Minnesota Lynx vs Phoenix Mercury Prediction & Picks - WNBA

USA - WNBA

Minnesota Lynx
5/30/25 22:00
Phoenix Mercury

Prediction:

 

Lynx (-3.5) cover the spread

-112
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 by Paul Tamayo in WNBA Picks

The Minnesota Lynx (5-0) visit the Phoenix Mercury (4-1) on May 30, Friday, at the Footprint Center in Phoenix. 

It's a battle of heavyweights between the undefeated Lynx and the resurgent Mercury squad. These are two different teams in terms of their specialties. 

The Lynx are ranked second in the league in offensive rating (112.3) but only seventh in defensive rating (100.9). Meanwhile, the Mercury are only eighth in offensive rating (101.1) but are second in defensive rating (93.8).

Napheesa Collier is leading the charge for the Lynx with her 26.8 points, 7.8 rebounds, 3.0 assists, 2.4 steals, and 1.4 blocks per game. If she keeps this up, she's surely on track for an MVP award. Courtney Williams and Alanna Smith are the other double-digit scorers for the Lynx.

Meanwhile, Mercury star Satou Sabally is also putting up an all-around stat line of 19.8 points, 7.4 boards, 2.2 assists, and 1.6 steals. Alyssa Thomas is also contributing 15.2 points, 7.6 rebounds, and 8.0 assists.

Mercury players Natasha Mack and Kahleah Cooper will miss the game versus the Lynx. Collier is also listed day-to-day for the Lynx, but is expected to play.

Minnesota Lynx vs Phoenix Mercury Form

Table

Teams % P W L Series
1
Minnesota Lynx
Minnesota Lynx
1 6 6 0 6
2
Phoenix Mercury
Phoenix Mercury
0.667 6 4 2 -1

Minnesota Lynx and Phoenix Mercury Latest Matches

Minnesota Lynx
Minnesota Lynx Latest matches
L W W W W W
Victories

5/6 (83%)

Defeats

1/6 (17%)

May 27, 2025 - WNBA

Seattle Storm
77 :  82
Minnesota Lynx

May 23, 2025 - WNBA

Connecticut Sun
70 :  76
Minnesota Lynx

May 21, 2025 - WNBA

Dallas Wings
81 :  85
Minnesota Lynx

May 18, 2025 - WNBA

Minnesota Lynx
89 :  75
L.a. Sparks

May 16, 2025 - WNBA

Minnesota Lynx
99 :  84
Dallas Wings

Oct 20, 2024 - WNBA

Minnesota Lynx
62 :  67
New York Liberty
W L W W W W
Victories

5/6 (83%)

Defeats

1/6 (17%)

May 27, 2025 - WNBA

Seattle Storm
77 :  82
Minnesota Lynx

May 23, 2025 - WNBA

Connecticut Sun
70 :  76
Minnesota Lynx

May 21, 2025 - WNBA

Dallas Wings
81 :  85
Minnesota Lynx

Oct 18, 2024 - WNBA

New York Liberty
80 :  82
Minnesota Lynx

Oct 16, 2024 - WNBA

New York Liberty
80 :  77
Minnesota Lynx

Oct 8, 2024 - WNBA

Connecticut Sun
77 :  88
Minnesota Lynx
L W L L W W
Victories

3/6 (50%)

Defeats

3/6 (50%)

May 18, 2025 - WNBA

Minnesota Lynx
89 :  75
L.a. Sparks

May 16, 2025 - WNBA

Minnesota Lynx
99 :  84
Dallas Wings

Oct 20, 2024 - WNBA

Minnesota Lynx
62 :  67
New York Liberty

Oct 13, 2024 - WNBA

Minnesota Lynx
66 :  80
New York Liberty

Oct 10, 2024 - WNBA

Minnesota Lynx
95 :  93
New York Liberty

Oct 6, 2024 - WNBA

Minnesota Lynx
82 :  92
Connecticut Sun
Phoenix Mercury
Phoenix Mercury Latest matches
L W W L W W
Victories

4/6 (67%)

Defeats

2/6 (33%)

