Kansas City Chiefs vs Denver Broncos Prediction & Picks - NFL

USA - NFL

Kansas City Chiefs
12/25/25 20:15
Denver Broncos

Prediction:

 

Denver -12.5

-110
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 by Bill Christy | in NFL Picks

The Denver Broncos (12-3) are hoping to stay on top of the AFC standings and ultimately secure home-field advantage throughout the playoffs. On Thursday night, they will need to pick up yet another win over the Kansas City Chiefs (6-9), who will be playing spoiler for the first time in several years.

The Chiefs have lost both Patrick Mahomes and Gardner Minshew to torn ACLs and will likely be starting Chris Oladokun at QB. He was pressed into action last week when Minshew went down and completed 11 of his 16 assists but was unable to lead the Chiefs against the lowly Titans. Kansas City is not playing for anything, and the team in total looked disinterested last week.

Denver was riding an impressive 11-game winning streak as it faced the Jacksonville Jaguars last week. Trevor Lawrence and company took over Mile High and grabbed an impressive 34-20 win in Denver. The loss prevented the Broncos from controlling their own destiny in winning the next 2 games to clinch home-field advantage. Now they are one loss and one New England win away from seeing the Patriots take the top spot in the AFC.

Denver will need to shake off the rough game last week and finish off this hobbled Kansas City team to fend off the Patriots from catching them in the standings.

Kansas City Chiefs vs Denver Broncos Form

Table

Teams Pts P W L
2 Denver Broncos
0.824 17 14 3
24 Kansas City Chiefs
0.353 17 6 11

Kansas City Chiefs and Denver Broncos Latest Matches

Kansas City Chiefs
Kansas City Chiefs Latest matches
L W L L L L
Victories

1/6 (17%)

Defeats

5/6 (83%)

Dec 21, 2025 - NFL

Tennessee Titans
26 :  9
Kansas City Chiefs

Dec 14, 2025 - NFL

Kansas City Chiefs
13 :  16
Los Angeles Chargers

Dec 7, 2025 - NFL

Kansas City Chiefs
10 :  20
Houston Texans

Nov 27, 2025 - NFL

Dallas Cowboys
31 :  28
Kansas City Chiefs

Nov 23, 2025 - NFL

Kansas City Chiefs
23 :  20
Indianapolis Colts

Nov 16, 2025 - NFL

Denver Broncos
22 :  19
Kansas City Chiefs
W W W W L L
Victories

4/6 (67%)

Defeats

2/6 (33%)

Dec 14, 2025 - NFL

Kansas City Chiefs
13 :  16
Los Angeles Chargers

Dec 7, 2025 - NFL

Kansas City Chiefs
10 :  20
Houston Texans

Nov 23, 2025 - NFL

Kansas City Chiefs
23 :  20
Indianapolis Colts

Oct 27, 2025 - NFL

Kansas City Chiefs
28 :  7
Washington Commanders

Oct 19, 2025 - NFL

Kansas City Chiefs
31 :  0
Las Vegas Raiders

Oct 12, 2025 - NFL

Kansas City Chiefs
30 :  17
Detroit Lions
W L L L L L
Victories

1/6 (17%)

Defeats

5/6 (83%)

Dec 21, 2025 - NFL

Tennessee Titans
26 :  9
Kansas City Chiefs

Nov 27, 2025 - NFL

Dallas Cowboys
31 :  28
Kansas City Chiefs

Nov 16, 2025 - NFL

Denver Broncos
22 :  19
Kansas City Chiefs

Nov 2, 2025 - NFL

Buffalo Bills
28 :  21
Kansas City Chiefs

Oct 6, 2025 - NFL

Jacksonville Jaguars
31 :  28
Kansas City Chiefs

Sep 21, 2025 - NFL

New York Giants
9 :  22
Kansas City Chiefs
Denver Broncos
Denver Broncos Latest matches
W W W W W L
Victories

5/6 (83%)

Defeats

1/6 (17%)

Dec 21, 2025 - NFL

Denver Broncos
20 :  34
Jacksonville Jaguars

Dec 14, 2025 - NFL

Denver Broncos
34 :  26
Green Bay Packers

Dec 7, 2025 - NFL

Las Vegas Raiders
17 :  24
Denver Broncos

Nov 30, 2025 - NFL

Washington Commanders
26 :  27
Denver Broncos

Nov 16, 2025 - NFL

Denver Broncos
22 :  19
Kansas City Chiefs

Nov 6, 2025 - NFL

Denver Broncos
10 :  7
Las Vegas Raiders
W W W W W L
Victories

5/6 (83%)

Defeats

1/6 (17%)

Dec 21, 2025 - NFL

Denver Broncos
20 :  34
Jacksonville Jaguars

Dec 14, 2025 - NFL

Denver Broncos
34 :  26
Green Bay Packers

Nov 16, 2025 - NFL

Denver Broncos
22 :  19
Kansas City Chiefs

Nov 6, 2025 - NFL

Denver Broncos
10 :  7
Las Vegas Raiders

Oct 26, 2025 - NFL

Denver Broncos
44 :  24
Dallas Cowboys

Oct 19, 2025 - NFL

Denver Broncos
33 :  32
New York Giants
L W W W W W
Victories

5/6 (83%)

Defeats

1/6 (17%)

Dec 7, 2025 - NFL

Las Vegas Raiders
17 :  24
Denver Broncos

Nov 30, 2025 - NFL

Washington Commanders
26 :  27
Denver Broncos

Nov 2, 2025 - NFL

Houston Texans
15 :  18
Denver Broncos

Oct 12, 2025 - NFL

New York Jets
11 :  13
Denver Broncos

Oct 5, 2025 - NFL

Philadelphia Eagles
17 :  21
Denver Broncos

Sep 21, 2025 - NFL

Los Angeles Chargers
23 :  20
Denver Broncos

Kansas City Chiefs against Denver Broncos : Head to Head (H2H)

Kansas City Chiefs

50 %

Denver Broncos

50 %

Nov 16, 2025 - NFL

Denver Broncos
22 :  19
Kansas City Chiefs

Jan 5, 2025 - NFL

Denver Broncos
38 :  0
Kansas City Chiefs

Nov 10, 2024 - NFL

Kansas City Chiefs
16 :  14
Denver Broncos

Oct 29, 2023 - NFL

Denver Broncos
24 :  9
Kansas City Chiefs

Oct 12, 2023 - NFL

Kansas City Chiefs
19 :  8
Denver Broncos

Dec 11, 2022 - NFL

Denver Broncos
28 :  34
Kansas City Chiefs
Kansas City Chiefs vs Denver Broncos Picks

Kansas City Chiefs - Denver Broncos Key Points

  1. Kansas City is 0-7 ATS in its last 7 games.
  2. Kansas City is 3-8 ATS in its last 11 games.
  3. Denver is 7-1 ATS in its last 8 games against Kansas City.
  4. Denver is 8-3 ATS in its last 11 games against Kansas City.

Our Kansas City Chiefs vs Denver Broncos Prediction

This game really should not be closed from the opening whistle. Outside of the Broncos committing a bunch of turnovers, we believe they will walk into Kansas City and take an easy win home with them. The Chiefs have looked disjointed all season, and now, with their 3rd string QB, we do not see the players getting up for this one. The Broncos are in a great bounce-back spot here and should cover by 2 touchdowns.

Our prediction for Kansas City Chiefs vs. Denver Broncos: Denver -12.5

Prediction:

 

Denver -12.5

-110
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