Minnesota Vikings vs Dallas Cowboys Prediction & Picks - NFL

USA - NFL

Minnesota Vikings
12/14/25 20:20
Dallas Cowboys

Prediction:

 

Dallas -6.5

-102
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 by Travis Pulver in NFL Picks

The Dallas Cowboys will try to keep their fading playoff hopes alive when they face the Minnesota Vikings on Monday Night Football. Kickoff is scheduled for 8:20 p.m. EST at AT&T Stadium in Arlington, TX with coverage provided by NBC/Peacock.

Dallas had been looking like a potential contender prior to last week’s loss to the Detroit Lions with wins over the Raiders, Eagles, and Chiefs. But then the Cowboys fell back into a familiar rut against the Lions—the defense couldn’t do anything right and the offense settled for field goals. Against a team as capable as the Lions, five  field goals are a recipe for losing. Against the Vikings? It may not be as big a deal as long as the defense can do it’s part against a struggling Vikings offense that somehow put up 31 points on the Commanders last week. As for Minnesota, the struggle has been real with J.J. McCarthy having a hard time getting adjusted to starting in the NFL. But in fairness, the struggles shouldn’t be surprising. He was a game manager in college that threw enough for a run-dominant offense to keep defenses honest. If last week’s performance is any indication, the Vikings may have finally learned this (he went 16-23 for 163 yards and three touchdowns).

Minnesota Vikings vs Dallas Cowboys Form

Table

Teams % P W D L
18
Dallas Cowboys
Dallas Cowboys
0.462 13 6 1 6
22
Minnesota Vikings
Minnesota Vikings
0.385 13 5 0 8

Minnesota Vikings and Dallas Cowboys Latest Matches

Minnesota Vikings
Minnesota Vikings Latest matches
W L L L L W
Victories

2/6 (33%)

Draw

0/6 (0%)

Defeats

4/6 (67%)

Dec 7, 2025 - NFL

Washington Commanders
0 :  31
Minnesota Vikings

Nov 30, 2025 - NFL

Minnesota Vikings
0 :  26
Seattle Seahawks

Nov 23, 2025 - NFL

Minnesota Vikings
6 :  23
Green Bay Packers

Nov 16, 2025 - NFL

Chicago Bears
19 :  17
Minnesota Vikings

Nov 9, 2025 - NFL

Baltimore Ravens
27 :  19
Minnesota Vikings

Nov 2, 2025 - NFL

Minnesota Vikings
27 :  24
Detroit Lions
L W L L L W
Victories

2/6 (33%)

Draw

0/6 (0%)

Defeats

4/6 (67%)

Dec 7, 2025 - NFL

Washington Commanders
0 :  31
Minnesota Vikings

Nov 16, 2025 - NFL

Chicago Bears
19 :  17
Minnesota Vikings

Nov 9, 2025 - NFL

Baltimore Ravens
27 :  19
Minnesota Vikings

Oct 19, 2025 - NFL

Philadelphia Eagles
28 :  22
Minnesota Vikings

Sep 21, 2025 - NFL

Cincinnati Bengals
10 :  48
Minnesota Vikings

Sep 14, 2025 - NFL

Atlanta Falcons
22 :  6
Minnesota Vikings
L W L W L L
Victories

2/6 (33%)

Draw

0/6 (0%)

Defeats

4/6 (67%)

Nov 30, 2025 - NFL

Minnesota Vikings
0 :  26
Seattle Seahawks

Nov 23, 2025 - NFL

Minnesota Vikings
6 :  23
Green Bay Packers

Nov 2, 2025 - NFL

Minnesota Vikings
27 :  24
Detroit Lions

Oct 23, 2025 - NFL

Minnesota Vikings
10 :  37
Los Angeles Chargers

Oct 5, 2025 - NFL

Minnesota Vikings
21 :  17
Cleveland Browns

Sep 28, 2025 - NFL

Minnesota Vikings
21 :  24
Pittsburgh Steelers
Dallas Cowboys
Dallas Cowboys Latest matches
L L W W W L
Victories

3/6 (50%)

Draw

0/6 (0%)

Defeats

3/6 (50%)

Dec 4, 2025 - NFL

Dallas Cowboys
30 :  44
Detroit Lions

Nov 27, 2025 - NFL

Kansas City Chiefs
28 :  31
Dallas Cowboys

Nov 23, 2025 - NFL

Philadelphia Eagles
21 :  24
Dallas Cowboys

Nov 17, 2025 - NFL

Dallas Cowboys
33 :  16
Las Vegas Raiders

Nov 3, 2025 - NFL

Arizona Cardinals
27 :  17
Dallas Cowboys

Oct 26, 2025 - NFL

Dallas Cowboys
24 :  44
Denver Broncos
W D W L W W
Victories

4/6 (67%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Defeats

1/6 (17%)

Nov 27, 2025 - NFL

Kansas City Chiefs
28 :  31
Dallas Cowboys

Nov 23, 2025 - NFL

Philadelphia Eagles
21 :  24
Dallas Cowboys

Nov 3, 2025 - NFL

Arizona Cardinals
27 :  17
Dallas Cowboys

Oct 19, 2025 - NFL

Washington Commanders
22 :  44
Dallas Cowboys

Sep 28, 2025 - NFL

Green Bay Packers
40 :  40
Dallas Cowboys

Sep 14, 2025 - NFL

New York Giants
37 :  40
Dallas Cowboys
L W L L W L
Victories

2/6 (33%)

Draw

0/6 (0%)

Defeats

4/6 (67%)

Dec 4, 2025 - NFL

Dallas Cowboys
30 :  44
Detroit Lions

Nov 17, 2025 - NFL

Dallas Cowboys
33 :  16
Las Vegas Raiders

Oct 26, 2025 - NFL

Dallas Cowboys
24 :  44
Denver Broncos

Oct 12, 2025 - NFL

Dallas Cowboys
27 :  30
Carolina Panthers

Oct 5, 2025 - NFL

Dallas Cowboys
37 :  22
New York Jets

Sep 21, 2025 - NFL

Dallas Cowboys
14 :  31
Chicago Bears

Minnesota Vikings - Dallas Cowboys Key Points

  1. Dallas leads the all-time series vs. Minnesota, 19-15; the two teams last played in 2022, a game the Cowboys won 40-3.
  2. Dallas is 7-6 ATS this season while Minnesota is 5-8.
  3. The OVER is 9-4 for Dallas and 7-6 for Minnesota.
  4. Betting Public: 64% of spread tickets and 72% of the handle are on the Cowboys.

Our Minnesota Vikings vs Dallas Cowboys Prediction

It is not hard to figure out what the Minnesota Vikings are going to do, or at least what they should do. They can’t rely on McCarthy and the passing game to win, so they have to establish the run and hope McCarthy can do enough in the passing game to keep the Dallas defense honest. I’m not so sure they can pull it off. Yes, the Cowboys defense was ugly last week, but it had been fine in recent weeks against non-contenders (like the Vikings). Dallas’ defense should be up to the task, so it will not matter if the offense settles for five field goals again.

Our Vikings vs. Cowboys Pick: Dallas -6.5

Prediction:

 

Dallas -6.5

-102
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Minnesota Vikings vs Dallas Cowboys Picks