Italy vs France Prediction & Picks - UEFA Nations League

Europe - UEFA Nations League

Italy
11/12/26 14:45
France

Prediction:

 

France/Draw & BTTS

−114
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 by Tyler Doty | in UEFA Nations League Picks

This is one of the biggest showdowns as the Nations League group stage draws to a close! Italy faces France this Thursday in matchday 5 of the Nations League at the Stadio Giuseppe Meazza in Milan. Back at the helm of the Squadra Azzurra, Roberto Mancini has gotten the team off to a strong start in this latest edition of the European tournament. The Italian national team is more in contention than ever to reach the quarterfinals, sitting in second place in the group after the first four matches. The Italians have the chance to draw level with Les Bleus, as only three points separate the two nations.

Now under the guidance of Zinédine Zidane, France put on a strong showing during last month’s international break. Les Bleus remain undefeated after the first four matchdays with three victories. Only Italy managed to hold them to a draw in the first leg (1-1). The French national team will look to set the record straight with a win in Lombardy. A victory would not only secure their spot in the quarterfinals but also guarantee first place in Group 1.

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Italy vs France Form

Table

Teams Pts P W D L GD
1 France
10 4 3 1 0 +5
2 Italy
7 4 2 1 1 +3

Italy and France Latest Matches

Italy
Italy Latest matches
W W L W D W
Victories

4/6 (67%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Defeats

1/6 (17%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.5 Total goals
50% BTTS
1.67 Goals scored
0.83 Goals conceded
33% Over 2.5
67% Under 2.5

Oct 5, 2026 - UEFA Nations League

Italy
3 :  1
Turkiye

Oct 2, 2026 - UEFA Nations League

France
1 :  1
Italy

Sep 28, 2026 - UEFA Nations League

Turkiye
1 :  4
Italy

Sep 25, 2026 - UEFA Nations League

Italy
0 :  2
Belgium

Jun 7, 2026 - International Friendlies

Greece
0 :  1
Italy

Jun 3, 2026 - International Friendlies

Luxembourg
0 :  1
Italy
W W L W L W
Victories

4/6 (67%)

Draw

0/6 (0%)

Defeats

2/6 (33%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3.5 Total goals
33% BTTS
2.33 Goals scored
1.17 Goals conceded
67% Over 2.5
33% Under 2.5

Oct 5, 2026 - UEFA Nations League

Italy
3 :  1
Turkiye

Sep 25, 2026 - UEFA Nations League

Italy
0 :  2
Belgium

Mar 26, 2026 - World Cup

Italy
2 :  0
Northern Ireland

Nov 16, 2025 - World Cup

Italy
1 :  4
Norway

Oct 14, 2025 - World Cup

Italy
3 :  0
Israel

Sep 5, 2025 - World Cup

Italy
5 :  0
Estonia
W D W W W D
Victories

4/6 (67%)

Draw

2/6 (33%)

Defeats

0/6 (0%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.17 Total goals
50% BTTS
1.67 Goals scored
0.5 Goals conceded
17% Over 2.5
83% Under 2.5

Oct 2, 2026 - UEFA Nations League

France
1 :  1
Italy

Sep 28, 2026 - UEFA Nations League

Turkiye
1 :  4
Italy

Jun 7, 2026 - International Friendlies

Greece
0 :  1
Italy

Jun 3, 2026 - International Friendlies

Luxembourg
0 :  1
Italy

Mar 31, 2026 - World Cup

Bosnia Herzegovina
1 :  1
Italy

Nov 13, 2025 - World Cup

Moldova
0 :  2
Italy
France
France Latest matches
L L W W D W
Victories

3/6 (50%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Defeats

2/6 (33%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3.5 Total goals
50% BTTS
1.83 Goals scored
1.67 Goals conceded
33% Over 2.5
67% Under 2.5

Oct 5, 2026 - UEFA Nations League

France
4 :  1
Belgium

Oct 2, 2026 - UEFA Nations League

France
1 :  1
Italy

Sep 28, 2026 - UEFA Nations League

Belgium
0 :  1
France

Sep 25, 2026 - UEFA Nations League

Turkiye
0 :  1
France

Jul 18, 2026 - World Cup

France
4 :  6
England

Jul 14, 2026 - World Cup

France
0 :  2
Spain
W W L L D W
Victories

3/6 (50%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Defeats

2/6 (33%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

4 Total goals
50% BTTS
2.33 Goals scored
1.67 Goals conceded
50% Over 2.5
50% Under 2.5

Oct 5, 2026 - UEFA Nations League

France
4 :  1
Belgium

Oct 2, 2026 - UEFA Nations League

France
1 :  1
Italy

Jul 18, 2026 - World Cup

France
4 :  6
England

Jul 14, 2026 - World Cup

France
0 :  2
Spain

Jul 9, 2026 - World Cup

France
2 :  0
Morocco

Jun 30, 2026 - World Cup

France
3 :  0
Sweden
W W W W W W
Victories

6/6 (100%)

