Tampa Bay Buccaneers vs Atlanta Falcons Prediction & Picks - NFL

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Tampa Bay Buccaneers
12/11/25 20:15
Atlanta Falcons

Prediction:

 

Buccaneers -4.5

-105
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 by Travis Pulver | in NFL Picks

The Tampa Bay Buccaneers will host the Atlanta Falcons on Thursday Night Football at Raymond James Stadium in Tampa, FL. Kickoff on Prime is scheduled for 8:15 p.m. EST.

A few weeks ago, the Buccaneers were in control of the NFC South and looked like a virtual lock to win the division. However, with several key players missing time with injuries in the last few weeks, it became harder for Baker Mayfield to get the offense on track. Consequently, with last week's loss to the New Orleans Saints, the Bucs have dropped five of their last seven games. But with Chris Godwin healthy and Mike Evans getting activated off the IR, maybe the offense can come alive against a Falcons defense that was, at one point during the season, considered one of the best in the NFL (but not anymore). As for the Falcons, back in Week 6 when they dominated the Bills, they looked poised to explode this season. Fast forward to Week 15, Kirk Cousins has been up and down since taking over for an injured Michael Penix Jr., and the run game has been sporadic. When things work, the offense is impressive and fun to watch, but it is hard to tell from one week to the next whether it will be up to the task.

Tampa Bay Buccaneers vs Atlanta Falcons Form

Table

Teams Pts P W L
16
Tampa Bay Buccaneers
Tampa Bay Buccaneers
0.471 17 8 9
17
Atlanta Falcons
Atlanta Falcons
0.471 17 8 9

Tampa Bay Buccaneers and Atlanta Falcons Latest Matches

Tampa Bay Buccaneers
Tampa Bay Buccaneers Latest matches
W L L L W L
Victories

2/6 (33%)

Defeats

4/6 (67%)

Dec 7, 2025 - NFL

Tampa Bay Buccaneers
20 :  24
New Orleans Saints

Nov 30, 2025 - NFL

Tampa Bay Buccaneers
20 :  17
Arizona Cardinals

Nov 23, 2025 - NFL

Los Angeles Rams
34 :  7
Tampa Bay Buccaneers

Nov 16, 2025 - NFL

Buffalo Bills
44 :  32
Tampa Bay Buccaneers

Nov 9, 2025 - NFL

Tampa Bay Buccaneers
23 :  28
New England Patriots

Oct 26, 2025 - NFL

New Orleans Saints
3 :  23
Tampa Bay Buccaneers
W L W L W L
Victories

3/6 (50%)

Defeats

3/6 (50%)

Dec 7, 2025 - NFL

Tampa Bay Buccaneers
20 :  24
New Orleans Saints

Nov 30, 2025 - NFL

Tampa Bay Buccaneers
20 :  17
Arizona Cardinals

Nov 9, 2025 - NFL

Tampa Bay Buccaneers
23 :  28
New England Patriots

Oct 12, 2025 - NFL

Tampa Bay Buccaneers
30 :  19
San Francisco 49ers

Sep 28, 2025 - NFL

Tampa Bay Buccaneers
25 :  31
Philadelphia Eagles

Sep 21, 2025 - NFL

Tampa Bay Buccaneers
29 :  27
New York Jets
W W L W L L
Victories

3/6 (50%)

Defeats

3/6 (50%)

Nov 23, 2025 - NFL

Los Angeles Rams
34 :  7
Tampa Bay Buccaneers

Nov 16, 2025 - NFL

Buffalo Bills
44 :  32
Tampa Bay Buccaneers

Oct 26, 2025 - NFL

New Orleans Saints
3 :  23
Tampa Bay Buccaneers

Oct 20, 2025 - NFL

Detroit Lions
24 :  9
Tampa Bay Buccaneers

Oct 5, 2025 - NFL

Seattle Seahawks
35 :  38
Tampa Bay Buccaneers

Sep 15, 2025 - NFL

Houston Texans
19 :  20
Tampa Bay Buccaneers
Atlanta Falcons
Atlanta Falcons Latest matches
L L L W L L
Victories

