New England Patriots vs Buffalo Bills Prediction & Picks - NFL

Prediction published on 10/5/25, 4:42 PM  by Erik Gibbs in NFL Picks

The New England Patriots and Buffalo Bills will clash under the Monday night lights at Highmark Stadium in a key AFC East matchup. The Patriots enter this contest at 1-1 after a dominant 29-point win over the Carolina Panthers. That victory showcased New England's potential when things are clicking, but the overall body of work this season has been inconsistent.

Through two games, the Patriots are averaging 27.25 points per game, but their offensive rhythm has fluctuated week to week. Against Carolina, they put up efficient numbers despite modest third-down production (3-of-9) and just 16 first downs.

Quarterback play has been steady enough, with the offense generating 307 total yards at 6.4 yards per play. The defense, however, remains the team's backbone, allowing just 5.0 yards per play and keeping opponents from sustaining drives. Still, the Patriots have been a team of extremes, scoring 33 or more points in their wins and struggling to crack 14 in their losses.

Buffalo, on the other hand, enters Monday's matchup as one of the hottest teams in the NFL. The Bills are undefeated through four games, establishing themselves as early AFC contenders. Their offense is firing on all cylinders, averaging 33.25 points per game, while the defense ranks among the league's toughest, giving up just 22.5 points per outing.