Jamaica vs Mexico Prediction & Picks - CONCACAF Nations League

International - CONCACAF Nations League

Jamaica
11/14/26 20:00
Mexico

Prediction:

 

Under 2.5 Goals

−105
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 by Bradley Gibbs | in Soccer Picks

We've reached the quarter finals of the CONCACAF Nations League. One of the games due to take place sees the Jamaicans and the Mexicans do battle at Independence Park in Kingston, where the hosts will be hoping to build an advantage ahead of the second leg on Mexican shores. Now is definitely the time to be taking on the visitors, who will arrive in the Jamaican capital having failed to score in each of their last two games, failing to win any of their last five. 

Those looking to bet on this game should seriously consider opting for a lack of goals, especially all the time odds of -105 are on offer. The early market appears to be overestimating the chance of a high-scoring game. After all, the hosts have not scored or conceded too many goals in recent games, while the Mexicans have also struggled to be anywhere near their best offensively in recent times. 

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Jamaica vs Mexico Form

Jamaica and Mexico Latest Matches

Jamaica
Jamaica Latest matches
L D W L W D
Victories

2/6 (33%)

Draw

2/6 (33%)

Defeats

2/6 (33%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.5 Total goals
50% BTTS
1.17 Goals scored
1.33 Goals conceded
33% Over 2.5
67% Under 2.5

Oct 5, 2026 - CONCACAF Nations League

Honduras
1 :  1
Jamaica

Oct 2, 2026 - CONCACAF Nations League

El Salvador
0 :  2
Jamaica

Sep 28, 2026 - CONCACAF Nations League

Jamaica
0 :  1
Honduras

Sep 25, 2026 - CONCACAF Nations League

Jamaica
3 :  2
Guatemala

Jun 6, 2026 - International Friendlies

Jamaica
1 :  1
South Africa

May 30, 2026 - International Friendlies

Nigeria
3 :  0
Jamaica
W D W D W L
Victories

3/6 (50%)

Draw

2/6 (33%)

Defeats

1/6 (17%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.33 Total goals
33% BTTS
1.67 Goals scored
0.67 Goals conceded
33% Over 2.5
67% Under 2.5

Sep 28, 2026 - CONCACAF Nations League

Jamaica
0 :  1
Honduras

Sep 25, 2026 - CONCACAF Nations League

Jamaica
3 :  2
Guatemala

Jun 6, 2026 - International Friendlies

Jamaica
1 :  1
South Africa

May 27, 2026 - International Friendlies

Jamaica
2 :  0
India

Nov 18, 2025 - World Cup

Jamaica
0 :  0
Curacao

Oct 14, 2025 - World Cup

Jamaica
4 :  0
Bermuda
W W L L W D
Victories

3/6 (50%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Defeats

2/6 (33%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

1.67 Total goals
17% BTTS
0.83 Goals scored
0.83 Goals conceded
17% Over 2.5
83% Under 2.5

Oct 5, 2026 - CONCACAF Nations League

Honduras
1 :  1
Jamaica

Oct 2, 2026 - CONCACAF Nations League

El Salvador
0 :  2
Jamaica

May 30, 2026 - International Friendlies

Nigeria
3 :  0
Jamaica

Mar 31, 2026 - World Cup

DR Congo
1 :  0
Jamaica

Mar 26, 2026 - World Cup

New Caledonia
0 :  1
Jamaica

Jan 18, 2026 - International Friendlies

Grenada
0 :  1
Jamaica
Mexico
Mexico Latest matches
W L D D L L
Victories

1/6 (17%)

Draw

2/6 (33%)

Defeats

3/6 (50%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.67 Total goals
50% BTTS
1 Goals scored
1.67 Goals conceded
33% Over 2.5
67% Under 2.5

Oct 6, 2026 - International Friendlies

Mexico
0 :  2
Chile

Oct 3, 2026 - International Friendlies

USA
3 :  0
Mexico

Sep 29, 2026 - International Friendlies

Mexico
1 :  1
Peru

Sep 26, 2026 - International Friendlies

Mexico
1 :  1
Colombia

Jul 5, 2026 - World Cup

Mexico
2 :  3
England

Jun 30, 2026 - World Cup

Mexico
2 :  0
Ecuador
W W L D D L
Victories

2/6 (33%)

Draw

2/6 (33%)

Defeats

2/6 (33%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.33 Total goals
50% BTTS
1.17 Goals scored
1.17 Goals conceded
17% Over 2.5
83% Under 2.5

Oct 6, 2026 - International Friendlies

Mexico
0 :  2
Chile

Sep 29, 2026 - International Friendlies

Mexico
1 :  1
Peru

Sep 26, 2026 - International Friendlies

Mexico
1 :  1
Colombia

Jul 5, 2026 - World Cup

Mexico
2 :  3
England

Jun 30, 2026 - World Cup

Mexico
2 :  0
Ecuador

Jun 18, 2026 - World Cup

Mexico
1 :  0
South Korea
W W W W W L
Victories

5/6 (83%)

Draw

0/6 (0%)

Defeats

1/6 (17%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.17 Total goals
17% BTTS
1.5 Goals scored
0.67 Goals conceded
50% Over 2.5
50% Under 2.5

Oct 3, 2026 - International Friendlies

USA
3 :  0
Mexico

Jun 24, 2026 - World Cup

Czechia
0 :  3
Mexico

Jan 25, 2026 - International Friendlies

Bolivia
0 :  1
Mexico

Jan 22, 2026 - International Friendlies

Panama
0 :  1
Mexico

Jul 6, 2025 - CONCACAF Gold Cup

USA
1 :  2
Mexico

Jun 18, 2025 - CONCACAF Gold Cup

Suriname
0 :  2
Mexico

Jamaica against Mexico : Head to Head (H2H)

Jamaica

0 %

Draw

40 %

Mexico

60 %

Average stats (last H2H results)

2.6
Total goals
60%
BTTS
0.8
Goals scored
1.8
Goals conceded
60%
Over 2.5
40%
Under 2.5

Jun 22, 2024 - Copa America

Mexico
1 :  0
Jamaica

Jul 12, 2023 - CONCACAF Gold Cup

Jamaica
0 :  3
Mexico

Mar 26, 2023 - CONCACAF Nations League

Mexico
2 :  2
Jamaica

Jun 14, 2022 - CONCACAF Nations League

Jamaica
1 :  1
Mexico

Jan 27, 2022 - World Cup

Jamaica
1 :  2
Mexico
Jamaica vs Mexico Picks

Jamaica - Mexico Key Points

  1. Each of Jamaica's last three games has contained less than three goals.
  2. Since the World Cup ended, more than two goals have been scored in only one of Mexico's four games.
  3. The Mexicans come into this fixture having failed to score in each of their last two games.
  4. When the pair last met, back in 2024, just one goal was scored.
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Our Jamaica vs Mexico Prediction

Since the World Cup ended, we've seen some very muted offensive efforts from El Tri. Those due to visit the Jamaican capital for this first leg have really struggled in the final third, scoring only two goals in four games, and knowing that they've got the home leg to come, the visitors probably won't be looking to go too crazy at Independence Park. This leaves us to conclude that a relative lack of goals is a little more likely than the early odds would have us believe. 

For the hosts, there's also been a clear lack of goals in recent times, and as they'll likely be focused on keeping things tight, especially early on, those in attendance should probably not be too confident of observing a high-scoring classic. 

Our Jamaica vs Mexico Pick: Under 2.5 Goals.

Prediction:

 

Under 2.5 Goals

−105
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All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.