1/6 (17%)

Defeats

5/6 (83%)

Dec 7, 2025 - NFL

Atlanta Falcons
9 :  37
Seattle Seahawks

Nov 30, 2025 - NFL

New York Jets
27 :  24
Atlanta Falcons

Nov 23, 2025 - NFL

New Orleans Saints
10 :  24
Atlanta Falcons

Nov 16, 2025 - NFL

Atlanta Falcons
27 :  30
Carolina Panthers

Nov 9, 2025 - NFL

Indianapolis Colts
31 :  25
Atlanta Falcons

Nov 2, 2025 - NFL

New England Patriots
24 :  23
Atlanta Falcons
L W W L L L
Victories

2/6 (33%)

Defeats

4/6 (67%)

Dec 7, 2025 - NFL

Atlanta Falcons
9 :  37
Seattle Seahawks

Nov 16, 2025 - NFL

Atlanta Falcons
27 :  30
Carolina Panthers

Oct 26, 2025 - NFL

Atlanta Falcons
10 :  34
Miami Dolphins

Oct 13, 2025 - NFL

Atlanta Falcons
24 :  14
Buffalo Bills

Sep 28, 2025 - NFL

Atlanta Falcons
34 :  27
Washington Commanders

Sep 7, 2025 - NFL

Atlanta Falcons
20 :  23
Tampa Bay Buccaneers
L L L L W L
Victories

1/6 (17%)

Defeats

5/6 (83%)

Nov 30, 2025 - NFL

New York Jets
27 :  24
Atlanta Falcons

Nov 23, 2025 - NFL

New Orleans Saints
10 :  24
Atlanta Falcons

Nov 9, 2025 - NFL

Indianapolis Colts
31 :  25
Atlanta Falcons

Nov 2, 2025 - NFL

New England Patriots
24 :  23
Atlanta Falcons

Oct 19, 2025 - NFL

San Francisco 49ers
20 :  10
Atlanta Falcons

Sep 21, 2025 - NFL

Carolina Panthers
30 :  0
Atlanta Falcons

Tampa Bay Buccaneers against Atlanta Falcons : Head to Head (H2H)

Tampa Bay Buccaneers

25 %

Atlanta Falcons

75 %

Sep 7, 2025 - NFL

Atlanta Falcons
20 :  23
Tampa Bay Buccaneers

Oct 27, 2024 - NFL

Tampa Bay Buccaneers
26 :  31
Atlanta Falcons

Oct 3, 2024 - NFL

Atlanta Falcons
36 :  30
Tampa Bay Buccaneers

Oct 22, 2023 - NFL

Tampa Bay Buccaneers
13 :  16
Atlanta Falcons

Tampa Bay Buccaneers - Atlanta Falcons Key Points

  1. The all-time series between these two teams is tied at 32-32.
  2. Tampa Bay won its Week 1 matchup 23-20, but Atlanta has won four of the last six.
  3. Atlanta is 5-7-1 ATS this season; Tampa Bay is 5-8.
  4. Betting Public: 64% of spread tickets are on the Bucs but 66% of the handle is on the Falcons.

Our Tampa Bay Buccaneers vs Atlanta Falcons Prediction

Both teams have been struggling the last few weeks, but both should get a boost with returning playmakers; Tampa Bay should get Mike Evans back, and Atlanta should get Drake London. However, I’ve got much more faith in Baker Mayfield getting his offense on track than Kirk Cousins. Both defenses have weaknesses, but I am not confident the Falcons can get out of their own way to exploit the Bucs D.

Our Atlanta vs. Tampa Bay Pick: Buccaneers -4.5

Prediction:

 

Buccaneers -4.5

-105
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Tampa Bay Buccaneers vs Atlanta Falcons Picks