Miami Dolphins vs Cleveland Browns Prediction & Picks - NFL

USA - NFL

Miami Dolphins
10/19/25 13:00
Cleveland Browns

Prediction:

 

Cleveland -2.5

-115
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 by Bill Christy in NFL Picks

In a battle between two teams searching for their 2nd victory of the season, the Cleveland Browns will welcome the Miami Dolphins to town on Sunday in a game that will feature 1 team being near the top of the league in 3rd down conversion rate versus a team near the bottom of the league in the same category. Miami is 3rd in the NFL with a 46.5% 3rd down conversion rate and most of that is due in part that they have one of the most dynamic ball carrier and pass catchers in their backfield, Devon Achane. He has accounted for 6 of the team’s 10 total touchdowns on the season on offense and is tied for the lead in receptions with Jaylen Waddle at 29. Yes, they lost Tyreek Hill for the season, but this Miami offense has seemingly not skipped a beat and are averaging 25.5 points per game since the injury. The defense has been the main problem all year for the Phins. Cleveland parted ways with Joe Flacco who was their opening day starting QB and have opted to give rookie Dillon Gabriel the reigns. Things have not changed much in terms of offensive output and total points. The losses have also continued to grow since the trade of Flacco.

Miami Dolphins vs Cleveland Browns Form

Table

Teams % P W D L
27
Cleveland Browns
Cleveland Browns
0.167 6 1 0 5
31
Miami Dolphins
Miami Dolphins
0.167 6 1 0 5

Miami Dolphins and Cleveland Browns Latest Matches

Miami Dolphins
Miami Dolphins Latest matches
L L L W L L
Victories

1/6 (17%)

Draw

0/6 (0%)

Defeats

5/6 (83%)

Oct 12, 2025 - NFL

Los Angeles Chargers
29 :  27
Miami Dolphins

Oct 5, 2025 - NFL

Miami Dolphins
24 :  27
Carolina Panthers

Sep 29, 2025 - NFL

New York Jets
21 :  27
Miami Dolphins

Sep 18, 2025 - NFL

Miami Dolphins
21 :  31
Buffalo Bills

Sep 14, 2025 - NFL

New England Patriots
33 :  27
Miami Dolphins

Sep 7, 2025 - NFL

Miami Dolphins
8 :  33
Indianapolis Colts
W W W L W L
Victories

4/6 (67%)

Draw

0/6 (0%)

Defeats

2/6 (33%)

Oct 12, 2025 - NFL

Los Angeles Chargers
29 :  27
Miami Dolphins

Sep 29, 2025 - NFL

New York Jets
21 :  27
Miami Dolphins

Sep 14, 2025 - NFL

New England Patriots
33 :  27
Miami Dolphins

Dec 22, 2024 - NFL

San Francisco 49ers
17 :  29
Miami Dolphins

Dec 8, 2024 - NFL

New York Jets
26 :  32
Miami Dolphins

Nov 24, 2024 - NFL

New England Patriots
15 :  34
Miami Dolphins
L W L L L L
Victories

1/6 (17%)

Draw

0/6 (0%)

Defeats

5/6 (83%)

Oct 5, 2025 - NFL

Miami Dolphins
24 :  27
Carolina Panthers

Sep 18, 2025 - NFL

Miami Dolphins
21 :  31
Buffalo Bills

Sep 7, 2025 - NFL

Miami Dolphins
8 :  33
Indianapolis Colts

Jan 5, 2025 - NFL

Miami Dolphins
20 :  32
New York Jets

Dec 29, 2024 - NFL

Miami Dolphins
20 :  3
Cleveland Browns

Dec 15, 2024 - NFL

Miami Dolphins
12 :  20
Houston Texans
Cleveland Browns
Cleveland Browns Latest matches
L L W L L L
Victories

1/6 (17%)

Draw

0/6 (0%)

Defeats

5/6 (83%)

Oct 12, 2025 - NFL

Cleveland Browns
9 :  23
Pittsburgh Steelers

Oct 5, 2025 - NFL

Minnesota Vikings
21 :  17
Cleveland Browns

Sep 28, 2025 - NFL

Cleveland Browns
10 :  34
Detroit Lions

Sep 21, 2025 - NFL

Green Bay Packers
10 :  13
Cleveland Browns

Sep 14, 2025 - NFL

Cleveland Browns
17 :  41
Baltimore Ravens

Sep 7, 2025 - NFL

Cincinnati Bengals
17 :  16
Cleveland Browns
W L L L W L
Victories

2/6 (33%)

Draw

0/6 (0%)

Defeats

4/6 (67%)

Oct 5, 2025 - NFL

Minnesota Vikings
21 :  17
Cleveland Browns

Sep 21, 2025 - NFL

Green Bay Packers
10 :  13
Cleveland Browns

Sep 7, 2025 - NFL

Cincinnati Bengals
17 :  16
Cleveland Browns

Dec 29, 2024 - NFL

Miami Dolphins
20 :  3
Cleveland Browns

Dec 15, 2024 - NFL

Kansas City Chiefs
21 :  7
Cleveland Browns

Nov 21, 2024 - NFL

Pittsburgh Steelers
19 :  24
Cleveland Browns
L L L L L L
Victories

0/6 (0%)

Draw

0/6 (0%)

Defeats

6/6 (100%)

Oct 12, 2025 - NFL

Cleveland Browns
9 :  23
Pittsburgh Steelers

Sep 28, 2025 - NFL

Cleveland Browns
10 :  34
Detroit Lions

Sep 14, 2025 - NFL

Cleveland Browns
17 :  41
Baltimore Ravens

Jan 4, 2025 - NFL

Cleveland Browns
10 :  35
Baltimore Ravens

Dec 22, 2024 - NFL

Cleveland Browns
6 :  24
Cincinnati Bengals

Dec 8, 2024 - NFL

Cleveland Browns
14 :  27
Pittsburgh Steelers

Miami Dolphins against Cleveland Browns : Head to Head (H2H)

Dec 29, 2024 - NFL

Miami Dolphins
20 :  3
Cleveland Browns

Miami Dolphins - Cleveland Browns Key Points

  1. Miami is 1-6 SU in its last 7 games.
  2. Miami is 3-20 SU in its last 23 games when playing as the underdog.
  3. Miami is 2-5 ATS in its last 7 games on the road.
  4. Cleveland is 7-3 ATS in its last 10 games against Miami.

Our Miami Dolphins vs Cleveland Browns Prediction

While the spread is inside a field goal, the total is set at only 37.5. This leads us to believe that the team with the better defense should win this game. The Dolphins are 29th in the league and allow 29 points per game while the Browns are allowing just over 24 points per game. We believe the Browns defense will be tough enough in this home contest to get the win and send Tua and company home with another loss on their record.

Prediction:

 

Cleveland -2.5

-115
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Miami Dolphins vs Cleveland Browns Picks