Roma vs AC Milan Prediction & Picks - Serie A

Italy - Serie A

Roma
1/25/26 14:45
AC Milan

Prediction:

 

Draw and under 2.5 goals

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 by Simon Day | in Serie A Picks

The biggest Serie A clash of the weekend sees fourth place Roma host second place AC Milan at the Stadio Olimpico on Sunday evening. 

Both sides come into the game in excellent form. Roma's 2-0 win at Torino last weekend was their third 2-0 league win in a row, and they followed it up with another 2-0 success in Europe against German side Stuttgart. Remarkably, Roma have conceded just 12 goals in 21 Serie A matches this season, comfortably the best defensive record in the division. 

Milan are now six games unbeaten following their narrow 1-0 win over Lecce on Sunday. Like Roma, their recent success has been down to a rock solid defence, and Max Allegri's side have now conceded just three times in their last six fixtures. 

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Roma vs AC Milan Form

Table

Teams Pts P W D L GD
3 Roma
73 38 23 4 11 +28
5 AC Milan
70 38 20 10 8 +18

Roma and AC Milan Latest Matches

Roma
Roma Latest matches
L W W L W W
Victories

4/6 (67%)

Draw

0/6 (0%)

Defeats

2/6 (33%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.33 Total goals
17% BTTS
1.67 Goals scored
0.67 Goals conceded
17% Over 2.5
83% Under 2.5

Jan 22, 2026 - Europa League

Roma
2 :  0
Stuttgart

Jan 18, 2026 - Serie A

Torino FC
0 :  2
Roma

Jan 13, 2026 - Coppa Italia

Roma
2 :  3
Torino FC

Jan 10, 2026 - Serie A

Roma
2 :  0
Sassuolo

Jan 6, 2026 - Serie A

Lecce
0 :  2
Roma

Jan 3, 2026 - Serie A

Atalanta
1 :  0
Roma
L W W W L W
Victories

4/6 (67%)

Draw

0/6 (0%)

Defeats

2/6 (33%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.5 Total goals
33% BTTS
1.67 Goals scored
0.83 Goals conceded
33% Over 2.5
67% Under 2.5

Jan 22, 2026 - Europa League

Roma
2 :  0
Stuttgart

Jan 13, 2026 - Coppa Italia

Roma
2 :  3
Torino FC

Jan 10, 2026 - Serie A

Roma
2 :  0
Sassuolo

Dec 29, 2025 - Serie A

Roma
3 :  1
Genoa

Dec 15, 2025 - Serie A

Roma
1 :  0
Como 1907

Nov 30, 2025 - Serie A

Roma
0 :  1
Napoli
L W L L W W
Victories

3/6 (50%)

Draw

0/6 (0%)

Defeats

3/6 (50%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2 Total goals
17% BTTS
1.33 Goals scored
0.67 Goals conceded
33% Over 2.5
67% Under 2.5

Jan 18, 2026 - Serie A

Torino FC
0 :  2
Roma

Jan 6, 2026 - Serie A

Lecce
0 :  2
Roma

Jan 3, 2026 - Serie A

Atalanta
1 :  0
Roma

Dec 20, 2025 - Serie A

Juventus
2 :  1
Roma

Dec 11, 2025 - Europa League

Celtic
0 :  3
Roma

Dec 7, 2025 - Serie A

Cagliari
1 :  0
Roma
AC Milan
AC Milan Latest matches
W W D D W W
Victories

4/6 (67%)

Draw

2/6 (33%)

Defeats

0/6 (0%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.17 Total goals
50% BTTS
1.67 Goals scored
0.5 Goals conceded
33% Over 2.5
67% Under 2.5

Jan 18, 2026 - Serie A

AC Milan
1 :  0
Lecce

Jan 15, 2026 - Serie A

Como 1907
1 :  3
AC Milan

Jan 11, 2026 - Serie A

Fiorentina
1 :  1
AC Milan

Jan 8, 2026 - Serie A

AC Milan
1 :  1
Genoa

Jan 2, 2026 - Serie A

Cagliari
0 :  1
AC Milan

Dec 28, 2025 - Serie A

AC Milan
3 :  0
Hellas Verona
W W D W D W
Victories

4/6 (67%)

Draw

2/6 (33%)

Defeats

0/6 (0%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2 Total goals
33% BTTS
1.5 Goals scored
0.5 Goals conceded
33% Over 2.5
67% Under 2.5

