Hubert Hurkacz vs Alejandro Davidovich Fokina Prediction & Picks - ATP Chengdu Open

ATP - ATP Chengdu Open

ATP 46 Poland
Hubert Hurkacz
9/29/26 07:00
ATP 29 Spain
Alejandro Davidovich Fokina

Prediction:

 

Over 2.5 Sets

+125
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 by Bradley Gibbs | in Tennis Picks

We've reached the final of the ATP event in Chengdu, where Hubert Hurkacz and Alejandro Davidovich Fokina will battle it out for the big prize. The Spaniard is playing in a first final since June, when he defeated Ethan Quinn to win the ATP event in Mallorca. He's now searching for just a second title having previously lost in five finals. The Pole is playing in the final of an ATP event for the fourth time, but it's a first since 2023, when he won the Shanghai Masters. Can he be successful in China for a second time? 

In the betting, 'Over 2.5 Sets' is the best option at odds of +125. The pair have a clear and obvious history of playing out exciting matches that go beyond the minimum number of sets, and there's little to suggest that either player will win this easily, so expect a match that enters a third set. 

Hubert Hurkacz vs Alejandro Davidovich Fokina Form

Hubert Hurkacz and Alejandro Davidovich Fokina Latest Matches

Hubert Hurkacz Latest matches
W L W W W W
Victories

5/6 (83%)

Defeats

1/6 (17%)

Sep 28, 2026 - ATP Chengdu Open

Hubert Hurkacz
2 :  1
Denis Shapovalov

Sep 27, 2026 - ATP Chengdu Open

Lloyd Harris
0 :  2
Hubert Hurkacz

Sep 26, 2026 - ATP Chengdu Open

Martin Damm Jr
1 :  2
Hubert Hurkacz

Sep 24, 2026 - ATP Chengdu Open

Aleksandr Shevchenko
0 :  2
Hubert Hurkacz

Sep 2, 2026 - ATP US Open

Ben Shelton
3 :  1
Hubert Hurkacz

Aug 31, 2026 - ATP US Open

Damir Dzumhur
1 :  3
Hubert Hurkacz
Alejandro Davidovich Fokina Latest matches
L W L W W W
Victories

4/6 (67%)

Defeats

2/6 (33%)

Sep 28, 2026 - ATP Chengdu Open

Nikoloz Basilashvili
1 :  2
Alejandro Davidovich Fokina

Sep 27, 2026 - ATP Chengdu Open

Alexandre Muller
0 :  2
Alejandro Davidovich Fokina

Sep 26, 2026 - ATP Chengdu Open

Juan Manuel Cerundolo
0 :  2
Alejandro Davidovich Fokina

Jul 16, 2026 - ATP Umag Open

Alex Molcan
2 :  1
Alejandro Davidovich Fokina

Jul 15, 2026 - ATP Umag Open

Marco Trungelliti
0 :  2
Alejandro Davidovich Fokina

Jul 5, 2026 - ATP Wimbledon Championships

Felix Auger Aliassime
3 :  2
Alejandro Davidovich Fokina

Hubert Hurkacz against Alejandro Davidovich Fokina : Head to Head (H2H)

Hubert Hurkacz

33 %

Alejandro Davidovich Fokina

67 %

Dec 31, 2023 - United Cup

Hubert Hurkacz
1 :  2
Alejandro Davidovich Fokina

Jun 27, 2022 - ATP Wimbledon Championships

Alejandro Davidovich Fokina
3 :  2
Hubert Hurkacz

May 4, 2022 - ATP Mutua Madrid Open

Hubert Hurkacz
2 :  1
Alejandro Davidovich Fokina
Hubert Hurkacz vs Alejandro Davidovich Fokina Picks

Hubert Hurkacz - Alejandro Davidovich Fokina Key Points

  1. During the semis, both players were involved in three-set matches.
  2. When the pair last met (on a hard court), they shared three sets.
  3. Each of the last four matches between these two players has contained more than the minimum number of sets.
  4. Five of the six previous matches between these two players have contained more than the minimum number of sets.

Our Hubert Hurkacz vs Alejandro Davidovich Fokina Prediction

As the stats above clearly show, neither Hubert Hurkacz nor Alejandro Davidovich Fokina has a habit of winning against the other with ease. They both typically put up a fight, and with a decent prize on the line, neither player is expected to surrender easily on this occasion. 

The simple fact that five of the previous six matches between the two have contained more than the minimum number of sets is enough to conclude that odds of +125 for 'Over 2.5 Sets' are a little too generous to ignore. Given the history, odds of +100 would be fairer. 

Our Hubert Hurkacz vs Alejandro Davidovich Fokina Pick: Over 2.5 Sets.

Prediction:

 

Over 2.5 Sets

+125
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All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.