Jacksonville Jaguars vs Houston Texans Prediction & Picks - NFL

USA - NFL

Jacksonville Jaguars
11/9/25 13:00
Houston Texans

Prediction:

 

UNDER 37.5

-110
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 by Travis Pulver in NFL Picks

The Texans will try to take a step closer to .500 when they host the Jacksonville Jaguars at  NRG Stadium in Houston, TX.  Kickoff for this AFC South battle is scheduled for 1 p.m. EST. Fans can follow the action once the game starts on CBS.

It has been a rough year for the Texans, who enter the game with a 3-5 record. The defense has been stellar; one of the best in the NFL. But after making a poor offensive line worse by trading away Laremy Tunsil, run lanes have been hard to come by, and C.J. Stroud spends most of the game running for his life. But after going down with a concussion last week, the Texans will be forced to give Davis Mills the start. Mills was the starter for most of two seasons before losing the job to C.J. Stroud. His play was not encouraging in the second half last week as the offense gained just 87 yards. As for Jacksonville, the Jags are not too far behind the 7-2 Colts at 5-3. They are coming off a win over the Raiders in Las Vegas last week, a 30-29 nail-biter, but had lost their previous two.

Jacksonville Jaguars vs Houston Texans Form

Table

Teams % P W D L
15
Jacksonville Jaguars
Jacksonville Jaguars
0.556 9 5 0 4
19
Houston Texans
Houston Texans
0.444 9 4 0 5

Jacksonville Jaguars and Houston Texans Latest Matches

Jacksonville Jaguars
Jacksonville Jaguars Latest matches
W W W L L W
Victories

4/6 (67%)

Draw

0/6 (0%)

Defeats

2/6 (33%)

Nov 2, 2025 - NFL

Jacksonville Jaguars
30 :  29
Las Vegas Raiders

Oct 19, 2025 - NFL

Los Angeles Rams
35 :  7
Jacksonville Jaguars

Oct 12, 2025 - NFL

Seattle Seahawks
20 :  12
Jacksonville Jaguars

Oct 6, 2025 - NFL

Kansas City Chiefs
28 :  31
Jacksonville Jaguars

Sep 28, 2025 - NFL

Jacksonville Jaguars
26 :  21
San Francisco 49ers

Sep 21, 2025 - NFL

Houston Texans
10 :  17
Jacksonville Jaguars
W W W W L L
Victories

4/6 (67%)

Draw

0/6 (0%)

Defeats

2/6 (33%)

Oct 19, 2025 - NFL

Los Angeles Rams
35 :  7
Jacksonville Jaguars

Oct 12, 2025 - NFL

Seattle Seahawks
20 :  12
Jacksonville Jaguars

Oct 6, 2025 - NFL

Kansas City Chiefs
28 :  31
Jacksonville Jaguars

Sep 21, 2025 - NFL

Houston Texans
10 :  17
Jacksonville Jaguars

Sep 7, 2025 - NFL

Carolina Panthers
10 :  26
Jacksonville Jaguars

Dec 29, 2024 - NFL

Tennessee Titans
13 :  20
Jacksonville Jaguars
W L L L W W
Victories

3/6 (50%)

Draw

0/6 (0%)

Defeats

3/6 (50%)

Nov 2, 2025 - NFL

Jacksonville Jaguars
30 :  29
Las Vegas Raiders

Sep 28, 2025 - NFL

Jacksonville Jaguars
26 :  21
San Francisco 49ers

Sep 14, 2025 - NFL

Jacksonville Jaguars
27 :  31
Cincinnati Bengals

Jan 5, 2025 - NFL

Jacksonville Jaguars
23 :  26
Indianapolis Colts

Dec 22, 2024 - NFL

Jacksonville Jaguars
14 :  19
Las Vegas Raiders

Dec 8, 2024 - NFL

Jacksonville Jaguars
10 :  6
Tennessee Titans
Houston Texans
Houston Texans Latest matches
L W W L W L
Victories

