Tigres UANL vs Deportivo Toluca FC Prediction & Picks - Liga MX

Mexico - Liga MX

Tigres UANL
12/11/25 21:00
Deportivo Toluca FC

Prediction:

 

Toluca to win or draw.

-140
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 by Carlos Zabala in Liga MX Picks

The Mexican soccer final will be a first-ever matchup between Tigres and Toluca, which also makes sense, since before winning their respective head-to-head matches, Toluca and Tigres finished first and second in the overall standings before the playoffs.

Toluca scored 43 goals in 17 matches in the Apertura tournament, but this is just a small part of the feats that the team managed by Mohamed, the current Mexican soccer champion, has accomplished in the last two years. The Argentine coach himself predicted that his team had what it took to make history in Mexican soccer; time has proven him right.

Since Toluca beat América in the final of the last Clausura tournament, ending their dominance, the Red Devils have won the Campeón de Campeones trophy, made it into the top 8 of the Leagues Cup, won the Campeones Cup against Galaxy, and are now back in the final of the Apertura tournament after an epic comeback in the second leg of the semifinal against the powerful Monterrey, beating them 3-2 at the Nemesio Díaz with goals from Pereira, Paulinho, and Helinho.

Tigres UANL vs Deportivo Toluca FC Form

Tigres UANL and Deportivo Toluca FC Latest Matches

Tigres UANL
Tigres UANL Latest matches
D W L W D D
Victories

2/6 (33%)

Draw

3/6 (50%)

Defeats

1/6 (17%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3 Total goals
67% BTTS
1.83 Goals scored
1.17 Goals conceded
50% Over 2.5
50% Under 2.5

Dec 6, 2025 - Liga MX

Tigres UANL
1 :  1
CF Cruz Azul

Dec 3, 2025 - Liga MX

CF Cruz Azul
1 :  1
Tigres UANL

Nov 29, 2025 - Liga MX

Tigres UANL
5 :  0
Tijuana

Nov 27, 2025 - Liga MX

Tijuana
3 :  0
Tigres UANL

Nov 8, 2025 - Liga MX

Tigres UANL
3 :  1
Atletico San Luis

Nov 1, 2025 - Liga MX

Monterrey
1 :  1
Tigres UANL
D W W W W D
Victories

4/6 (67%)

Draw

2/6 (33%)

Defeats

0/6 (0%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3.83 Total goals
67% BTTS
2.83 Goals scored
1 Goals conceded
50% Over 2.5
50% Under 2.5

Dec 6, 2025 - Liga MX

Tigres UANL
1 :  1
CF Cruz Azul

Nov 29, 2025 - Liga MX

Tigres UANL
5 :  0
Tijuana

Nov 8, 2025 - Liga MX

Tigres UANL
3 :  1
Atletico San Luis

Oct 25, 2025 - Liga MX

Tigres UANL
2 :  0
Tijuana

Oct 17, 2025 - Liga MX

Tigres UANL
5 :  3
Club Necaxa

Oct 4, 2025 - Liga MX

Tigres UANL
1 :  1
CF Cruz Azul
D W W D L D
Victories

2/6 (33%)

Draw

3/6 (50%)

Defeats

1/6 (17%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.33 Total goals
67% BTTS
1.17 Goals scored
1.17 Goals conceded
33% Over 2.5
67% Under 2.5

Dec 3, 2025 - Liga MX

CF Cruz Azul
1 :  1
Tigres UANL

Nov 27, 2025 - Liga MX

Tijuana
3 :  0
Tigres UANL

Nov 1, 2025 - Liga MX

Monterrey
1 :  1
Tigres UANL

Oct 22, 2025 - Liga MX

CF Pachuca
1 :  2
Tigres UANL

Sep 28, 2025 - Liga MX

Queretaro
0 :  2
Tigres UANL

Sep 20, 2025 - Liga MX

Pumas UNAM
1 :  1
Tigres UANL
Deportivo Toluca FC
Deportivo Toluca FC Latest matches
D W W D L W
Victories

3/6 (50%)

Draw

2/6 (33%)

Defeats

1/6 (17%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

1.83 Total goals
33% BTTS
1.17 Goals scored
0.67 Goals conceded
33% Over 2.5
67% Under 2.5

Dec 6, 2025 - Liga MX

Deportivo Toluca FC
3 :  2
Monterrey

Dec 3, 2025 - Liga MX

Monterrey
1 :  0
Deportivo Toluca FC

Nov 29, 2025 - Liga MX

Deportivo Toluca FC
0 :  0
FC Juarez

Nov 26, 2025 - Liga MX

FC Juarez
1 :  2
Deportivo Toluca FC

Nov 8, 2025 - Liga MX

Deportivo Toluca FC
2 :  0
CF America

Nov 1, 2025 - Liga MX

Atlas FC
0 :  0
Deportivo Toluca FC
W W D W D W
Victories

4/6 (67%)

Draw

2/6 (33%)

Defeats

0/6 (0%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3.17 Total goals
50% BTTS
2.33 Goals scored
0.83 Goals conceded
67% Over 2.5
33% Under 2.5

