Luciano Darderi vs Carlos Alcaraz Prediction & Picks - ATP US Open

ATP - ATP US Open

ATP 34 Italy
Luciano Darderi
8/29/25 11:30
ATP 2 Spain
Carlos Alcaraz

Prediction:

 

Carlos Alcaraz -9.5 Games

+125
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 by Lou Aguila in ATP US Open Picks

Carlos Alcaraz of Spain, currently valued at +180 to win his second US Open crown on DraftKings, will be facing a tough test on Friday when he squares off with Luciano Darderi of Italy in the third round of the 2025 US Open in Flushing Meadows, New York.

New hairdo, but same domination we saw from Alcaraz through the first two rounds of his campaign at the 2025 US Open. Fresh off another crown in Cincinnati, Alcaraz dismantled Reilly Opelka 6-4 7-5 6-4 and Mattia Bellucci 6-1 6-0 6-3 in straight sets, sending a strong message to the right of the field, especially to his archrival Jannik Sinner, that he’s gunning for the US Open crown this year.

Ranked 34th in the world, Darderi is out to pull off the biggest win of his career by knocking over the five-time Grand Slam champion from this tournament. The Italian made it into the third round of the US Open for the first time in his career after posting a four-set win over Elliot Spizziri 6-0 7-6(3) 2-6 6-4 in the second round. In the first round, he swept Rinji Hijikata 6-2 6-1 6-2.

Luciano Darderi vs Carlos Alcaraz Form

Luciano Darderi and Carlos Alcaraz Latest Matches

Luciano Darderi Latest matches
W L W L W W
Victories

5/6 (83%)

Defeats

1/6 (17%)

Aug 27, 2025 - ATP US Open

Luciano Darderi
3 :  1
Eliot Spizzirri

Aug 24, 2025 - ATP US Open

Luciano Darderi
3 :  0
Rinky Hijikata

Aug 20, 2025 - ATP Winston-Salem Open

Miomir Kecmanovic
2 :  0
Luciano Darderi

Aug 19, 2025 - ATP Winston-Salem Open

Mackenzie Mcdonald
1 :  2
Luciano Darderi

Aug 10, 2025 - ATP Cincinnati Open

Francisco Comesana
abort
Luciano Darderi

Jul 26, 2025 - ATP Umag Open

Carlos Taberner
0 :  2
Luciano Darderi
Carlos Alcaraz Latest matches
W W W W W W
Victories

6/6 (100%)

Defeats

0/6 (0%)

Aug 27, 2025 - ATP US Open

Mattia Bellucci
0 :  3
Carlos Alcaraz

Aug 25, 2025 - ATP US Open

Reilly Opelka
0 :  3
Carlos Alcaraz

Aug 18, 2025 - ATP Cincinnati Open

Jannik Sinner
abort
Carlos Alcaraz

Aug 16, 2025 - ATP Cincinnati Open

Alexander Zverev
0 :  2
Carlos Alcaraz

Aug 15, 2025 - ATP Cincinnati Open

Andrey Rublev
1 :  2
Carlos Alcaraz

Aug 13, 2025 - ATP Cincinnati Open

Luca Nardi
0 :  2
Carlos Alcaraz
Compare Luciano Darderi and Carlos Alcaraz with our comparison tool.

Luciano Darderi - Carlos Alcaraz Key Points

  1. Carlos Alcaraz defeated Mattia Bellucci 6-1 6-0 6-3 in the second round of the 2025 US Open.
  2. Carlos Alcaraz has won his last 8 matches.
  3. Luciano Darderi defeated Elliot Spizziri 6-0 7-6(3) 2-6 6-4 in the second round of the 2025 US Open.
  4. Luciano Darderi defeated Elliot Spizziri 6-0 7-6(3) 2-6 6-4 in the second round of the 2025 US Open.

Our Luciano Darderi vs Carlos Alcaraz Prediction

I am taking Carlos Alcaraz to win by at least 10 games. The Spaniard has matched the energy of his new hairdo by becoming an unstoppable force on the serves, winning all 27 service games. Although he only converted 36 percent of breakpoints in two matches, Alcaraz has already created 27 breakpoint opportunities, which only shows his caliber as a top-notch returner.

Darderi, who is a career 0-2 against the ATP top-5, has already scored 23 aces in the tournament but also committed 11 double faults. Against a player like Alcaraz, Darderi must understand that he has no room for errors because the Spaniard can really pile up the points in a hurry.

Our betting prediction for Carlos Alcaraz vs. Luciano Darderi: Carlos Alcaraz -9.5 Games

Prediction:

 

Carlos Alcaraz -9.5 Games

+125
$500+ offered for betting!

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Luciano Darderi vs Carlos Alcaraz Picks