ATP Canadian Open Picks & Predictions
ATP Canadian Open: Tournament Format and Predictions
Looking to make a tennis prediction for the ATP National Bank Open but not sure who to back? You've come to the right place! First played in 1881, this historic Canadian tournament is set for another huge year, and our experts will be tracking every match closely!
Each year, the tournament alternates between Toronto and Montreal, with the women playing in one city and the men in the other. After Ben Shelton's title run in Toronto last year, this season's Masters 1000 in Montreal will see the top hardcourt players battle it out from August 2-13. Who's got what it takes to win the Canadian Open? Which players should you be backing for your bets? You'll find it all right here on this page dedicated to the National Bank Open presented by Rogers.
Tournament Details
- Location: Montreal (Canada)
- Dates: August 2nd - August 13th, 2026
- Surface: Hard Court
- Prize Money: $9,415,724
- Defending Champion: Ben Shelton
Our 2026 Canadian Open Winner Pick
Ben Shelton puts his title on the line at the 2026 Montreal tournament! As always, the tour's best players split their appearances between Montreal and Toronto, and this year the men head to Montreal. Among the top hardcourt players right now is world No. 1 and 2023 champion Jannik Sinner. Earlier this season, he swept every hardcourt Masters 1000 event, including the Sunshine Double. Hard court has always been his best surface, and barring injury, his opponents will have a tough time slowing him down.
Other past champions will also be in the field, including defending champ Ben Shelton (2025), Daniil Medvedev (2021), and Alexander Zverev (2017), all of whom will be looking to throw a wrench in Sinner's plans. Our ATP Montreal 2026 prediction: Jannik Sinner takes the title!
Our Canadian Open Betting Tips
To make solid predictions for the ATP National Bank Open in Montreal, there are a few key factors worth checking before every match. Here's what our tennis specialists say you should always look at before placing a bet. Following these tips should help sharpen your results and boost your returns for this year's Montreal Masters.
Factor in player form
The single most useful thing you can look at for any tennis match — and especially for this Montreal event — is the current form of both players. Recent results (wins and losses) give you a solid read on where each player stands right now, both in terms of level of play and mental state. Beyond the win/loss column, it's also worth digging into stats from recent matches.
The most useful numbers here are sets won, games won, winners hit by each player, unforced errors, and serve/return efficiency. Breaking down these details gives you a clearer picture of each player's momentum heading into the match.
The playing surface
This is a huge piece of the puzzle when making predictions. Surface has a major impact on how certain players perform. Some players are versatile across all surfaces, while others really only shine on one.
Jannik Sinner is a great example. While he's strong across the board, the young Italian is at his best on hard courts, his favorite surface. His compatriot Matteo Berrettini, on the other hand, does his best work on grass, where he reached the Wimbledon final in 2021. He's a much better bet on a grass-court tournament than on hard court or clay.
Every player has surface preferences. The National Bank Open is played on hard courts, so our experts pay close attention to how both players have performed recently on that surface before making a call.
Study head-to-head history
Our third tip before betting on a match at the Montreal tournament: check the recent head-to-head history between the two players. Psychology plays a massive role in sports, and even more so in an individual sport like tennis.
Building on the surface point above, pay special attention to recent head-to-head meetings on hard court specifically, since this Masters 1000 is played on that surface. If a player has dropped four straight hard-court matchups to today's opponent over the past two years, that's a sign they're a tier below on this surface, and it's probably messing with their head, too. Keep that in mind before locking in your bet.
Look at tournament history
Fourth factor to weigh for your ATP Montreal picks: check how players have performed in past editions of this event. Just like with surface, plenty of players have a tournament that means something extra to them, one where they really want to shine.
A lot goes into that: crowd energy, weather conditions, where it falls on the calendar, and more. You'll often see the same names go deep year after year. To sharpen your analysis on any given match, take a look at each player's track record at the National Bank Open.
Check the ATP rankings
The last box to check is the ATP rankings heading into the Montreal Masters 1000. Beyond giving you a read on each player's level (or confirming what you already suspected), the rankings can also help you gauge motivation.
If a player has a shot at cracking the top 10, hitting a new career-high ranking, or becoming the top-ranked player from their country or age group, expect their motivation to be sky-high. Same goes for a player defending a title or a deep run from last year. With so many ranking points on the line, and some players fighting to defend them, motivation can run especially high in this event.
Stats to Know for Your Canadian Open Predictions
Beyond these tips, it's worth keeping an eye on the numbers and trends from past editions of the Canadian Open. They're a great way to spot patterns and get a feel for what to expect from this year's event. To help you place the most informed bets possible this season, our tennis experts have pulled together the key numbers from this Masters 1000.
Stats from the 2025 edition in Toronto*
- Average games per match: 24.2 games
- Two-set matches: 62%
- Three-set matches: 38%
- Matches where the winner took the first set: 78%
- Matches with a golden set (6-0): 2%
- Matches with a first-set tiebreak: 24%
- Matches with a second-set tiebreak: 17%
- Matches with a third-set tiebreak: 10% (27% of three-set matches)
Stats from the last Montreal edition (2024)*
- Average games per match: 23.1 games
- Two-set matches: 65%
- Three-set matches: 35%
- Matches where the winner took the first set: 81%
- Matches with a golden set (6-0): 2%
- Matches with a first-set tiebreak: 13%
- Matches with a second-set tiebreak: 21%
- Matches with a third-set tiebreak: 4% (11% of three-set matches)
* The tournament alternates between Montreal and Toronto every other year.
If you're looking to place a bet on something other than the outright winner: total games, sets, tiebreaks, or exact scores... these numbers will come in handy. Bookmark this page and come back to them whenever you need to!
In short: How to make a good Canadian Open Prediction?
To get an edge on sportsbooks in July 2026, we'd recommend keeping the tips on this page from our tennis specialists close at hand. You can also lean on our stats from past editions to help make the smartest betting choices for ATP Montreal 2026.
Our Current Canadian Open Predictions
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