Petr Yan vs Merab Dvalishvili Prediction & Picks - UFC Fight Night
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by Bill Christy | in MMA Picks
The third and likely final chapter of the Petr Yan vs. Merab Dvalishvili story will be written prior to the main event Saturday evening.
Merab came out victorious in the first meeting back in 2023. He was successful on 11 of his incredible 49 takedown attempts. He picked up over 6 minutes of control time and swept the decision by winning all 5 rounds with all 3 judges. That win vaulted Merab into the limelight, and after defeating legend Henry Cejudo, Merab was given a title shot against Sean O’Malley and was about to make the most of the opportunity.
In their 2nd meeting, which took place in late 2025, the outcome was much different. Merab was only able to secure 2 takedowns on just 29 attempts. Yan was able to stuff the majority of Merab’s attempts and made him pay with vicious striking while in the standup. He was connecting on over 63% of the strikes he was throwing, and Merab was slowed by the culmination of the 159 that landed. Yan picked up the unanimous victory and became the new champion.
Will this fight be more like the first or more like the second? Rumors swirled that Merab was given the chance to pull out of the 2nd fight due to a knee injury in camp but refused. That could have been a reason why he only attempted roughly half of his previous takedown attempts. Or it could have been that Yan was better prepared this time around.
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Petr Yan - Merab Dvalishvili Key Points
- Merab has only been finished once in his 25-fight career.
- Merab has gone to decision in 7 of his last 8 fights.
- Yan has never been finished in his career.
- Yan has gone to decision in his last 8 fights.
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Our Petr Yan vs Merab Dvalishvili Prediction
No matter who wins this fight. We are highly confident that it will come down to a decision. Between the two fighters, they've fought 51 times, and only Merab has been finished once, in 2018, when Ricky Simon submitted him. Yan has only 1 submission in his career, so we fully expect this one to go the distance once again.
Our prediction for Petr Yan vs Merab Dvalishvili: Fight to go the Distance
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All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.