Learner Tien vs Tommy Paul Prediction & Picks - ATP National Bank Open

ATP - ATP National Bank Open

ATP 19 USA
Learner Tien
8/7/26 20:10
ATP 21 USA
Tommy Paul

Prediction:

 

Learner Tien will win

+140
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 by Lou Aguila in ATP National Bank Open Picks

Learner Tien, posted at +140, will go for some sweet revenge against Tommy Paul in the third round of the 2026 Montreal Masters.

Current Form:

Learner Tien fended off a spirited fightback from ATP veteran Gael Monfils, 6-3, 0-6, 6-3, to book his spot in the third round of the 2026 Canadian Open. Tien is now 11-6 on the hard court and 22-13 overall in 2026.

Tommy Paul swept Valentin Royer 6-4, 7-6 to advance into the next round. Paul won 75 percent of his first serves and surrendered one service game against Royer. He also broke the Frenchman twice and outgunned him in the thrilling second-set tiebreaker, 7-5.

The Matchup: Paul edged Tien in three sets 4-6, 6-4, 6-3 at the Delray Beach Open this year. Caesars Sportsbook has listed Paul as a -190 favorite in this match, but Tien’s counterpunching style could make this duel tougher for the elder American.

Up to $250 to bet on Learner Tien - Tommy Paul! 

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Learner Tien vs Tommy Paul Form

Learner Tien and Tommy Paul Latest Matches

Learner Tien Latest matches
W L W L L W
Victories

3/6 (50%)

Defeats

3/6 (50%)

Aug 5, 2026 - ATP National Bank Open

Learner Tien
2 :  1
Gael Monfils

Jul 28, 2026 - ATP Washington Citi Open

Adrian Mannarino
2 :  0
Learner Tien

Jul 1, 2026 - ATP Wimbledon Championships

Marton Fucsovics
3 :  1
Learner Tien

Jun 29, 2026 - ATP Wimbledon Championships

Dalibor Svrcina
1 :  3
Learner Tien

Jun 17, 2026 - ATP Halle Open

Learner Tien
1 :  2
Felix Auger Aliassime

Jun 15, 2026 - ATP Halle Open

Max Schoenhaus
0 :  2
Learner Tien
Tommy Paul Latest matches
L W W L L W
Victories

3/6 (50%)

Defeats

3/6 (50%)

Aug 5, 2026 - ATP National Bank Open

Valentin Royer
0 :  2
Tommy Paul

Jul 28, 2026 - ATP Washington Citi Open

Kamil Majchrzak
2 :  0
Tommy Paul

Jul 3, 2026 - ATP Wimbledon Championships

Hubert Hurkacz
3 :  1
Tommy Paul

Jul 1, 2026 - ATP Wimbledon Championships

Soonwoo Kwon
0 :  3
Tommy Paul

Jun 29, 2026 - ATP Wimbledon Championships

Alexandre Muller
0 :  3
Tommy Paul

Jun 21, 2026 - ATP London - Queen's

Francisco Cerundolo
2 :  1
Tommy Paul

Learner Tien against Tommy Paul : Head to Head (H2H)

Learner Tien

0 %

Tommy Paul

100 %

Feb 21, 2026 - ATP Delray Beach Open

Tommy Paul
2 :  1
Learner Tien
Learner Tien vs Tommy Paul Picks

Learner Tien - Tommy Paul Key Points

  1. Learner Tien is 11-6 on the hard court in 2026.
  2. Learner Tien is 10-8 vs. top-50 players in 2026.
  3. Tommy Paul is 2-4 in third-round matches in 2026.
  4. Tommy Paul is 4-3 vs. top-20 players in 2026.
Up to $250 to bet on Learner Tien - Tommy Paul! 

Limited Offer. Currently at Caesars Sportsbook

Our Learner Tien vs Tommy Paul Prediction

Key Stats: Learner Tien is 7-2 whenever he reaches the third round. This year, he is 3-1 at this stage.

What to Expect: It’s going to be an entertaining second showdown between Tien and Paul. Both players bring their unique style of play to the court, but Tien’s cerebral approach and ability to create break chances (46 percent point conversion rate) make him so dangerous for anyone, including Paul. 

Learner definitely learned a lot from that loss to Paul in Delray months ago, and he will apply those adjustments in their second meeting on Friday.

Fearless Forecast: Learner Tien wins 6-3, 4-6, 7-5

Our betting prediction for Learner Tien vs. Tommy Paul: Learner Tien will win

Prediction:

 

Learner Tien will win

+140
$250 offered for betting!

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All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.