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by Travis Pulver in NFL Picks
The Miami Dolphins will head to upstate New York for Thursday Night Football and a date with the Buffalo Bills. Kickoff for this AFC East division battle will kickoff at 8:15 p.m. EST at Highmark Stadium in Orchard Park, NY. The game will be broadcast/streamed on Prime Video.
Buffalo is off to a strong start this season after recording an amazing come-from-behind win over Baltimore. The game wasn’t nearly as thrilling in Week Two, but the Bills still did what mattered most vs. the Jets—they won. As for Miami, it has been a different story. The Dolphins couldn’t do anything right against the Colts in Week 12, losing 33-8. Although Tua Tagovailoa threw for over 300 passing yards in Week 2 against the Patriots, the team still lost. The Bills were gashed by the Ravens' passing game in Week 1, but the Jets were unable to exploit any gaps in coverage. However, if Tua can get the passing game on track, he has some talented playmakers who could make this game more challenging than expected.
Both teams have several players listed as questionable on the injury report, but no one is expected to miss.
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Miami Dolphins vs Buffalo Bills Form
Table
| Teams | % | P | W | D | L |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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2
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1 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 |
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27
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0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 |
Miami Dolphins and Buffalo Bills Latest Matches
2/6 (33%)
0/6 (0%)
4/6 (67%)
Sep 14, 2025 - NFL
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4/6 (67%)
0/6 (0%)
2/6 (33%)
Sep 14, 2025 - NFL
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2/6 (33%)
0/6 (0%)
4/6 (67%)
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4/6 (67%)
0/6 (0%)
2/6 (33%)
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6/6 (100%)
0/6 (0%)
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3/6 (50%)
0/6 (0%)
3/6 (50%)
Sep 14, 2025 - NFL
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Miami Dolphins against Buffalo Bills : Head to Head (H2H)
17 %
0 %
83 %
Nov 3, 2024 - NFL
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Dec 2, 2018 - NFL
Miami Dolphins - Buffalo Bills Key Points
- Miami leads the all-time series vs. 62-60-1.
- Buffalo has won six in a row and 13 of the last 14 vs. the Dolphins.
- The Bills have not lost to the Dolphins at home since 2016.
- Betting Public: In early betting, 98% of moneyline tickets are on the Bills, but only 59% of spread tickets.
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Our Miami Dolphins vs Buffalo Bills Prediction
Buffalo will win this game, or at least they should. Josh Allen is already in midseason form, and the run game is getting there, too. Miami, on the other hand, doesn’t look too good. They look like a team that doesn’t have a prayer of covering a 12.5-point spread. However, the Bills are 2-9 ATS in their last 11 games where they were double-digit favorites. Four of the last six games between these two were decided by one score. The Bills will probably crush the Dolphins, but the spread is too big. However, I don’t see Miami scoring much, if at all, which will help keep the score relatively low.
Our Buffalo vs. Miami Pick: UNDER 49.5
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All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
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