Napoli vs Roma Picks & Prediction

Italy - Serie A

Napoli

2/15/26 14:45

Roma

Prediction:

Draw and under 2.5 goals

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Prediction published on 2/15/26, 11:27 AM by Simon Day | Modified on 2/16/26 at 3:52 AM in Serie A Picks

All eyes will be on the Stadio Diego Armando Maradona on Sunday evening, as Napoli host Roma in one of the biggest games of the Serie A season so far.

The two teams currently occupy third and fifth place in the Serie A standings, with Napoli just three points ahead of their rivals.

Whilst catching runaway leaders Inter looks an increasingly forlorn hope, both teams are firmly in the running for a top four finish and place in next season's Champions League.

Napoli have held the edge over Roma in recent contests between the two sides. David Neres' early goal was the difference when the teams last met, and means that I Giallorossi have won just one of their last 12 matches against Napoli.

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Napoli vs Roma Form

Table

Teams	Pts	P	W	D	L	GD
2 Napoli	76	38	23	7	8	+22
3 Roma	73	38	23	4	11	+28

Napoli and Roma Latest Matches

Napoli Latest matches

All Home Away

D L L W W D

Victories

2/6 (33%)

Draw

2/6 (33%)

Defeats

2/6 (33%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3.33 Total goals

83% BTTS

1.5 Goals scored

1.83 Goals conceded

67% Over 2.5

33% Under 2.5

Feb 10, 2026 - Coppa Italia

Napoli

1 : 1

Como 1907

Feb 7, 2026 - Serie A

Genoa

2 : 3

Napoli

Jan 31, 2026 - Serie A

Napoli

2 : 1

Fiorentina

Jan 28, 2026 - Champions League

Napoli

2 : 3

Chelsea

Jan 25, 2026 - Serie A

Juventus

3 : 0

Napoli

Jan 20, 2026 - Champions League

FC Copenhagen

1 : 1

Napoli

D D W L W D

Victories

2/6 (33%)

Draw

3/6 (50%)

Defeats

1/6 (17%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.5 Total goals

67% BTTS

1.33 Goals scored

1.17 Goals conceded

50% Over 2.5

50% Under 2.5

Feb 10, 2026 - Coppa Italia

Napoli

1 : 1

Como 1907

Jan 31, 2026 - Serie A

Napoli

2 : 1

Fiorentina

Jan 28, 2026 - Champions League

Napoli

2 : 3

Chelsea

Jan 17, 2026 - Serie A

Napoli

1 : 0

Sassuolo

Jan 14, 2026 - Serie A

Napoli

0 : 0

Parma

Jan 7, 2026 - Serie A

Napoli

2 : 2

Hellas Verona

W W D D L W

Victories

3/6 (50%)

Draw

2/6 (33%)

Defeats

1/6 (17%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3 Total goals

50% BTTS

1.67 Goals scored

1.33 Goals conceded

50% Over 2.5

50% Under 2.5

Feb 7, 2026 - Serie A

Genoa

2 : 3

Napoli

Jan 25, 2026 - Serie A

Juventus

3 : 0

Napoli

Jan 20, 2026 - Champions League

FC Copenhagen

1 : 1

Napoli

Jan 11, 2026 - Serie A

Inter Milan

2 : 2

Napoli

Jan 4, 2026 - Serie A

Lazio

0 : 2

Napoli

Dec 28, 2025 - Serie A

Cremonese

0 : 2

Napoli

Roma Latest matches

All Home Away

W W D D L W

Victories

3/6 (50%)

Draw

2/6 (33%)

Defeats

1/6 (17%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

1.83 Total goals

33% BTTS

1.33 Goals scored

0.5 Goals conceded

0% Over 2.5

100% Under 2.5

Feb 9, 2026 - Serie A

Roma

2 : 0

Cagliari

Feb 2, 2026 - Serie A

Udinese

1 : 0

Roma

Jan 29, 2026 - Europa League

Panathinaikos Athens

1 : 1

Roma

Jan 25, 2026 - Serie A

Roma

1 : 1

AC Milan

Jan 22, 2026 - Europa League

Roma

2 : 0

Stuttgart

Jan 18, 2026 - Serie A

Torino FC

0 : 2

Roma

W W L W D W

Victories

4/6 (67%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Defeats

1/6 (17%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.83 Total goals

50% BTTS

2 Goals scored

0.83 Goals conceded

33% Over 2.5

67% Under 2.5

Feb 9, 2026 - Serie A

Roma

2 : 0

Cagliari

Jan 25, 2026 - Serie A

Roma

1 : 1

AC Milan

Jan 22, 2026 - Europa League

Roma

2 : 0

Stuttgart

Jan 13, 2026 - Coppa Italia

Roma

2 : 3

Torino FC

Jan 10, 2026 - Serie A

Roma

2 : 0

Sassuolo

Dec 29, 2025 - Serie A

Roma

3 : 1

Genoa

L L W W D L

Victories

2/6 (33%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Defeats

3/6 (50%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

1.83 Total goals

33% BTTS

1 Goals scored

0.83 Goals conceded

17% Over 2.5

83% Under 2.5

Feb 2, 2026 - Serie A

Udinese

1 : 0

Roma

Jan 29, 2026 - Europa League

Panathinaikos Athens

1 : 1

Roma

Jan 18, 2026 - Serie A

Torino FC

0 : 2

Roma

Jan 6, 2026 - Serie A

Lecce

0 : 2

Roma

Jan 3, 2026 - Serie A

Atalanta

1 : 0

Roma

Dec 20, 2025 - Serie A

Juventus

2 : 1

Roma

Napoli against Roma : Head to Head (H2H)

