Inter Milan vs Atalanta Prediction & Picks - Serie A

Italy - Serie A

Inter Milan
3/14/26 10:00
Atalanta

Prediction:

 

Over 3.0 Goals

+115
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 by Mikaella McIntosh | in Serie A Picks

There’s no mercy for Atalanta this Saturday, their very taxing run of games continues as they face league-leaders Internazionale at the iconic San Siro. 

Not only did Atalanta suffer a beating last time out, in their midweek UCL game against Bayern for the Round-of-16 first-leg, conceding an agonizing six goals on home soil, but they have faced challenging opponents in all of their last eight on the bounce. 

Meeting a lesser ranking side here would have been appreciated by La Dea to give them an opportunity to breathe. As well as feeling bad about themselves, they will also have the intimidating UCL second leg on their minds, taking place just four days after this game. 

Inter have cherished this much-needed gap, especially as they’ve needed time to regroup following their out-of-character form in recent times, losing 1-0 last time out, and claiming just two wins in their last six games in three competitions. They’re aching for a win, facing two winless games, which is very unusual for I Nerazzurri. Atalanta should be worried once again.

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Inter Milan vs Atalanta Form

Table

Teams Pts P W D L GD
1 Inter Milan
87 38 27 6 5 +54
7 Atalanta
59 38 15 14 9 +15

Inter Milan and Atalanta Latest Matches

Inter Milan
Inter Milan Latest matches
L W L W D L
Victories

2/6 (33%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Defeats

3/6 (50%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2 Total goals
33% BTTS
1 Goals scored
1 Goals conceded
33% Over 2.5
67% Under 2.5

Mar 8, 2026 - Serie A

AC Milan
1 :  0
Inter Milan

Mar 3, 2026 - Coppa Italia

Como 1907
0 :  0
Inter Milan

Feb 28, 2026 - Serie A

Inter Milan
2 :  0
Genoa

Feb 24, 2026 - Champions League

Inter Milan
1 :  2
Bodoe/Glimt

Feb 21, 2026 - Serie A

Lecce
0 :  2
Inter Milan

Feb 18, 2026 - Champions League

Bodoe/Glimt
3 :  1
Inter Milan
L W W W L W
Victories

4/6 (67%)

Draw

0/6 (0%)

Defeats

2/6 (33%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

4.17 Total goals
83% BTTS
2.5 Goals scored
1.67 Goals conceded
83% Over 2.5
17% Under 2.5

Feb 28, 2026 - Serie A

Inter Milan
2 :  0
Genoa

Feb 24, 2026 - Champions League

Inter Milan
1 :  2
Bodoe/Glimt

Feb 14, 2026 - Serie A

Inter Milan
3 :  2
Juventus

Feb 4, 2026 - Coppa Italia

Inter Milan
2 :  1
Torino FC

Jan 23, 2026 - Serie A

Inter Milan
6 :  2
Pisa SC

Jan 20, 2026 - Champions League

Inter Milan
1 :  3
Arsenal
W W L W D L
Victories

3/6 (50%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Defeats

2/6 (33%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.33 Total goals
17% BTTS
1.67 Goals scored
0.67 Goals conceded
33% Over 2.5
67% Under 2.5

Mar 8, 2026 - Serie A

AC Milan
1 :  0
Inter Milan

Mar 3, 2026 - Coppa Italia

Como 1907
0 :  0
Inter Milan

Feb 21, 2026 - Serie A

Lecce
0 :  2
Inter Milan

Feb 18, 2026 - Champions League

Bodoe/Glimt
3 :  1
Inter Milan

Feb 8, 2026 - Serie A

Sassuolo
0 :  5
Inter Milan

Feb 1, 2026 - Serie A

Cremonese
0 :  2
Inter Milan
Atalanta
Atalanta Latest matches
W W L D D L
Victories

2/6 (33%)

Draw

2/6 (33%)

Defeats

2/6 (33%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

4.33 Total goals
100% BTTS
2 Goals scored
2.33 Goals conceded
100% Over 2.5
0% Under 2.5

Mar 10, 2026 - Champions League

Atalanta
1 :  6
Bayern Munich

Mar 7, 2026 - Serie A

Atalanta
2 :  2
Udinese

Mar 4, 2026 - Coppa Italia

Lazio
2 :  2
Atalanta

Mar 1, 2026 - Serie A

Sassuolo
2 :  1
Atalanta

Feb 25, 2026 - Champions League

Atalanta
4 :  1
Borussia Dortmund

Feb 22, 2026 - Serie A

Atalanta
2 :  1
Napoli
W W W W D L
Victories

4/6 (67%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Defeats

1/6 (17%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

4.17 Total goals
83% BTTS
2.33 Goals scored
1.83 Goals conceded
100% Over 2.5
0% Under 2.5

Mar 10, 2026 - Champions League

Atalanta
1 :  6
Bayern Munich

Mar 7, 2026 - Serie A

Atalanta
2 :  2
Udinese

Feb 25, 2026 - Champions League

Atalanta
4 :  1
Borussia Dortmund

Feb 22, 2026 - Serie A

Atalanta
2 :  1
Napoli

Feb 9, 2026 - Serie A

Atalanta
2 :  1
Cremonese

Feb 5, 2026 - Coppa Italia

Atalanta
3 :  0
Juventus
L D W L L D
Victories

1/6 (17%)

