Luciano Darderi vs Juncheng Shang Prediction & Picks - ATP National Bank Open

ATP - ATP National Bank Open

ATP 22 Italy
Luciano Darderi
8/6/26 12:30
ATP 281 China
Juncheng Shang

Prediction:

 

Juncheng Shang -1.5 games

-110
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 by Lou Aguila | in ATP National Bank Open Picks

Juncheng Shang rolls into the third round in Montreal as a slight favorite over Luciano Darderi.

Shang is -125 on the moneyline and -110 to cover -1.5 games on the spread line.

Current Form:

Luciano Darderi barged into the third round after his opponent, Gabriel Diallo, retired with an apparent leg injury, with the score 6-4, 3-2 in favor of the Italian. Darderi is now 5-5 on the hard court in 2026.

Juncheng Shang produced his fifth top-20 win of his career after stunning Andrey Rublev in three sets, 7-5, 4-6, 7-6. Shang and Rublev both earned four breakpoint conversions, but it was Shang who came through with the big points in the third-set tiebreaker. Shang is now 5-5 on the hard court.

Matchup: Darderi and Shang will face off for the first time on the ATP Tour. The win over Rublev earned Shang’s some respect from bookmakers, with Caesars Sportsbook listing him as a slight favorite over Darderi.

Up to $250 to bet on Luciano Darderi - Juncheng Shang! 

Limited Offer. Currently at Caesars Sportsbook

Luciano Darderi vs Juncheng Shang Form

Luciano Darderi and Juncheng Shang Latest Matches

Luciano Darderi Latest matches
W L W W L W
Victories

4/6 (67%)

Defeats

2/6 (33%)

Aug 4, 2026 - ATP National Bank Open

Luciano Darderi
1 :  0
Gabriel Diallo

Jul 25, 2026 - ATP Estoril Open

Alexander Blockx
2 :  1
Luciano Darderi

Jul 24, 2026 - ATP Estoril Open

Jaime Faria
1 :  2
Luciano Darderi

Jul 23, 2026 - ATP Estoril Open

Pedro Martinez
0 :  2
Luciano Darderi

Jul 19, 2026 - ATP Bastad Open

Andrey Rublev
2 :  0
Luciano Darderi

Jul 18, 2026 - ATP Bastad Open

Adolfo Daniel Vallejo
1 :  2
Luciano Darderi
Juncheng Shang Latest matches
L L L L W W
Victories

2/6 (33%)

Defeats

4/6 (67%)

Aug 4, 2026 - ATP National Bank Open

Juncheng Shang
2 :  1
Andrey Rublev

Aug 2, 2026 - ATP National Bank Open

Adolfo Daniel Vallejo
0 :  2
Juncheng Shang

Jul 27, 2026 - ATP Washington Citi Open

Kei Nishikori
2 :  1
Juncheng Shang

Feb 24, 2026 - ATP Dubai Open

Daniil Medvedev
2 :  0
Juncheng Shang

Feb 16, 2026 - ATP Qatar Open

Daniil Medvedev
2 :  0
Juncheng Shang

Jan 21, 2026 - ATP Australian Open

Botic Van De Zandschulp
3 :  0
Juncheng Shang
Luciano Darderi vs Juncheng Shang Picks

Luciano Darderi - Juncheng Shang Key Points

  1. Juncheng Shang is 5-5 on the hard court in 2026.
  2. Juncheng Shang is 2-3 vs. the top-50 players.
  3. Luciano Darderi is 5-4 on the hard court in 2026.
  4. Luciano Darderi has five losses against players outside the top 100 in 2026.
Up to $250 to bet on Luciano Darderi - Juncheng Shang! 

Limited Offer. Currently at Caesars Sportsbook

Our Luciano Darderi vs Juncheng Shang Prediction

Key Stats: For a player ranked 270th in the world, Shang has a decent 2-3 record vs. the top-50 and a 1-3 record against the top-20.

Darderi is a clay-court grinder with 204 wins on the surface. On the hard court, the Italian is mediocre with a 35-35 record.

What to Expect: Shang comes through with another upset, beating Darderi in three sets. Shang is making 63.4 percent of his first serves and winning 69 percent of these balls. If he can sustain these numbers, Shang has a massive chance to win.

Fearless Forecast: Juncheng Shang wins 6-4, 3-6, 6-4

Our betting prediction for Juncheng Shang vs. Luciano Darderi: Juncheng Shang -1.5 games

Prediction:

 

Juncheng Shang -1.5 games

-110
$250 offered for betting!

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All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.