Manchester United vs Manchester City Prediction & Picks - Premier League

England - Premier League

Manchester United
1/17/26 07:30
Manchester City

Prediction:

 

Amad Diallo 1+ Shots on Target

-130
$200 offered for betting!

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 by Bradley Gibbs | in Premier League Picks

Following the crazy festive period, where the games came thick and fast, there was no EPL action last weekend. Early on Saturday, it’s back with a bang as Man United and Man City clash at Old Trafford. 

Still without a permanent manager following the departure of Ruben Amorim, the Red Devils will be hoping to defeat their city rivals in front of a home crowd, but they’ll need to improve on recent efforts if they’re to do that. They’ll also need to do an awful lot better than they did when the teams met earlier in the campaign, with United losing by three goals to zero on that occasion. 

The visitors will arrive at Old Trafford following what was a pleasing win away to Newcastle in the EFL Cup semi-final first leg during the week. Can Guardiola’s men continue to build momentum by securing what would be a third straight win?

Manchester United vs Manchester City Form

Table

Teams Pts P W D L GD
2 Manchester City
78 38 23 9 6 +42
3 Manchester United
71 38 20 11 7 +19

Manchester United and Manchester City Latest Matches

Manchester United
Manchester United Latest matches
L W D D D L
Victories

1/6 (17%)

Draw

3/6 (50%)

Defeats

2/6 (33%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.5 Total goals
83% BTTS
1.17 Goals scored
1.33 Goals conceded
50% Over 2.5
50% Under 2.5

Jan 11, 2026 - FA Cup

Manchester United
1 :  2
Brighton

Jan 7, 2026 - Premier League

Burnley
2 :  2
Manchester United

Jan 4, 2026 - Premier League

Leeds
1 :  1
Manchester United

Dec 30, 2025 - Premier League

Manchester United
1 :  1
Wolves

Dec 26, 2025 - Premier League

Manchester United
1 :  0
Newcastle

Dec 21, 2025 - Premier League

Aston Villa
2 :  1
Manchester United
L D D W D L
Victories

1/6 (17%)

Draw

3/6 (50%)

Defeats

2/6 (33%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.83 Total goals
67% BTTS
1.33 Goals scored
1.5 Goals conceded
33% Over 2.5
67% Under 2.5

Jan 11, 2026 - FA Cup

Manchester United
1 :  2
Brighton

Dec 30, 2025 - Premier League

Manchester United
1 :  1
Wolves

Dec 26, 2025 - Premier League

Manchester United
1 :  0
Newcastle

Dec 15, 2025 - Premier League

Manchester United
4 :  4
Bournemouth

Dec 4, 2025 - Premier League

Manchester United
1 :  1
West Ham

Nov 24, 2025 - Premier League

Manchester United
0 :  1
Everton
D W W L D D
Victories

2/6 (33%)

Draw

3/6 (50%)

Defeats

1/6 (17%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3.5 Total goals
100% BTTS
2 Goals scored
1.5 Goals conceded
83% Over 2.5
17% Under 2.5

Jan 7, 2026 - Premier League

Burnley
2 :  2
Manchester United

Jan 4, 2026 - Premier League

Leeds
1 :  1
Manchester United

Dec 21, 2025 - Premier League

Aston Villa
2 :  1
Manchester United

Dec 8, 2025 - Premier League

Wolves
1 :  4
Manchester United

Nov 30, 2025 - Premier League

Crystal Palace
1 :  2
Manchester United

Nov 8, 2025 - Premier League

Tottenham
2 :  2
Manchester United
Manchester City
Manchester City Latest matches
W D D D W W
Victories

3/6 (50%)

Draw

3/6 (50%)

Defeats

0/6 (0%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3.33 Total goals
67% BTTS
2.67 Goals scored
0.67 Goals conceded
33% Over 2.5
67% Under 2.5