3/6 (50%)

Draw

0/6 (0%)

Defeats

3/6 (50%)

Nov 2, 2025 - NFL

Denver Broncos
18 :  15
Houston Texans

Oct 26, 2025 - NFL

San Francisco 49ers
15 :  26
Houston Texans

Oct 20, 2025 - NFL

Houston Texans
19 :  27
Seattle Seahawks

Oct 5, 2025 - NFL

Houston Texans
44 :  10
Baltimore Ravens

Sep 28, 2025 - NFL

Tennessee Titans
0 :  26
Houston Texans

Sep 21, 2025 - NFL

Houston Texans
10 :  17
Jacksonville Jaguars
L W L W W L
Victories

3/6 (50%)

Draw

0/6 (0%)

Defeats

3/6 (50%)

Nov 2, 2025 - NFL

Denver Broncos
18 :  15
Houston Texans

Oct 26, 2025 - NFL

San Francisco 49ers
15 :  26
Houston Texans

Sep 28, 2025 - NFL

Tennessee Titans
0 :  26
Houston Texans

Sep 15, 2025 - NFL

Tampa Bay Buccaneers
20 :  19
Houston Texans

Jan 11, 2025 - NFL

Los Angeles Chargers
12 :  32
Houston Texans

Dec 25, 2024 - NFL

Baltimore Ravens
31 :  2
Houston Texans
W L L L W L
Victories

2/6 (33%)

Draw

0/6 (0%)

Defeats

4/6 (67%)

Oct 20, 2025 - NFL

Houston Texans
19 :  27
Seattle Seahawks

Oct 5, 2025 - NFL

Houston Texans
44 :  10
Baltimore Ravens

Sep 21, 2025 - NFL

Houston Texans
10 :  17
Jacksonville Jaguars

Sep 7, 2025 - NFL

Houston Texans
9 :  14
Los Angeles Rams

Jan 18, 2025 - NFL

Houston Texans
14 :  23
Kansas City Chiefs

Jan 5, 2025 - NFL

Houston Texans
23 :  14
Tennessee Titans

Jacksonville Jaguars against Houston Texans : Head to Head (H2H)

Jacksonville Jaguars

33 %

Draw

0 %

Houston Texans

67 %

Sep 21, 2025 - NFL

Houston Texans
10 :  17
Jacksonville Jaguars

Dec 1, 2024 - NFL

Houston Texans
23 :  20
Jacksonville Jaguars

Sep 29, 2024 - NFL

Jacksonville Jaguars
20 :  24
Houston Texans

Nov 26, 2023 - NFL

Jacksonville Jaguars
24 :  21
Houston Texans

Dec 19, 2021 - NFL

Houston Texans
30 :  16
Jacksonville Jaguars

Sep 15, 2019 - NFL

Jacksonville Jaguars
12 :  13
Houston Texans

Jacksonville Jaguars - Houston Texans Key Points

  1. Houston leads the all-time series vs. Jacksonville, 31-16.
  2. Jacksonville beat Houston earlier in the season, 17-10, but hasn't won in Houston since the 2023 season.
  3. Davis Mills got his first win as a starting quarterback in the NFL vs. the Jaguars in Week 15 of the 2021 season vs. Trevor Lawrence.
  4. Betting Public: 68% of TOTAL tickets and 66% of the handle are on the OVER.

Our Jacksonville Jaguars vs Houston Texans Prediction

With a total this low for an NFL game, it makes perfect sense to bet the over. Houston is averaging 21 ppg and Jacksonville 22. However, the Texans just scored 10 points back in Week 3 against the Jags, and that was with Stroud at quarterback. With Mills, the Texans may need luck just to get on the board. The Houston defense limited the Jags back in Week 3; they’ll do the same in this game.

Our Houston vs. Jacksonville Pick: UNDER 37.5

Prediction:

 

UNDER 37.5

-110
$250 offered for betting!

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Jacksonville Jaguars vs Houston Texans Picks