May 27, 2025 - WNBA

Chicago Sky
89 :  94
Phoenix Mercury

May 25, 2025 - WNBA

Washington Mystics
62 :  68
Phoenix Mercury

May 23, 2025 - WNBA

Phoenix Mercury
70 :  77
Seattle Storm

May 21, 2025 - WNBA

L.a. Sparks
86 :  89
Phoenix Mercury

May 17, 2025 - WNBA

Seattle Storm
59 :  81
Phoenix Mercury

Sep 25, 2024 - WNBA

Phoenix Mercury
88 :  101
Minnesota Lynx
L L W W W W
Victories

4/6 (67%)

Defeats

2/6 (33%)

May 27, 2025 - WNBA

Chicago Sky
89 :  94
Phoenix Mercury

May 25, 2025 - WNBA

Washington Mystics
62 :  68
Phoenix Mercury

May 21, 2025 - WNBA

L.a. Sparks
86 :  89
Phoenix Mercury

May 17, 2025 - WNBA

Seattle Storm
59 :  81
Phoenix Mercury

Sep 19, 2024 - WNBA

Seattle Storm
89 :  70
Phoenix Mercury

Sep 13, 2024 - WNBA

Connecticut Sun
88 :  69
Phoenix Mercury
L W W L L L
Victories

2/6 (33%)

Defeats

4/6 (67%)

May 23, 2025 - WNBA

Phoenix Mercury
70 :  77
Seattle Storm

Sep 25, 2024 - WNBA

Phoenix Mercury
88 :  101
Minnesota Lynx

Sep 22, 2024 - WNBA

Phoenix Mercury
95 :  102
Minnesota Lynx

Sep 17, 2024 - WNBA

Phoenix Mercury
85 :  81
L.a. Sparks

Sep 15, 2024 - WNBA

Phoenix Mercury
93 :  88
Chicago Sky

Sep 7, 2024 - WNBA

Phoenix Mercury
66 :  90
Seattle Storm

Minnesota Lynx against Phoenix Mercury : Head to Head (H2H)

Minnesota Lynx

83 %

Phoenix Mercury

17 %

Sep 25, 2024 - WNBA

Phoenix Mercury
88 :  101
Minnesota Lynx

Sep 22, 2024 - WNBA

Phoenix Mercury
95 :  102
Minnesota Lynx

Aug 28, 2024 - WNBA

Minnesota Lynx
89 :  76
Phoenix Mercury

Jun 22, 2024 - WNBA

Phoenix Mercury
60 :  73
Minnesota Lynx

Jun 7, 2024 - WNBA

Minnesota Lynx
80 :  81
Phoenix Mercury

May 31, 2024 - WNBA

Phoenix Mercury
71 :  95
Minnesota Lynx

Players list

Minnesota Lynx
Minnesota Lynx
C. Williams K. McBride J. Shepard B. Carleton A. Smith
Phoenix Mercury
Phoenix Mercury
S. Whitcomb M. Akoa-Makani K. Laksa S. Sabally K. Westbeld

Substitutes

Minnesota Lynx
Minnesota Lynx
M. Badiane N. Hiedeman D. Miller K. Samuelson A. Kosu N. Collier A. Pili
Phoenix Mercury
Phoenix Mercury
N. Mack K. Brown S. Uzun L. Held A. Thomas M. Musa K. Copper

Minnesota Lynx - Phoenix Mercury Key Points

  1. The Lynx have won all five games to start the season.
  2. Lynx star Napheesa Collier is averaging 26.8 points, 7.8 rebounds, 3.0 assists, 2.4 steals, and 1.4 blocks.
  3. The Mercury will miss the services of Kahleah Cooper.
  4. The Lynx have won five of their last six games against the Mercury.

Our Minnesota Lynx vs Phoenix Mercury Prediction

The Lynx are on the verge of winning their sixth straight game, but it will be a challenging game against the Mercury. Satou Sabally and Alyssa Thomas have been excellent for the new-look Mercury, and they've only lost one game so far.

Still, this is Napheesa Collier that we're talking about. Look for the MVP candidate to put up his usual dynamic numbers against the Mercury. Our prediction for the Phoenix Mercury vs Minnesota Lynx match is: Lynx (-3.5) cover the spread.

Prediction:

 

Lynx (-3.5) cover the spread

-112
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Minnesota Lynx vs Phoenix Mercury Picks