Jan 13, 2026 - Carabao Cup

Newcastle
0 :  2
Manchester City

Jan 10, 2026 - FA Cup

Manchester City
10 :  1
Exeter City

Jan 7, 2026 - Premier League

Manchester City
1 :  1
Brighton

Jan 4, 2026 - Premier League

Manchester City
1 :  1
Chelsea

Jan 1, 2026 - Premier League

Sunderland
0 :  0
Manchester City

Dec 27, 2025 - Premier League

Nottingham Forest
1 :  2
Manchester City
W W W D D W
Victories

4/6 (67%)

Draw

2/6 (33%)

Defeats

0/6 (0%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3.83 Total goals
50% BTTS
3.33 Goals scored
0.5 Goals conceded
50% Over 2.5
50% Under 2.5

Jan 10, 2026 - FA Cup

Manchester City
10 :  1
Exeter City

Jan 7, 2026 - Premier League

Manchester City
1 :  1
Brighton

Jan 4, 2026 - Premier League

Manchester City
1 :  1
Chelsea

Dec 20, 2025 - Premier League

Manchester City
3 :  0
West Ham

Dec 17, 2025 - Carabao Cup

Manchester City
2 :  0
Brentford

Dec 6, 2025 - Premier League

Manchester City
3 :  0
Sunderland
W W W W D W
Victories

5/6 (83%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Defeats

0/6 (0%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3.33 Total goals
50% BTTS
2.33 Goals scored
1 Goals conceded
67% Over 2.5
33% Under 2.5

Jan 13, 2026 - Carabao Cup

Newcastle
0 :  2
Manchester City

Jan 1, 2026 - Premier League

Sunderland
0 :  0
Manchester City

Dec 27, 2025 - Premier League

Nottingham Forest
1 :  2
Manchester City

Dec 14, 2025 - Premier League

Crystal Palace
0 :  3
Manchester City

Dec 10, 2025 - Champions League

Real Madrid
1 :  2
Manchester City

Dec 2, 2025 - Premier League

Fulham
4 :  5
Manchester City

Manchester United against Manchester City : Head to Head (H2H)

Manchester United

33 %

Draw

33 %

Manchester City

33 %

Average stats (last H2H results)

2.5
Total goals
66.67%
BTTS
1
Goals scored
1.5
Goals conceded
66.67%
Over 2.5
33.33%
Under 2.5

Sep 14, 2025 - Premier League

Manchester City
3 :  0
Manchester United

Apr 6, 2025 - Premier League

Manchester United
0 :  0
Manchester City

Dec 15, 2024 - Premier League

Manchester City
1 :  2
Manchester United

Aug 10, 2024 - Community Shield

Manchester City
1 :  1
Manchester United

May 25, 2024 - FA Cup

Manchester City
1 :  2
Manchester United

Mar 3, 2024 - Premier League

Manchester City
3 :  1
Manchester United

Manchester United - Manchester City: Form Analysis

From a recent form point of view, the hosts haven’t had much to shout about. Sure, they’re not losing with regularity, with that FA Cup defeat against Brighton last time out going down as their only loss in their last five, while they’ve lost just two of their last ten games in all competitions. Unfortunately, they’ve only emerged victorious from three of those ten, winning just one of their last six league games. They’ve won just one of their last five league games at home. 

During that spell, the Citizens have scored just two goals, making this a game between two teams looking to up their offensive output in the league.

In contrast, the Citizens have avoided defeat in each of their last 12 in all competitions, winning nine of those. They are without a win in three league games, though, tying with Sunderland, Chelsea and Brighton. During that spell, the Citizens have scored just two goals, making this a game between two teams looking to up their offensive output in the league.

Manchester United against Manchester City Lineups: Starting 11

Manchester United

Formation : 4 - 2 - 3 - 1

31
S. Lammens
2
D. Dalot
5
H. Maguire
6
L. Martinez
23
L. Shaw
18
Casemiro
37
K. Mainoo
16
A. Diallo
8
B. Fernandes
13
P. Dorgu
19
B. Mbeumo
9
E. Haaland
11
J. Doku
20
B. Silva
47
P. Foden
42
A. Semenyo
16
Rodri
6
N. Ake
68
M. Alleyne
45
A. Khusanov
82
R. Lewis
25
G. Donnarumma

