Tallon Griekspoor vs Matteo Arnaldi Prediction & Picks - ATP National Bank Open
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by Lou Aguila in ATP National Bank Open Picks
Tallon Griekspoor will try to follow up his upset win over Alexander Zverev with a convincing win over clay-court grinder Matteo Arnaldi in the third round of the 2026 Montreal Masters.
Griekspoor is an enticing pick to cover -3.5 games (+140) on DraftKings.
Current Form:
Tallon Griekspoor pulled off a massive win in the second round, taking down reigning French Open champion and world No.3 Tallon Griekspoor in three sets, 6-7, 6-2, 6-4. Griekspoor conceded only one service game and broke Zverev four times behind 36 return points. Griekspoor is 6-5 on the hard court in 2026.
Matteo Arnaldi gutted out a three-set win over Fabian Marozsan 7-5, 6-2, 6-4 to stay in contention in Montreal. The French Open semifinalist is 2-4 on the hard court in 2026.
The Matchup: Arnaldi defeated Griekspoor 6-7, 6-3, 7-6, 6-3 in the first round of the 2026 French Open. However, the court conditions for their second meeting significantly favor Griekspoor, who boasts a 63 percent win rate on the surface.
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Tallon Griekspoor vs Matteo Arnaldi Form
Tallon Griekspoor and Matteo Arnaldi Latest Matches
2/6 (33%)
4/6 (67%)
Aug 5, 2026 - ATP National Bank Open
Aug 4, 2026 - ATP National Bank Open
Jul 27, 2026 - ATP Washington Citi Open
Jun 30, 2026 - ATP Wimbledon Championships
Jun 16, 2026 - ATP Halle Open
Jun 11, 2026 - ATP Libema Open
3/6 (50%)
3/6 (50%)
Aug 5, 2026 - ATP National Bank Open
Jul 16, 2026 - ATP Umag Open
Jul 15, 2026 - ATP Umag Open
Jun 30, 2026 - ATP Wimbledon Championships
Jun 23, 2026 - ATP Eastbourne International
Jun 21, 2026 - ATP Eastbourne International
Tallon Griekspoor against Matteo Arnaldi : Head to Head (H2H)
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100 %
May 26, 2026 - ATP French Open
Tallon Griekspoor - Matteo Arnaldi Key Points
- Tallon Griekspoor owns a 63.3 percent win rate on the hard court.
- Tallon Griekspoor is 13-13 in third-round matches in 2026.
- Matteo Arnaldi is 2-4 on the hard court in 2026.
- Matteo Arnaldi is 7-8 in third-round matches in 2026.
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Our Tallon Griekspoor vs Matteo Arnaldi Prediction
The Difference Maker: Griekspoor is 6-5 on the hard court in 2026. On this surface. Griekspoor is winning 72.1 percent of his first serves and averaging 7.9 aces per match. The win over Zverev also serves as a confidence booster for Griekspoor, who now has two top-10 wins this season.
Arnaldi is 2-4 on the hard court and converting only 27.8 percent of break chances on the surface.
What to Expect: Arnaldi puts up a challenge in the first set, but Griekspoor's hard-court pedigree eventually prevails, carving out a straight-set win over the Italian.
Fearless Forecast: Tallon Griekspoor wins 6-4, 6-4
Our betting prediction for Tallon Griekspoor vs. Matteo Arnaldi: Tallon Griekspoor -3.5 games
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All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
