Aaron Pico vs Losene Keita Prediction & Picks - UFC #333
UFC - UFC #333
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by Stephen Abiola | in UFC Picks
Aaron Pico (14-5-0) versus Losene Keita (17-2-0) is a UFC Featherweight bout on Saturday night at Etihad Arena in Yas Island, the UAE. Aaron Pico will come into this bout as the No. 11-ranked fighter in the division and the -106 betting underdog. The 30-year-old American joined the UFC in August 2025, losing to Lorene Murphy via a Round 1 KO elbow. However, he bounced back with a decision win over Patricio Pitbull in April this year and will want to get a more convincing win against Keita.
Loren Keita is among the newest names in the division, having joined the franchise in March 2026. He lost his debut matchup against Nathaniel Wood via decision before defeating Muhammad Naimov via a Round 1 KO punch last month. The 28-year-old Belgian had to step in on short notice to replace Arnold Allen, who is undergoing rehabilitation. The “Black Panther” will be keen to grab his chance against Pico next weekend. He’s currently unranked in the division.
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Aaron Pico - Losene Keita Key Points
- Aaron Pico is 4-1 in his last five fights all-time.
- The fight went the distance only twice in Aaron Pico's last seven bouts.
- The fight went the distance only three times in the last 11 bouts of Losene Keita.
- The total rounds went under 2.5 in four of the last six Aaron Pico bouts.
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Our Aaron Pico vs Losene Keita Prediction
This will definitely be a fun matchup between two explosive fighters eager to leave their mark in the division. It’s easy to see why books favor Keita here. He’s the younger and more athletic fighter, and already has an 11-1 KO/TKO record. Keita has impressed so far in the UFC, averaging 3.91 significant strikes per minute with a 46% success rate. However, Pico has been more convincing in the UFC. He dominated Pitbull by decision, tallying six takedowns and 100 to nine significant strikes. Pico is also the better striker, averaging 6.16 significant strikes per minute with a 53% success rate. We think he’ll finish Keita in this banger matchup.
Our prediction for Aaron Pico vs Losene Keita: Aaron Pico to win.
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All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