Napoli

50 %

Draw

33 %

Roma

17 %

Average stats (last H2H results)

2.17

Total goals

50%

BTTS

1.17

Goals scored

Goals conceded

33.33%

Over 2.5

66.67%

Under 2.5

Nov 30, 2025 - Serie A

Roma

0 : 1

Napoli

Feb 2, 2025 - Serie A

Roma

1 : 1

Napoli

Nov 24, 2024 - Serie A

Napoli

1 : 0

Roma

Apr 28, 2024 - Serie A

Napoli

2 : 2

Roma

Dec 23, 2023 - Serie A

Roma

2 : 0

Napoli

Jan 29, 2023 - Serie A

Napoli

2 : 1

Roma

Napoli - Roma: Form Analysis

Napoli's last gasp 3-2 win at Genoa last weekend means they have now lost just one of their last nine Serie A fixtures. And whilst a slow start to the season effectively put pay to their hopes of retaining the title, Antonio Conte's side still look well placed to secure a top three finish for the fourth time infive years.

Defense the key for Roma

Roma's record of just 14 goals conceded in 24 Serie A matches is comfortably the best defensive record in Serie A and is the main reason why Gian Piero Gasperini's side are still in the running for a Champions League place. At the other end of the field, goals have been hard to come by, and currently, Matias Soule (six goals in 24 games) is the only Roma player to have found the net more than three times this season.

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Napoli against Roma Lineups: Starting 11

Napoli

Formation : 3 - 4 - 2 - 1

V. Milinkovic-Savic

A. Rrahmani

A. Buongiorno

S. Beukema

M. Gutierrez

S. Lobotka

E. Elmas

L. Spinazzola

M. Politano

A. Vergara

R. Hojlund

D. Malen

B. Zaragoza

L. Pellegrini

W. Franca

N. Pisilli

B. Cristante

Z. Celik

D. Ghilardi

E. Ndicka

G. Mancini

M. Svilar

Formation : 3 - 4 - 2 - 1

Roma

Substitutes

Napoli

Goalkeeper

N. Contini

A. Meret

Defender

M. Olivera

L. Spinazzola 70'

P. Mazzocchi

M. Politano 85'

Midfielder

B. Gilmour

E. Elmas 79'

A. Santos

A. Rrahmani 70'

Forward

Giovane

A. Vergara 79'

R. Lukaku

Roma

Goalkeeper

G. De Marzi

P. Gollini

Defender

D. Rensch

J. Ziolkowski

K. Tsimikas

W. Franca 72'

Angelino

Midfielder

M. Della Rocca

N. El Aynaoui

N. Pisilli 66'

Forward

M. Soule

B. Zaragoza 46'

R. Vaz

D. Malen 72'

L. Venturino

L. Pellegrini 65'

Missing players

Napoli

Defender

J. Jesus

G. Di Lorenzo

Midfielder

F. Anguissa

Roma

Defender

M. Hermoso

Midfielder

M. Kone

Forward

E. Ferguson

Napoli & Roma Squad Analysis

Billy Gilmour, Giovanni Di Lorenzo, Kevin De Bruyne, David Neres and Frank Angussia remain out through injury for Napoli and are unlikely to return in the next few weeks. Key midfielder Scott McTominay sat out the midweek cup defeat to Como, but he should slot straight back into the starting eleven on Sunday.

Dybala to make his return?

Striker Paulo Dybala could return to the Roma lineup on Sunday, after missing the last two weeks with a minor knee injury. However, key players Robinio Vaz, Mario Hermoso, Evan Ferguson and Manu Kone are still out injured, so boss Gian Piero Gasperini may once again elect to shuffle his pack as he looks to find his ideal starting eleven.

Most goals and assists

Napoli

Roma

Top Goalscorer

R. Hojlund (12 Goals)

Top Goalscorer

D. Malen (14 Goals)

Best assists

Giovane (6 Assists)

Best assists

P. Dybala (7 Assists)

Napoli - Roma Key Points

Roma have won just 1 of their last 12 games against Napoli
Roma have conceded just 14 goals in 24 Serie A games this season
Roma have conceded just once in their last 3 Serie A away fixtures
Napoli are undefeated at home in Serie A this season

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Our Napoli vs Roma Prediction

This is likely to be an extremely tight game with little to choose between the two teams.

Roma rarely concede, but their attacking form has been extremely poor for the majority of the season.

Meanwhile, Napoli are showing signs of returning to their best, but are still looking slightly below par in forward areas, especially with the likes of Kevin De Bruyne and David Neres still out injured.

Because of these attacking issues, we think this will end in a low scoring draw.

Our prediction for Napoli vs Roma is: Draw and under 2.5 goals.

Prediction:

Draw and under 2.5 goals

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Napoli vs Roma - Other Interesting Picks

Correct score: 0-0

Odds +575

Roma have conceded just eight times in their 12 Serie A away games so far this season, so whilst Napoli have a superb record at the Stadio Diego Armando Maradona, we think Roma can keep them at bay. A 0-0 draw would not be a disaster for either Napoli or Roma, so if the game remains at deadlock going into the latter stages, do not expect to see either team going flat out for the three points.

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Rasmus Højlund first goalscorer

Odds +500

If you think there will be goals in Sunday's game, then Napoli striker Rasmus Højlund looks to be the best option in the first goalscorer market. The Danish frontman has an impressive eight goals in 20 league games this season and his player the best football of his career.

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