Sweden vs Poland Prediction & Picks - UEFA Nations League

Europe - UEFA Nations League

Sweden
9/28/26 14:45
Poland

Prediction:

 

Sweden win the match

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 by Tyler Doty | in UEFA Nations League Picks

This is a match you won’t want to miss! It’s not just a Sweden vs. Poland match, it’s a rematch of the World Cup qualifying playoffs. Sweden won that match 3-2 thanks to a goal by Viktor Gyökeres in the final minutes of the game. The yellow-and-blue squad wants to drive the point home against their opponent, especially since Graham Potter’s team is coming off a win against Romania, with the Gunners’ forward once again proving decisive. Isak scored the first goal, making for an extremely dangerous attacking duo. One thing is certain: with a quality midfield and attack, the Blagult can beat anyone in the Nations League!

Poland is going through a rough patch. We’re in a period where the red-and-whites aren’t as strong as they used to be. Robert Lewandowski is still leading the attack, but that’s no longer enough. Jan Urban and his men have not won in four matches, have kept just one clean sheet in seven games (0-0 vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina), and have conceded 11 goals since late 2025. Many questions surround the Eagles that are unlikely to be answered by the end of the 90 minutes.

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Sweden vs Poland Form

Table

Teams Pts P W D L GD
1 Sweden
13 5 4 1 0 +5
3 Poland
4 5 1 1 3 +2

Sweden and Poland Latest Matches

Sweden
Sweden Latest matches
D W L D L W
Victories

2/6 (33%)

Draw

2/6 (33%)

Defeats

2/6 (33%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

4 Total goals
83% BTTS
1.83 Goals scored
2.17 Goals conceded
83% Over 2.5
17% Under 2.5

Sep 25, 2026 - UEFA Nations League

Sweden
2 :  1
Romania

Jun 30, 2026 - World Cup

France
3 :  0
Sweden

Jun 25, 2026 - World Cup

Japan
1 :  1
Sweden

Jun 20, 2026 - World Cup

Netherlands
5 :  1
Sweden

Jun 14, 2026 - World Cup

Sweden
5 :  1
Tunisia

Jun 4, 2026 - International Friendlies

Sweden
2 :  2
Greece
L D W D W W
Victories

3/6 (50%)

Draw

2/6 (33%)

Defeats

1/6 (17%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3.5 Total goals
83% BTTS
2.17 Goals scored
1.33 Goals conceded
67% Over 2.5
33% Under 2.5

Sep 25, 2026 - UEFA Nations League

Sweden
2 :  1
Romania

Jun 14, 2026 - World Cup

Sweden
5 :  1
Tunisia

Jun 4, 2026 - International Friendlies

Sweden
2 :  2
Greece

Mar 31, 2026 - World Cup

Sweden
3 :  2
Poland

Nov 18, 2025 - World Cup

Sweden
1 :  1
Slovenia

Oct 13, 2025 - World Cup

Sweden
0 :  1
Kosovo
L W L L D L
Victories

1/6 (17%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Defeats

4/6 (67%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

4 Total goals
83% BTTS
1.17 Goals scored
2.83 Goals conceded
83% Over 2.5
17% Under 2.5

Jun 30, 2026 - World Cup

France
3 :  0
Sweden

Jun 25, 2026 - World Cup

Japan
1 :  1
Sweden

Jun 20, 2026 - World Cup

Netherlands
5 :  1
Sweden

Jun 1, 2026 - International Friendlies

Norway
3 :  1
Sweden

Mar 26, 2026 - World Cup

Ukraine
1 :  3
Sweden

Nov 15, 2025 - World Cup

Switzerland
4 :  1
Sweden
Poland
Poland Latest matches
W W L L D D
Victories

2/6 (33%)

Draw

2/6 (33%)

Defeats

2/6 (33%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3.17 Total goals
67% BTTS
1.5 Goals scored
1.67 Goals conceded
67% Over 2.5
33% Under 2.5

Sep 25, 2026 - UEFA Nations League

Poland
0 :  0
Bosnia Herzegovina

Jun 3, 2026 - International Friendlies

Poland
2 :  2
Nigeria

May 31, 2026 - International Friendlies

Poland
0 :  2
Ukraine

Mar 31, 2026 - World Cup

Sweden
3 :  2
Poland

Mar 26, 2026 - World Cup

Poland
2 :  1
Albania

Nov 17, 2025 - World Cup

Malta
2 :  3
Poland
W D W L D D
Victories

2/6 (33%)

Draw

3/6 (50%)

Defeats

1/6 (17%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2 Total goals
50% BTTS
1 Goals scored
1 Goals conceded
33% Over 2.5
67% Under 2.5

