Kansas City Chiefs vs Denver Broncos Prediction & Picks - NFL

USA - NFL

Kansas City Chiefs
11/16/25 16:25
Denver Broncos

Prediction:

 

Denver Broncos +3.5

-105
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 by Matt Lowrimore in NFL Picks

Perhaps the best game on the Week 11 NFL Sunday slate will see the Denver Broncos take on the Kansas City Chiefs in an AFC West matchup. Let’s take a look at the match statistics and predictions for this game between the Broncos and the Chiefs.

Kansas City enters this game with a record of 5-4, having most recently lost to the Buffalo Bills in Week 9 by a score of 28-21. The Chiefs’ offense had a total of 305 yards, while its defense allowed 404 yards. Quarterback Patrick Mahomes threw 250 yards and one interception, while running back Kareem Hunt led the team in rushing with 49 yards and one touchdown.

As for Denver, they enter this game with a record of 8-2, having most recently beaten the Las Vegas Raiders by a score of 10-7 in Week 10. The Broncos’ offense had a total of 220 yards, while its defense allowed 188 yards. Quarterback Bo Nix threw for 150 yards, one touchdown, and two interceptions, while running back J.K. Dobbins led the team in rushing with 77 yards.

Kansas City Chiefs vs Denver Broncos Form

Table

Teams % P W D L
3
Denver Broncos
Denver Broncos
0.8 10 8 0 2
16
Kansas City Chiefs
Kansas City Chiefs
0.556 9 5 0 4

Kansas City Chiefs and Denver Broncos Latest Matches

Kansas City Chiefs
Kansas City Chiefs Latest matches
W L W W W L
Victories

4/6 (67%)

Draw

0/6 (0%)

Defeats

2/6 (33%)

Nov 2, 2025 - NFL

Kansas City Chiefs
21 :  28
Buffalo Bills

Oct 27, 2025 - NFL

Washington Commanders
7 :  28
Kansas City Chiefs

Oct 19, 2025 - NFL

Las Vegas Raiders
0 :  31
Kansas City Chiefs

Oct 12, 2025 - NFL

Detroit Lions
17 :  30
Kansas City Chiefs

Oct 6, 2025 - NFL

Kansas City Chiefs
28 :  31
Jacksonville Jaguars

Sep 28, 2025 - NFL

Baltimore Ravens
20 :  37
Kansas City Chiefs
W L W W W W
Victories

5/6 (83%)

Draw

0/6 (0%)

Defeats

1/6 (17%)

Oct 27, 2025 - NFL

Washington Commanders
7 :  28
Kansas City Chiefs

Oct 19, 2025 - NFL

Las Vegas Raiders
0 :  31
Kansas City Chiefs

Oct 12, 2025 - NFL

Detroit Lions
17 :  30
Kansas City Chiefs

Sep 28, 2025 - NFL

Baltimore Ravens
20 :  37
Kansas City Chiefs

Sep 14, 2025 - NFL

Philadelphia Eagles
20 :  17
Kansas City Chiefs

Jan 26, 2025 - NFL

Buffalo Bills
29 :  32
Kansas City Chiefs
L L L W L L
Victories

1/6 (17%)

Draw

0/6 (0%)

Defeats

5/6 (83%)

Nov 2, 2025 - NFL

Kansas City Chiefs
21 :  28
Buffalo Bills

Oct 6, 2025 - NFL

Kansas City Chiefs
28 :  31
Jacksonville Jaguars

Sep 21, 2025 - NFL

Kansas City Chiefs
22 :  9
New York Giants

Sep 5, 2025 - NFL

Kansas City Chiefs
21 :  27
Los Angeles Chargers

Feb 9, 2025 - NFL

Kansas City Chiefs
22 :  40
Philadelphia Eagles

Jan 5, 2025 - NFL

Kansas City Chiefs
0 :  38
Denver Broncos
Denver Broncos
Denver Broncos Latest matches
W W W W W W
Victories

6/6 (100%)

Draw

0/6 (0%)

Defeats

0/6 (0%)

Nov 6, 2025 - NFL

Las Vegas Raiders
7 :  10
Denver Broncos

Nov 2, 2025 - NFL

Denver Broncos
18 :  15
Houston Texans

Oct 26, 2025 - NFL

Dallas Cowboys
24 :  44
Denver Broncos

Oct 19, 2025 - NFL

New York Giants
32 :  33
Denver Broncos

Oct 12, 2025 - NFL

Denver Broncos
13 :  11
New York Jets

Oct 5, 2025 - NFL

Denver Broncos
21 :  17
Philadelphia Eagles
W W W W W W
Victories

6/6 (100%)

Draw

0/6 (0%)

Defeats

0/6 (0%)