Draw

2/6 (33%)

Defeats

3/6 (50%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2 Total goals
33% BTTS
0.83 Goals scored
1.17 Goals conceded
33% Over 2.5
67% Under 2.5

Mar 4, 2026 - Coppa Italia

Lazio
2 :  2
Atalanta

Mar 1, 2026 - Serie A

Sassuolo
2 :  1
Atalanta

Feb 17, 2026 - Champions League

Borussia Dortmund
2 :  0
Atalanta

Feb 14, 2026 - Serie A

Lazio
0 :  2
Atalanta

Feb 1, 2026 - Serie A

Como 1907
0 :  0
Atalanta

Jan 28, 2026 - Champions League

Union Saint-Gilloise
1 :  0
Atalanta

Inter Milan against Atalanta : Head to Head (H2H)

Inter Milan

100 %

Draw

0 %

Atalanta

0 %

Average stats (last H2H results)

2.67
Total goals
16.67%
BTTS
2.5
Goals scored
0.17
Goals conceded
50%
Over 2.5
50%
Under 2.5

Dec 28, 2025 - Serie A

Atalanta
0 :  1
Inter Milan

Mar 16, 2025 - Serie A

Atalanta
0 :  2
Inter Milan

Jan 2, 2025 - Italian Super Cup

Inter Milan
2 :  0
Atalanta

Aug 30, 2024 - Serie A

Inter Milan
4 :  0
Atalanta

Feb 28, 2024 - Serie A

Inter Milan
4 :  0
Atalanta

Nov 4, 2023 - Serie A

Atalanta
1 :  2
Inter Milan

Inter Milan against Atalanta Lineups: Starting 11

Inter Milan

Formation : 3 - 5 - 2

1
Y. Sommer
31
Y. Bisseck
25
M. Akanji
30
C. Augusto
2
D. Dumfries
23
N. Barella
7
P. Zielinski
8
P. Sucic
32
F. Dimarco
9
M. Thuram
94
F. Esposito
9
G. Scamacca
59
N. Zalewski
10
L. Samardzic
47
L. Bernasconi
8
M. Pasalic
15
M. De Roon
77
D. Zappacosta
23
S. Kolasinac
19
B. Djimsiti
42
G. Scalvini
29
M. Carnesecchi

Formation : 3 - 4 - 2 - 1

Atalanta

Substitutes

Inter Milan
Inter Milan
Goalkeeper

R. Di Gennaro

Defender

A. Bastoni

S. de Vrij

M. Akanji 80'

F. Acerbi

M. Darmian

Midfielder

I. Kaczmarski

D. Frattesi

N. Barella 76'

A. Diouf

H. Mkhitaryan

P. Sucic 46'

Forward

L. Martinez

Luis Henrique

F. Dimarco 65'

M. Lavelli

A. Bonny

F. Esposito 65'

Atalanta
Atalanta
Goalkeeper

F. Rossi

M. Sportiello

Defender

I. Hien

S. Kolasinac 65'

O. Kossounou

R. Bellanova

M. Bakker

H. Ahanor

Midfielder

Y. Musah

E. Silva

L. Samardzic 52'

Forward

C. De Ketelaere

M. de Roon 76'

N. Krstovic

G. Scamacca 52'

K. Sulemana

N. Zalewski 65'

Missing players

Inter Milan
Inter Milan
Midfielder

H. Calhanoglu

Atalanta
Atalanta
Forward

G. Raspadori

Most goals and assists

CD Huachipato Inter Milan
CD Huachipato Atalanta
Top Goalscorer
Argentina L. Martinez (17 Goals)
Top Goalscorer
Italy G. Scamacca (10 Goals) Montenegro N. Krstovic (10 Goals)
Best assists
Italy F. Dimarco (17 Assists)
Best assists
Montenegro N. Krstovic (5 Assists)
Poland N. Zalewski (5 Assists)
Belgium C. De Ketelaere (5 Assists)

Inter Milan - Atalanta Key Points

  1. Inter have scored the most goals this season, averaging 2.71 goals per home game.
  2. Seven out of Inter’s last nine home games have contained at least three goals.
  3. Atalanta have conceded multiple goals in six out of their last eight games in all competitions.
  4. 71% of Internazionale’s home games consist of three or more goals.
  5. Inter have scored multiple goals in four out of their last five home matches.
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Our Inter Milan vs Atalanta Prediction

Due to their thrashing in the week, Atalanta won’t have much defensive confidence, though they did manage to find the net very late on, still creating a very acceptable xG of 1.68. On the flip side, Inter have failed to net in their last two matches, so both should be looking to score goals here.

The last time Inter welcomed a similar side, Juventus, it was a very open game with a total of five goals scored. Likewise, when hosting the top ten Serie A teams, five out of seven have recorded three plus goals hitting the back of the net. 

As mentioned above, Atalanta have encountered similar teams in their six most recent games, challenging like this next one, and all six have had high scorelines with goals at both ends. Looking at all of the factors, it’s hard to see that there won’t be lots of great chances in this game. 

Our Inter vs Atalanta Pick: Over 3.0 Goals.

Prediction:

 

Over 3.0 Goals

+115
$200 offered for betting!

All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.

Inter Milan vs Atalanta Picks