 2023 - NFL

Atlanta Falcons
16 :  13
Tampa Bay Buccaneers

Tampa Bay Buccaneers - Atlanta Falcons Key Points

  1. Tampa Bay was 0-2 SU vs the Falcons last season
  2. Tampa Bay was 5-3 SU on the road last season
  3. Atlanta was 4-5 SU at home last season
  4. Atlanta is 3-1 SU vs Tampa Bay in the last 4 meetings

Our Tampa Bay Buccaneers vs Atlanta Falcons Prediction

The Bucs are short favorites in this game, partly due to the fact that they just won the NFC South a year ago and do not have as many question marks as the Falcons do. That being said, Atlanta has plenty of playmakers on the offensive side of the ball and has the potential to be one of the league’s top scoring teams, depending on the play of Michael Penix Jr.

Further, Atlanta’s defense is a question mark with some new faces, including rookies Jalon Walker and James Pierce Jr. Add in the fact that the Falcons have had the Bucs' number over the last two seasons, beating them in three of their last four meetings, which includes both meetings last season. Because of that, our Atlanta Falcons vs Tampa Bay Buccaneers prediction is: Atlanta Falcons ML.

Prediction:

 

Atlanta Falcons ML

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Tampa Bay Buccaneers vs Atlanta Falcons Picks