Nov 6, 2025 - NFL

Las Vegas Raiders
7 :  10
Denver Broncos

Oct 26, 2025 - NFL

Dallas Cowboys
24 :  44
Denver Broncos

Oct 19, 2025 - NFL

New York Giants
32 :  33
Denver Broncos

Sep 29, 2025 - NFL

Cincinnati Bengals
3 :  28
Denver Broncos

Sep 7, 2025 - NFL

Tennessee Titans
12 :  20
Denver Broncos

Jan 5, 2025 - NFL

Kansas City Chiefs
0 :  38
Denver Broncos
L L L W W W
Victories

3/6 (50%)

Draw

0/6 (0%)

Defeats

3/6 (50%)

Nov 2, 2025 - NFL

Denver Broncos
18 :  15
Houston Texans

Oct 12, 2025 - NFL

Denver Broncos
13 :  11
New York Jets

Oct 5, 2025 - NFL

Denver Broncos
21 :  17
Philadelphia Eagles

Sep 21, 2025 - NFL

Denver Broncos
20 :  23
Los Angeles Chargers

Sep 14, 2025 - NFL

Denver Broncos
28 :  29
Indianapolis Colts

Jan 12, 2025 - NFL

Denver Broncos
7 :  31
Buffalo Bills

Kansas City Chiefs against Denver Broncos : Head to Head (H2H)

Kansas City Chiefs

67 %

Draw

0 %

Denver Broncos

33 %

Jan 5, 2025 - NFL

Kansas City Chiefs
0 :  38
Denver Broncos

Nov 10, 2024 - NFL

Denver Broncos
14 :  16
Kansas City Chiefs

Oct 29, 2023 - NFL

Kansas City Chiefs
9 :  24
Denver Broncos

Oct 12, 2023 - NFL

Denver Broncos
8 :  19
Kansas City Chiefs

Dec 11, 2022 - NFL

Kansas City Chiefs
34 :  28
Denver Broncos

Oct 1, 2018 - NFL

Kansas City Chiefs
27 :  23
Denver Broncos

Kansas City Chiefs - Denver Broncos: Form Analysis

The Chiefs had recently been riding a three-game winning streak, but ran into a buzzsaw in Buffalo in Week 9, losing by a touchdown. The good news is that Kansas City had a bye in Week 10 and will be rested when they try to inch closer to the division-leading Broncos.

“The Kansas City Chiefs are 1-3 straight up on the road this season.”

While Denver is riding a seven-game win streak, they have been a little inconsistent. Especially, their offense as they only scored 10 points against the Las Vegas Raiders in Week 10. That said, their defense has been relentless and has been a key factor for the Broncos during their win streak.

Kansas City Chiefs & Denver Broncos Squad Analysis

The Chiefs have plenty of standout players besides Patrick Mahomes, one of which includes Rashee Rice. He has played just three games this season and has four total touchdowns. Aside from Rice, Travis Kelce and Tyquan Thornton each have three rundowns, while Hollywood Brown has four touchdowns. 

“Kansas City’s Patrick Mahomes has thrown for three touchdowns and two interceptions on the road.”

When it comes to Denver, Bo Nix has to be considered the standout player. Nix has thrown for 2,126 yards this season and has 18 passing touchdowns with eight interceptions.

Kansas City Chiefs - Denver Broncos Key Points

  1. Kansas City is averaging 26.1 points per game this season
  2. Kansas City is allowing 17.7 points per game this season
  3. Denver is averaging 23.5 points per game this season
  4. Denver is allowing 17.3 points per game this season

Our Kansas City Chiefs vs Denver Broncos Prediction

There is no real surprise that Kansas City is the short favorite in this crucial divisional game; however, Denver could be worth a look, given how they have played overall this season.

Admittedly, the Broncos looked poor in their most recent game against the Raiders. That being said, Denver continues to find ways to win.

Their defense has been the anchor this season, and could have success limiting a Chiefs’ offense that has had its fair share of struggles. The Chiefs have won just once on the road this season, and that was against a below-average New York Giants team. For that reason, our Denver Broncos vs Kansas City Chiefs prediction is: Denver Broncos +3.5.

Prediction:

 

Denver Broncos +3.5

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Kansas City Chiefs vs Denver Broncos - Other Interesting Picks

Troy Franklin Anytime Touchdown

Odds +190

Our second pick for this game will target Troy Franklin, from the Denver Broncos, to score an anytime touchdown. Franklin is second on the Broncos in receiving yards with 425, but is first on the team with five receiving touchdowns.

Further, Franklin has scored four times over the last four games, including the only touchdown for Denver in the most recent game against the Raiders.

Franklin has started to emerge as one of Nix’s favorite targets; therefore, backing Franklin to score is our play.

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All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.

Kansas City Chiefs vs Denver Broncos Picks