Lorenzo Musetti vs Alexander Zverev Prediction & Picks - ATP Italian Open

ATP - ATP Italian Open

ATP 9 Italy
Lorenzo Musetti
5/14/25 14:30
ATP 2 Germany
Alexander Zverev

Prediction:

 

Lorenzo Musetti will win

+125
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 by Lou Aguila in ATP Italian Open Picks

Lorenzo Musetti of Italy will tangle with No.3 seed Alexander Zverev of Germany in a tantalizing quarterfinal clash at the 2025 Rome Masters on Wednesday.

Musetti is the last Italian standing at the Rome Masters after besting Daniil Medvedev in a rain-interrupted match 7-5, 6-4. Facing a former world’s No.1, Musetti took his level of play a notch higher as his sizzling hot form at the serves continued to make a difference. Musetti only allowed Medvedev only one service break while bombarding him with 27 first-serve points and 16 second-serve points.

Zverev, the BMW Munich Open champion, advanced to final eight with a clinical victory over French rising star Arthur Fils 7-6(3) 6-1. Zverev finally solved the young Frenchman by playing with more aggression and busting out his net game package. Zverev landed 73 percent of his first serves, winning 34 points on top of 8 aces. He also broke Fils 5 times and surrendered only 2 service breaks.

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Lorenzo Musetti vs Alexander Zverev Form

Lorenzo Musetti and Alexander Zverev Latest Matches

Lorenzo Musetti Latest matches
W W L W W W
Victories

5/6 (83%)

Defeats

1/6 (17%)

May 13, 2025 - ATP Italian Open

Lorenzo Musetti
2 :  0
Daniil Medvedev

May 11, 2025 - ATP Italian Open

Lorenzo Musetti
2 :  0
Brandon Nakashima

May 9, 2025 - ATP Italian Open

Lorenzo Musetti
2 :  0
Otto Virtanen

May 2, 2025 - ATP Mutua Madrid Open

Jack Draper
2 :  0
Lorenzo Musetti

May 1, 2025 - ATP Mutua Madrid Open

Lorenzo Musetti
2 :  0
Gabriel Diallo

Apr 30, 2025 - ATP Mutua Madrid Open

Alex De Minaur
0 :  2
Lorenzo Musetti
Alexander Zverev Latest matches
W W L W W W
Victories

5/6 (83%)

Defeats

1/6 (17%)

May 13, 2025 - ATP Italian Open

Arthur Fils
0 :  2
Alexander Zverev

May 11, 2025 - ATP Italian Open

Vilius Gaubas
0 :  2
Alexander Zverev

May 9, 2025 - ATP Italian Open

Camilo Ugo Carabelli
0 :  2
Alexander Zverev

Apr 29, 2025 - ATP Mutua Madrid Open

Alexander Zverev
0 :  2
Francisco Cerundolo

Apr 27, 2025 - ATP Mutua Madrid Open

Alexander Zverev
2 :  1
Alejandro Davidovich Fokina

Apr 25, 2025 - ATP Mutua Madrid Open

Alexander Zverev
2 :  0
Roberto Bautista-Agut

Lorenzo Musetti against Alexander Zverev : Head to Head (H2H)

Lorenzo Musetti

67 %

Alexander Zverev

33 %

Oct 25, 2024 - ATP Vienna

Alexander Zverev
1 :  2
Lorenzo Musetti

Aug 1, 2024 - Olympic Tournament

Alexander Zverev
0 :  2
Lorenzo Musetti

May 5, 2022 - ATP Mutua Madrid Open

Lorenzo Musetti
- :  -
Alexander Zverev
Compare Lorenzo Musetti and Alexander Zverev with our comparison tool.

Lorenzo Musetti - Alexander Zverev Key Points

  1. Lorenzo Musetti defeated Daniil Medvedev 7-5, 6-4 in the fourth round of the 2025 Rome Masters.
  2. Lorenzo Musetti is 13-2 on clay in 2025.
  3. Alexander Zverev defeated Arthur Fils 7-6 (3), 6-1 in the fourth round of the 2025 Rome Masters.
  4. Alexander Zverev is 13-4 on clay in 2025.
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Our Lorenzo Musetti vs Alexander Zverev Prediction

Fearless Forecast: Lorenzo Musetti beats Alexander Zverev in another nailbiter

Reasons to Bet on Lorenzo Musetti to win: Musetti is 13-2 on clay this year and has been in the final and semis of the Monte Carlo and Madrid Masters, respectively. During this remarkable clay-court season run, Musetti has beaten a number of top-flight opponents such as Daniil Medvedev, Stefanos Tsitsipas, Alex De Minaur, and Matteo Berrettini. Moreover, Musetti has won his last two meetings with Zverev, including a 7-5. 7-5 win in the quarterfinal of the 2024 Olympics.

Reasons NOT to bet on Alexander Zverev to win: Zverev got a morale-boosting win after defeating Arthur Fils convincingly in straight sets. However, he would need a more polished performance against Musetti if he wants to advance into the next round. Zverev has held 80 percent of his serves in the tournament. Musetti, meanwhile, has won 97 percent of his serves, conceding only once. Although Zverev has won 17 breakpoints in Rome, I highly doubt that he will have the same success against an outstanding server in Musetti.

Our betting prediction for Alexander Zverev vs. Lorenzo Musetti: Lorenzo Musetti will win.

Prediction:

 

Lorenzo Musetti will win

+125
$250 offered for betting!

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Lorenzo Musetti vs Alexander Zverev Picks
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