Rafael Jodar vs Brandon Nakashima Prediction & Picks - ATP National Bank Open
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by Lou Aguila | in ATP National Bank Open Picks
Rafael Jodar targets his fourth consecutive straight-set win in Wednesday’s semifinal duel with Brandon Nakashima at the 2026 Canadian Open.
Current Form:
After grinding out Corentin Moutet in the second round, 4-6, 6-1, 6-3, Rafael Jodar has steamrolled his next three opponents to reach the semifinals of an ATP 1000 event. Jodar, a finalist at Washington, swept Lorenzo Musetti 6-4, 6-3, Jiri Lehecka 6-3, 6-3 and Arthur Fils 7-6, 6-3.
Brandon Nakashima has also dazzled in Montreal this past week. The American defeated Daniel Altmaier 6-2, 6-1, gutted out three-set wins over Frenchmen Titouan Droguet 4-6, 6-2, 7-5 and Arthur Rinderknech 7-5, 5-7, 7-5 and outclassed Luciano Darderi 6-2, 6-3 to book his spot in the semifinals.
The Matchup: Jodar opened as a clear-cut favorite at -240 ahead of his first showdown with Nakashima, who received a +3.5-game head start.
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Rafael Jodar vs Brandon Nakashima Form
Rafael Jodar and Brandon Nakashima Latest Matches
5/6 (83%)
1/6 (17%)
Aug 11, 2026 - ATP National Bank Open
Aug 8, 2026 - ATP National Bank Open
Aug 6, 2026 - ATP National Bank Open
Aug 5, 2026 - ATP National Bank Open
Aug 3, 2026 - ATP Washington Citi Open
Aug 1, 2026 - ATP Washington Citi Open
5/6 (83%)
1/6 (17%)
Aug 11, 2026 - ATP National Bank Open
Aug 8, 2026 - ATP National Bank Open
Aug 6, 2026 - ATP National Bank Open
Aug 4, 2026 - ATP National Bank Open
Aug 1, 2026 - ATP Washington Citi Open
Jul 31, 2026 - ATP Washington Citi Open
Rafael Jodar - Brandon Nakashima Key Points
- Rafael Jodar is 24-7 on the hard court in 2026.
- Rafael Jodar is 13-10 vs. top-50 players in 2026.
- Brandon Nakashima is 16-7 on the hard court in 2026.
- Brandon Nakashima is 10-9 vs. top-50 players in 2026.
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Our Rafael Jodar vs Brandon Nakashima Prediction
The Difference Maker: Jodar has won 8 of his last 9 matches on the tour. Moreover, the Spaniard is dishing serious damage on both sides of the ball in this tournament, winning 71 percent of his first balls and converting 54.1 percent of breakpoints.
He has also beaten a more accomplished set of players than the foes Nakashima defeated on his way to the semifinals. Jodar defeated two legit top-20 players in Jiri Lehecka and Lorenzo Musetti and fellow rising star Arthur Fils.
Meanwhile, Luciano Darderi is the only solid player Nakashima defeated in this competition, and Darderi is not known to be a threat on hard courts.
What to Expect: Rafael Jodar overwhelms Brandon Nakashima to win in straight sets. Jodar offers too much firepower for Nakashima to handle.
Fearless Forecast: Rafael Jodar wins 6-4, 6-4
Our betting prediction for Rafael Jodar vs. Brandon Nakashima: Rafael Jodar 2-0 Sets
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All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.