Formation : 4 - 1 - 4 - 1

Manchester City

Substitutes

Manchester United
Manchester United
Goalkeeper

A. Bayindir

Defender

A. Heaven

L. Shaw 90'

L. Yoro

T. Malacia

Midfielder

M. Ugarte

Casemiro 81'

M. Mount

B. Fernandes 90'

J. Fletcher

Forward

M. Cunha

B. Mbeumo 71'

B. Sesko

Manchester City
Manchester City
Goalkeeper

J. Trafford

M. Bettinelli

Defender

N. OReilly

M. Alleyne 46'

R. Ait-Nouri

J. Doku 80'

S. Mfuni

Midfielder

R. McAidoo

T. Reijnders

B. Silva 80'

R. Cherki

P. Foden 46'

D. Mukasa

E. Haaland 80'

Missing players

Manchester United
Manchester United
Defender

M. De Ligt

Manchester City
Manchester City
Defender

J. Stones

R. Dias

J. Gvardiol

Midfielder

M. Kovacic

N. Gonzalez

Manchester United & Manchester City Squad Analysis

Suffering from a back injury at present, Matthijs de Ligt will not feature for the hosts, while Noussair Mazraoui, who recently helped Morocco to reach the final of the African Cup of Nations, continues to be away on international duty. 

After scoring his first goal for the club last time out, January recruit Antoine Semenyo may start.

Both Savinho and Nico are likely to miss out for the visitors, who are also expected to be without the services of Oscar Bobb, who continues to struggle with a hamstring injury, while Ruben Dias is out with a thigh problem. Croatian players Josip Gvardiol and Mateo Kovacic both continue on the sidelines too. After scoring his first goal for the club last time out, January recruit Antoine Semenyo may start.

Most goals and assists

CD Huachipato Manchester United
CD Huachipato Manchester City
Top Goalscorer
Cameroon B. Mbeumo (11 Goals)
Slovenia B. Sesko (11 Goals)
Top Goalscorer
Norway E. Haaland (27 Goals)
Best assists
Portugal B. Fernandes (21 Assists)
Best assists
France R. Cherki (12 Assists)

Manchester United - Manchester City Key Points

  1. In his last seven games for club and country, Amad Diallo has taken 24 shots.
  2. Last time out for Man United in the EPL, Amad Diallo registered a shot on target.
  3. Amad Diallo has taken nine shots in Man United's last three home games.
  4. In his last four appearances for club and country, Amad Diallo has registered four shots on target.

Our Manchester United vs Manchester City Prediction

Fresh from some fantastic performances at the African Cup of Nations, Amad Diallo should return for Man United on Saturday, and if he does and odds of -130 remain available, the Ivorian is worth betting on to register a shot on target. To be honest, Diallo was in strong form before going off to represent his nation in Morocco, and there's no reason why he won't continue to perform well now that he's back. 

After all, we're talking about a player who has fired off 24 shots in his last seven games for club and country, scoring four goals during that time. He loves to get himself into shooting positions and will be a clear threat on the break against a high-pressing Man City team. 

Our Man United vs Man City Pick: Amad Diallo 1+ Shots on Target. 

Prediction:

 

Amad Diallo 1+ Shots on Target

-130
$200 offered for betting!

Manchester United vs Manchester City - Other Interesting Picks

Manuel Ugarte to Receive a Card

Odds +225

To be honest, I'm hugely surprised to see that Manuel Ugarte is available at odds greater than +200 to pick up a booking on Saturday. A prolific fouler, the Uruguayan has tamed himself a little this season, receiving just one booking so far, but to start with, he wasn't playing too much, which helped.

Now featuring regularly, he's starting to make more and more fouls, especially in the big games. Recently booked against Aston Villa, Ugarte has made 11 fouls in his last five EPL appearances and is likely to struggle against a very tricky Man City midfield, so much so that odds of +225 look generous. 

$200 offered for betting!

Manchester United vs Manchester City match : Frequently asked questions

Saturday's opening Premier League fixture between Man United and Man City will take place at Old Trafford.

All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.

Manchester United vs Manchester City Picks