Greece vs Italy Prediction & Picks - EuroBasket

Europe - EuroBasket

Greece
8/28/25 14:30
Italy

Prediction:

 

Greece (-5.5) cover the spread

-110
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 by Paul Tamayo | in EuroBasket Picks

Greece takes on Italy on Friday, August 29, at the Spyros Kyprianou Arena in Cyprus. 

Italy lost their last two preparation games but they still finished their preparations with an impressive 4-2 record. They did lose to Greece in one of those games, but the real match starts on Friday.

After all, this is a formidable Italian roster. Sweet-shooting forward Simone Fontecchio is ready for a starring role. He had a bit of a down year in the NBA last season, but the 29-year-old sharpshooter is tasked to lead the Italians.

Veteran forward Danilo Gallinari is back for another tour of duty, along with former NBA big man Nicolo Melli. 

Still, they'll be hard pressed to have a perfect game against the Greek. Greece won four of their seven preparation games heading into EuroBasket. And of course, they have the Greek Freak in their camp.

Giannis Antetokounmpo returns with guns ablaze and a hunger to give Greece its first EuroBasket medal since 2009. He is coming off another 30-point average season with the Milwaukee Bucks, and his mid-range jumper is better than ever.

Other Greek players with NBA experience include his brothers, Kostas and Thanasis Antetokounmpo, Kostas Papanikolaou, and Tyler Dorsey.

Up to $350 to bet on Greece - Italy! 

Limited Offer. Currently at FanDuel

Greece vs Italy Form

Table

Teams % P W L Series
1 Greece
9 5 4 1 1
2 Italy
9 5 4 1 4

Greece and Italy Latest Matches

Greece
Greece Latest matches
L L W W W L
Victories

3/6 (50%)

Defeats

3/6 (50%)

Aug 24, 2025 - International Friendly Games

Greece
77 :  92
France

Aug 22, 2025 - International Friendly Games

Greece
76 :  74
Italy

Aug 20, 2025 - International Friendly Games

Greece
104 :  86
Latvia

Aug 14, 2025 - International Friendly Games

Greece
69 :  61
Montenegro

Aug 10, 2025 - International Friendly Games

Greece
58 :  75
Israel

Aug 9, 2025 - International Friendly Games

Greece
66 :  76
Serbia
L L W W W L
Victories

3/6 (50%)

Defeats

3/6 (50%)

Aug 24, 2025 - International Friendly Games

Greece
77 :  92
France

Aug 22, 2025 - International Friendly Games

Greece
76 :  74
Italy

Aug 20, 2025 - International Friendly Games

Greece
104 :  86
Latvia

Aug 14, 2025 - International Friendly Games

Greece
69 :  61
Montenegro

Aug 10, 2025 - International Friendly Games

Greece
58 :  75
Israel

Aug 9, 2025 - International Friendly Games

Greece
66 :  76
Serbia
L W L L W L
Victories

2/6 (33%)

Defeats

4/6 (67%)

Aug 6, 2024 - Men's Olympic Tournament

Germany
76 :  63
Greece

Aug 2, 2024 - Men's Olympic Tournament

Australia
71 :  77
Greece

Jul 30, 2024 - Men's Olympic Tournament

Spain
84 :  77
Greece

Sep 1, 2023 - Basketball World Cup

Lithuania
92 :  67
Greece

Aug 26, 2023 - Basketball World Cup

Jordan
71 :  92
Greece

Sep 13, 2022 - EuroBasket

Germany
107 :  96
Greece
Italy
Italy Latest matches
W W W W L L
Victories

4/6 (67%)

Defeats

2/6 (33%)

Aug 22, 2025 - International Friendly Games

Greece
76 :  74
Italy

Aug 21, 2025 - International Friendly Games

Latvia
83 :  68
Italy

Aug 14, 2025 - International Friendly Games

Italy
84 :  72
Argentina

Aug 9, 2025 - International Friendly Games

Italy
91 :  75
Latvia

Aug 2, 2025 - International Friendly Games

Italy
87 :  61
Iceland

Feb 22, 2024 - European Championship, Qualification Group G

Italy
87 :  80
Turkiye
L L W W W W
Victories

4/6 (67%)

Defeats

2/6 (33%)

Aug 14, 2025 - International Friendly Games

Italy
84 :  72
Argentina

Aug 9, 2025 - International Friendly Games

Italy
91 :  75
Latvia

Aug 2, 2025 - International Friendly Games

Italy
87 :  61
Iceland

Feb 22, 2024 - European Championship, Qualification Group G

Italy
87 :  80
Turkiye

Sep 9, 2023 - Basketball World Cup

Italy
85 :  89
Slovenia

Sep 7, 2023 - Basketball World Cup

Italy
82 :  87
Latvia
L W W W L L
Victories

3/6 (50%)

Defeats

3/6 (50%)

Aug 22, 2025 - International Friendly Games

Greece
76 :  74
Italy

Aug 21, 2025 - International Friendly Games

Latvia
83 :  68
Italy

Sep 1, 2023 - Basketball World Cup

Serbia
76 :  78
Italy

Aug 29, 2023 - Basketball World Cup

Philippines
83 :  90
Italy

Aug 25, 2023 - Basketball World Cup

Angola
67 :  81
Italy

Sep 14, 2022 - EuroBasket

France
93 :  85
Italy

Greece against Italy : Head to Head (H2H)

Greece

100 %

Italy

0 %

Aug 22, 2025 - International Friendly Games

Greece
76 :  74
Italy

Sep 3, 2022 - EuroBasket

Greece
85 :  81
Italy

Players list

Greece
Greece

K. Sloukas

T. Dorsey

G. Antetokounmpo

D. Mitoglou

K. Papanikolaou

Italy
Italy

A. Pajola

M. Spagnolo

M. Diouf

N. Melli

S. Fontecchio

Substitutes

Greece
Greece

V. Toliopoulos

D. Katsivelis

G. Larentzakis

K. Antetokounmpo

P. Kalaitzakis

T. Antetokounmpo

A. Samodurov

Italy
Italy

M. Spissu

D. Thompson

N. Akele

G. Ricci

G. Procida

S. Niang

D. Gallinari

Greece - Italy Key Points

  1. Greece beat Italy in their preparation game.
  2. Greek players with NBA experience include Tyler Dorsey, Kostas Papanikolaou, Giannis, Kostas, and Thanasis Antetokounmpo.
  3. Italian players with NBA experience include Simone Fontecchio, Danilo Gallinari, and Nicolo Melli.
  4. Greece won four of their seven preparation games.
Up to $350 to bet on Greece - Italy! 

Limited Offer. Currently at FanDuel

Our Greece vs Italy Prediction

With Simone Fontecchio, Danilo Gallinari, and Nicolo Melli leading the way, Italy is pegged as a darkhorse in this year's EuroBasket. But they'll be going up against the Greek national team, a perennial contender in their first game.

Giannis Antetokounmpo is back for national duty, and he is hungrier than ever. His two brothers are also playing, along with ex-NBA players Kostas Papanikolaou and Tyler Dorsey. Our prediction for the Greece vs Italy match is: Greece (-5.5) cover the spread.

Prediction:

 

Greece (-5.5) cover the spread

-110
$350 offered for betting!

All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.

Greece vs Italy Picks