Houston Rockets vs Minnesota Timberwolves Prediction & Picks - NBA
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by Erik Gibbs | in NBA Picks
The Houston Rockets face the Minnesota Timberwolves tonight, and the matchup contrasts a team trying to regain consistency with one riding strong recent form. Houston's recent stretch has been uneven, marked by alternating wins and losses that have prevented them from building sustained momentum. While they have shown the ability to control games against weaker opponents, they have struggled to maintain the same level when facing well-organized teams.
Defensive breakdowns and scoring droughts have been recurring themes, particularly in road games. Even so, Houston have remained competitive in most contests, often staying within single digits late before games slipped away.
Minnesota, on the other hand, come into this game in excellent form. The Timberwolves have won the majority of their recent games, including several by comfortable margins. Their success has been built on disciplined defense and efficient offense, allowing them to dictate tempo.
At home especially, Minnesota have been difficult to slow down, frequently establishing early leads and managing games from the front. Losses during this period have been rare and generally came in high-scoring affairs rather than defensive collapses, underlining their overall stability.
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Houston Rockets vs Minnesota Timberwolves Form
Table
| Teams | % | P | W | L | Series |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
6
|
0.628 | 43 | 27 | 16 | |
|
7
|
0.615 | 39 | 24 | 15 | 1 |
Houston Rockets and Minnesota Timberwolves Latest Matches
2/6 (33%)
4/6 (67%)
Jan 15, 2026 - NBA
Jan 13, 2026 - NBA
Jan 11, 2026 - NBA
Jan 9, 2026 - NBA
Jan 7, 2026 - NBA
Jan 5, 2026 - NBA
5/6 (83%)
1/6 (17%)
Jan 15, 2026 - NBA
Jan 13, 2026 - NBA
Jan 5, 2026 - NBA
Dec 29, 2025 - NBA
Dec 27, 2025 - NBA
Dec 11, 2025 - NBA
2/6 (33%)
4/6 (67%)
Jan 11, 2026 - NBA
Jan 9, 2026 - NBA
Jan 7, 2026 - NBA
Jan 3, 2026 - NBA
Jan 1, 2026 - NBA
Dec 25, 2025 - NBA
5/6 (83%)
1/6 (17%)
Jan 13, 2026 - NBA
Jan 11, 2026 - NBA
Jan 10, 2026 - NBA
Jan 8, 2026 - NBA
Jan 6, 2026 - NBA
Jan 4, 2026 - NBA
5/6 (83%)
1/6 (17%)
Jan 11, 2026 - NBA
Jan 8, 2026 - NBA
Jan 6, 2026 - NBA
Dec 27, 2025 - NBA
Dec 23, 2025 - NBA
Dec 21, 2025 - NBA
4/6 (67%)
2/6 (33%)
Jan 13, 2026 - NBA
Jan 10, 2026 - NBA
Jan 4, 2026 - NBA
Jan 3, 2026 - NBA
Dec 31, 2025 - NBA
Dec 29, 2025 - NBA
Houston Rockets against Minnesota Timberwolves : Head to Head (H2H)
50 %
50 %
Jul 19, 2025 - NBA Summer League
Feb 21, 2025 - NBA
Feb 6, 2025 - NBA
Dec 27, 2024 - NBA
Nov 26, 2024 - NBA
Apr 2, 2024 - NBA
Players list
A. Thompson
J. Okogie
ForwardJ. Smith
K. Durant
D. DiVincenzo
M. Conley
ForwardJ. McDaniels
Substitutes
J. Davison
R. Sheppard
A. Holiday
ForwardJ. Green
D. Finney-Smith
J. Tate
J. Clark
B. Hyland
R. Dillingham
ForwardJ. Juzang
L. Miller
J. Ingles
Houston Rockets - Minnesota Timberwolves Key Points
- The Over is 3-2 in the Timberwolves' last 5 games
- The Over is 1-4 in the Rockets' last 5 games
- The Timberwolves are 3-2 ATS in their last 5 games
- The Rockets are 0-5 ATS in their last 5 games
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Our Houston Rockets vs Minnesota Timberwolves Prediction
Houston rely heavily on Kevin Durant as their primary offensive option. Durant has delivered consistent scoring outputs, often leading the team in points while also drawing defensive attention that opens opportunities for others. Amen Thompson has emerged as a secondary contributor, offering pace and penetration that can disrupt opposing defenses. While these two have produced strong individual numbers, Houston's supporting cast has fluctuated, which has affected their ability to close games.
Minnesota's individual strengths are led by Anthony Edwards, whose scoring explosions have defined many recent wins. Edwards has shown the ability to take over games with sustained scoring runs, particularly in transition and isolation. Supporting him is Rudy Gobert, whose impact is felt most clearly on defense and rebounding. Gobert's presence in the paint limits second-chance opportunities and anchors Minnesota's defensive structure, giving the Timberwolves a reliable interior advantage.
Taken together, Minnesota appear to have the clearer edge. Their recent consistency, home-court strength, and two-way reliability make them the more complete team at this point. Houston's talent keeps them competitive, but Minnesota's balance is likely decisive. Our prediction for Houston Rockets vs. Minnesota Timberwolves: Over 222.5 points.
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All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