Draw

0/6 (0%)

Defeats

0/6 (0%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.5 Total goals
50% BTTS
2 Goals scored
0.5 Goals conceded
50% Over 2.5
50% Under 2.5

Sep 28, 2026 - UEFA Nations League

Belgium
0 :  1
France

Sep 25, 2026 - UEFA Nations League

Turkiye
0 :  1
France

Jul 4, 2026 - World Cup

Paraguay
0 :  1
France

Jun 26, 2026 - World Cup

Norway
1 :  4
France

Mar 29, 2026 - International Friendlies

Colombia
1 :  3
France

Mar 26, 2026 - International Friendlies

Brazil
1 :  2
France

Italy against France : Head to Head (H2H)

Italy

25 %

Draw

25 %

France

50 %

Average stats (last H2H results)

3.5
Total goals
100%
BTTS
1.5
Goals scored
2
Goals conceded
75%
Over 2.5
25%
Under 2.5

Oct 2, 2026 - UEFA Nations League

France
1 :  1
Italy

Nov 17, 2024 - UEFA Nations League

Italy
1 :  3
France

Sep 6, 2024 - UEFA Nations League

France
1 :  3
Italy

Jun 1, 2018 - International Friendlies

France
3 :  1
Italy
Italy vs France Picks

France v Italy last Lineups

Italy

Formation : 4 - 3 - 3

1
G. Donnarumma
22
G. Di Lorenzo
23
G. Mancini
6
A. Bastoni
3
M. Ruggeri
18
N. Barella
4
A. Romano
15
I. Doumbia
21
A. Vergara
11
G. Scamacca
17
D. Maldini
12
B. Barcola
19
E. Lepaul
7
O. Dembele
8
M. Kone
6
E. Camavinga
18
M. Akliouche
13
A. Diouf
17
M. Lacroix
15
L. Yoro
5
J. Kounde
1
G. Restes

Formation : 4 - 3 - 3

France

Substitutes

Italy
Italy
Goalkeeper

G. Vicario

M. Carnesecchi

Defender

R. Calafiori

G. Scalvini

M. Kayode

Midfielder

N. Cambiaghi

N. Fagioli

D. Frattesi

S. Tonali

Forward

S. Esposito

S. Inacio

F. Esposito

France
France
Goalkeeper

M. Maignan

J. Butez

Defender

A. Truffert

P. Kalulu

Midfielder

A. Rabiot

L. Da Cunha

R. Cherki

Forward

D. Doue

M. Olise

Missing players

Italy
Italy
Defender

G. Mancini

M. Ruggeri

France
France
Defender

J. Kounde

M. Lacroix

Midfielder

M. Akliouche

Forward

O. Dembele

E. Lepaul

Most goals and assists

CD Huachipato Italy
CD Huachipato France
Top Goalscorer
Italy A. Bastoni (2 Goals) , 
Italy F. Esposito (2 Goals)
Top Goalscorer
France M. Olise (4 Goals)
Best assists
Italy F. Esposito (1 Assists) , 
Italy N. Barella (1 Assists)
Best assists
France M. Olise (2 Assists) , 
France R. Cherki (2 Assists) , 
France D. Doue (2 Assists)

Italy and France Stats in UEFA Nations League

Italy
Italy
France
France
50%
Wins
75%
25%
Losses
0%
25%
Draws
25%
3.25
Average goals per match
2.25
2
Goals scored per match
1.75
1.25
Goals conceded per match
0.5
50%
Under 2.5 goals
75%
50%
Over 2.5 goals
25%
0%
No goals conceded
50%
75%
Both score
50%

Italy - France Key Points

  1. France has not lost any of their first four Nations League matches.
  2. Both teams scored in France's last two games.
  3. In the first leg, France and Italy drew 1-1.
  4. Italy has won only twice (both against Turkey) in their first four Nations League matches.
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Our Italy vs France Prediction

In the midst of a battle for a spot in the Nations League quarterfinals, Italy and France are likely to treat us to a high-scoring match at Stadio Giuseppe Meazza. These are two nations that have made a habit of putting on a show in their recent outings. However, we expect Les Bleus to come away with an excellent result, even on the road. Still undefeated in the Nations League, Zinédine Zidane’s men are determined to keep their winning streak going to solidify their first-place position in Group 1 of League A.

Our Italy vs. France prediction: Double Chance: France/Draw & Both teams to score.

Prediction:

 

France/Draw & BTTS

−114
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All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.