Sep 25, 2026 - UEFA Nations League

Poland
0 :  0
Bosnia Herzegovina

Jun 3, 2026 - International Friendlies

Poland
2 :  2
Nigeria

May 31, 2026 - International Friendlies

Poland
0 :  2
Ukraine

Mar 26, 2026 - World Cup

Poland
2 :  1
Albania

Nov 14, 2025 - World Cup

Poland
1 :  1
Netherlands

Oct 9, 2025 - International Friendlies

Poland
1 :  0
New Zealand
L L D W W L
Victories

2/6 (33%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Defeats

3/6 (50%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3.83 Total goals
83% BTTS
1.67 Goals scored
2.17 Goals conceded
67% Over 2.5
33% Under 2.5

Mar 31, 2026 - World Cup

Sweden
3 :  2
Poland

Nov 17, 2025 - World Cup

Malta
2 :  3
Poland

Oct 12, 2025 - World Cup

Lithuania
0 :  2
Poland

Sep 4, 2025 - World Cup

Netherlands
1 :  1
Poland

Jun 10, 2025 - World Cup

Finland
2 :  1
Poland

Nov 15, 2024 - UEFA Nations League

Portugal
5 :  1
Poland

Sweden against Poland : Head to Head (H2H)

Sweden

67 %

Draw

0 %

Poland

33 %

Average stats (last H2H results)

4
Total goals
66.67%
BTTS
2
Goals scored
2
Goals conceded
66.67%
Over 2.5
33.33%
Under 2.5

Mar 31, 2026 - World Cup

Sweden
3 :  2
Poland

Mar 29, 2022 - World Cup

Poland
2 :  0
Sweden

Jun 23, 2021 - Euro

Sweden
3 :  2
Poland
Sweden vs Poland Picks

Sweden against Poland Lineups: Starting 11

Sweden

Formation : 4 - 4 - 2

12
V. Johansson
8
D. Svensson
15
C. Starfelt
3
V. Lindelof
5
G. Gudmundsson
11
P. Walemark
7
L. Bergvall
18
Y. Ayari
22
B. Zeneli
10
B. Nygren
17
V. Gyokeres
13
M. Zukowski
20
S. Szymanski
15
T. Puchacz
16
W. Nowak
10
P. Zielinski
21
N. Zalewski
14
J. Kiwior
5
J. Bednarek
3
P. Wisniewski
2
M. Cash
1
M. Bulka

Formation : 4 - 4 - 1 - 1

Poland

Substitutes

Sweden
Sweden
Goalkeeper

N. Tornqvist

M. Ellborg

Defender

A. Bernhardsson

P. Walemark 80'

G. Lagerbielke

J. Mellberg

H. Skoglund

E. Stroud

Midfielder

W. Swedberg

Y. Ayari 89'

P. Abraham

H. Larsson

B. Nygren 80'

J. Karlstrom

V. Gyokeres 89'

S. Nanasi

B. Zeneli 63'

Poland
Poland
Goalkeeper

M. Kochalski

S. Abramowicz

Defender

T. Kedziora

K. Potulski

W. Monka

P. Frankowski

T. Puchacz 65'

Midfielder

B. Slisz

K. Urbanski

P. Zielinski 75'

M. Regula

Forward

R. Lewandowski

P. Wisniewski 88'

M. Skoras

S. Szymanski 75'

K. Swiderski

M. Cash 75'

Most goals and assists

CD Huachipato Sweden
CD Huachipato Poland
Top Goalscorer
Sweden V. Gyokeres (6 Goals)
Top Goalscorer
Poland R. Lewandowski (3 Goals)
Best assists
Sweden Y. Ayari (1 Assists) , 
Sweden S. Nanasi (1 Assists) , 
Sweden P. Walemark (1 Assists) , 
Sweden V. Lindelof (1 Assists) , 
Sweden A. Bernhardsson (1 Assists) , 
Sweden A. Elanga (1 Assists)
Best assists
Poland N. Zalewski (2 Assists) , 
Poland S. Szymanski (2 Assists)

Sweden - Poland Key Points

  1. Sweden has won 4 of the last 5 head-to-head matches.
  2. Sweden won their last match 2-1.
  3. Poland has suffered 2 losses and 2 draws in their last 4 matches.
  4. Poland has conceded 7 goals during that stretch.
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Our Sweden vs Poland Prediction

Sweden heads into this match as our experts’ favorite. At the same time, history is on the Swedes’ side, and Poland’s recent performances are clearly not encouraging. If the Isak-Gyokeres duo continues to make an impact in the opponent’s box, the Poles are likely to face a tough match.

Our Sweden vs. Poland prediction: a Sweden victory!

Prediction:

 

Sweden win the match

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All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.