Jan 18, 2026 - Serie A

AC Milan
1 :  0
Lecce

Jan 8, 2026 - Serie A

AC Milan
1 :  1
Genoa

Dec 28, 2025 - Serie A

AC Milan
3 :  0
Hellas Verona

Dec 14, 2025 - Serie A

AC Milan
2 :  2
Sassuolo

Nov 29, 2025 - Serie A

AC Milan
1 :  0
Lazio

Nov 2, 2025 - Serie A

AC Milan
1 :  0
Roma
L W L W D W
Victories

3/6 (50%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Defeats

2/6 (33%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.5 Total goals
50% BTTS
1.33 Goals scored
1.17 Goals conceded
33% Over 2.5
67% Under 2.5

Jan 15, 2026 - Serie A

Como 1907
1 :  3
AC Milan

Jan 11, 2026 - Serie A

Fiorentina
1 :  1
AC Milan

Jan 2, 2026 - Serie A

Cagliari
0 :  1
AC Milan

Dec 18, 2025 - Italian Super Cup

Napoli
2 :  0
AC Milan

Dec 8, 2025 - Serie A

Torino FC
2 :  3
AC Milan

Dec 4, 2025 - Coppa Italia

Lazio
1 :  0
AC Milan

Roma against AC Milan : Head to Head (H2H)

Roma

50 %

Draw

17 %

AC Milan

33 %

Average stats (last H2H results)

3.5
Total goals
83.33%
BTTS
2
Goals scored
1.5
Goals conceded
66.67%
Over 2.5
33.33%
Under 2.5

Nov 2, 2025 - Serie A

AC Milan
1 :  0
Roma

May 18, 2025 - Serie A

Roma
3 :  1
AC Milan

Feb 5, 2025 - Coppa Italia

AC Milan
3 :  1
Roma

Dec 29, 2024 - Serie A

AC Milan
1 :  1
Roma

May 31, 2024 - Clubs Friendlies

Roma
5 :  2
AC Milan

Apr 18, 2024 - Europa League

Roma
2 :  1
AC Milan
Roma vs AC Milan Picks

Roma against AC Milan Lineups: Starting 11

Roma

Formation : 3 - 4 - 2 - 1

99
M. Svilar
23
G. Mancini
5
E. Ndicka
87
D. Ghilardi
19
Z. Celik
4
B. Cristante
17
M. Kone
43
W. Franca
18
M. Soule
21
P. Dybala
14
D. Malen
10
R. Leao
18
C. Nkunku
33
D. Bartesaghi
12
A. Rabiot
14
L. Modric
4
S. Ricci
56
A. Saelemaekers
5
K. De Winter
46
M. Gabbia
23
F. Tomori
16
M. Maignan

Formation : 3 - 5 - 2

AC Milan

Substitutes

Roma
Roma
Goalkeeper

D. Vasquez

P. Gollini

Defender

K. Tsimikas

E. Lulli

J. Ziolkowski

Midfielder

N. El Aynaoui

N. Pisilli

M. Kone 59'

L. Pellegrini

P. Dybala 69'

Forward

E. Ferguson

R. Vaz

D. Malen 69'

L. Venturino

M. Soule 85'

AC Milan
AC Milan
Goalkeeper

L. Torriani

P. Terracciano

Defender

D. Odogu

P. Estupinan

Z. Athekame

A. Saelemaekers 46'

S. Pavlovic

Midfielder

Y. Fofana

A. Jashari

R. Loftus-Cheek

S. Ricci 80'

Forward

C. Pulisic

C. Nkunku 69'

N. Fullkrug

R. Leao 69'

Missing players

Roma
Roma
Defender

M. Hermoso

AC Milan
AC Milan

Most goals and assists

CD Huachipato Roma
CD Huachipato AC Milan
Top Goalscorer
Netherlands D. Malen (14 Goals)
Top Goalscorer
Portugal R. Leao (9 Goals)
Best assists
Argentina P. Dybala (7 Assists)
Best assists
France A. Rabiot (4 Assists) , 
USA C. Pulisic (4 Assists) , 
Italy S. Ricci (4 Assists)

Roma - AC Milan Key Points

  1. Roma have kept clean sheet sin each of their last 3 Serie A games
  2. There have been under 2.5 goals in each of Roma's last 4 league games
  3. There have been under 2.5 goals in 4 of Milan's last 5 matches
  4. Milan are unbeaten in their last 6 matches
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Our Roma vs AC Milan Prediction

These are the two strongest defences in Seie A, so we are expecting this to be a war of attrition with very few goal-scoring chances. As such, 'under 2.5 goals' looks a sure fire bet.

Picking a winner is a much tricky task, as these are two very evenly matched sides. Given that both Roma and Milan have proved to be extremely tough to beat over the last few months, we are inclined to take the draw at 3.10.

Our prediction for AS Roma vs AC Milan is: Draw and under 2.5 goals. 

Prediction:

 

Draw and under 2.5 goals

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All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.