Dec 6, 2025 - Liga MX

Deportivo Toluca FC
3 :  2
Monterrey

Nov 29, 2025 - Liga MX

Deportivo Toluca FC
0 :  0
FC Juarez

Nov 8, 2025 - Liga MX

Deportivo Toluca FC
2 :  0
CF America

Oct 26, 2025 - Liga MX

Deportivo Toluca FC
2 :  2
CF Pachuca

Oct 18, 2025 - Liga MX

Deportivo Toluca FC
4 :  0
Queretaro

Sep 27, 2025 - Liga MX

Deportivo Toluca FC
3 :  1
Mazatlan FC
W W D D W L
Victories

3/6 (50%)

Draw

2/6 (33%)

Defeats

1/6 (17%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.5 Total goals
50% BTTS
1.5 Goals scored
1 Goals conceded
50% Over 2.5
50% Under 2.5

Dec 3, 2025 - Liga MX

Monterrey
1 :  0
Deportivo Toluca FC

Nov 26, 2025 - Liga MX

FC Juarez
1 :  2
Deportivo Toluca FC

Nov 1, 2025 - Liga MX

Atlas FC
0 :  0
Deportivo Toluca FC

Oct 22, 2025 - Liga MX

Tijuana
0 :  0
Deportivo Toluca FC

Oct 4, 2025 - Liga MX

Club Leon
2 :  4
Deportivo Toluca FC

Oct 1, 2025 - Campeones Cup

Los Angeles Galaxy
2 :  3
Deportivo Toluca FC

Tigres UANL against Deportivo Toluca FC : Head to Head (H2H)

Tigres UANL

33 %

Draw

17 %

Deportivo Toluca FC

50 %

Average stats (last H2H results)

3.17
Total goals
66.67%
BTTS
1.33
Goals scored
1.83
Goals conceded
66.67%
Over 2.5
33.33%
Under 2.5

Jul 26, 2025 - Liga MX

Deportivo Toluca FC
3 :  4
Tigres UANL

May 17, 2025 - Liga MX

Deportivo Toluca FC
3 :  0
Tigres UANL

May 14, 2025 - Liga MX

Tigres UANL
1 :  1
Deportivo Toluca FC

Feb 1, 2025 - Liga MX

Deportivo Toluca FC
1 :  0
Tigres UANL

Nov 6, 2024 - Liga MX

Tigres UANL
2 :  1
Deportivo Toluca FC

Mar 2, 2024 - Liga MX

Deportivo Toluca FC
2 :  1
Tigres UANL

Tigres UANL against Deportivo Toluca FC Lineups: Starting 11

Tigres UANL

Formation : 4 - 2 - 3 - 1

1
N. Guzman
14
J. Garza
2
Joaquim
27
J. Angulo
3
M. Farfan
23
Romulo
8
F. Gorriaran
16
D. Lainez
11
J. Brunetta
7
A. Correa
10
A. Gignac
26
Paulinho
8
N. Castro
5
F. Romero
14
M. Ruiz
10
R. Angulo
20
J. Gallardo
6
F. Pereira
25
E. Lopez del Villar
4
B. Mendez
19
S. Simon
1
H. Gonzalez Duran

Formation : 5 - 4 - 1

Deportivo Toluca FC

Substitutes

Tigres UANL
Tigres UANL
Goalkeeper

F. Rodriguez

Defender

O. Rodriguez

R. Guerrero

J. Aquino

F. Gorriaran 85'

J. Purata

J. Angulo 84'

Midfielder

J. Vigon

Forward

U. Antuna

J. Brunetta 83'

N. Ibanez

A. Gignac 71'

M. Flores

E. Lopez

Deportivo Toluca FC
Deportivo Toluca FC
Goalkeeper

L. Garcia

Defender

A. Briseno

M. Isais

D. Zaragoza

B. Mendez 57'

Midfielder

F. Arce

H. Herrera

Forward

O. Virgen

R. Morales

R. Angulo 57'

Helinho

Paulinho 78'

J. Dominguez

N. Castro 86'

Most goals and assists

CD Huachipato Tigres UANL
CD Huachipato Deportivo Toluca FC
Top Goalscorer
Argentina J. Brunetta (11 Goals)
Top Goalscorer
Portugal Paulinho (15 Goals)
Best assists
Mexico D. Lainez (4 Assists)
Best assists
Mexico A. Vega (9 Assists)

Tigres UANL - Deportivo Toluca FC Key Points

  1. Toluca hasn't lost a match by two or more goals in over seven months
  2. Toluca generated an xG of 2.85 in the second leg of the semifinal against Monterrey
  3. Tigres only managed one shot on target in their draw against Cruz Azul
  4. Brunetta scored two goals for Tigres in the Apertura playoffs this season

Our Tigres UANL vs Deportivo Toluca FC Prediction

The first leg of the monumental final will be played on December 11th, with the second leg taking place three days later. The first leg will be held at Estadio Universitario, where Tigres managed to hold Cruz Azul to a draw and secure their place in the final. They are considered favorites to win, at least in the first leg.

In May of this year, Tigres and Toluca faced off in the semifinals of the tournament that Toluca ultimately won. They drew 1-1 at the university, with Paulinho scoring for Toluca; in the second leg, Toluca dominated, winning 3-0 with two goals from Vega.

Our prediction for Toluca vs Tigres is: Toluca to win or draw.

Prediction:

 

Toluca to win or draw.

-140
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Tigres UANL vs Deportivo Toluca FC Picks