Houston Texans vs Kansas City Chiefs Prediction & Picks - NFL

USA - NFL

Houston Texans
12/7/25 20:20
Kansas City Chiefs

Prediction:

 

Texans (+3) to win

-103
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 by Simon Day in NFL Picks

The 6-6 Kansas City Chiefs host the 7-5 Houston Texans at Arrowhead on Sunday night, with both sides urgently needing a win to boost their playoff ambitions. 

The Chiefs' agonizing three point lose to Dallas last week dropped them to 6-6, leaving them in serious danger of missing the postseason for the first time since 2014. In all likelihood, KC will need to win four of their final five games, so with tough contests agsint the likes of the Chargers and Broncos coming up, victory on Sunday is essential for Andy Reid's side. 

The Texan's path to the playoffs is equally as complicated. They are currently in a three way tussle with the Colts and Jags for the AFC South title. A win on Sunday would move the Texans to eight wins, but like the Chiefs, they also have a tough end to the season, so a defeat at Arrowhead would severely dent their chances of making the postseason. 

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Houston Texans vs Kansas City Chiefs Form

Table

Teams % P W D L
15
Houston Texans
Houston Texans
0.583 12 7 0 5
19
Kansas City Chiefs
Kansas City Chiefs
0.5 12 6 0 6

Houston Texans and Kansas City Chiefs Latest Matches

Houston Texans
Houston Texans Latest matches
W L W W W W
Victories

5/6 (83%)

Draw

0/6 (0%)

Defeats

1/6 (17%)

Nov 30, 2025 - NFL

Houston Texans
20 :  16
Indianapolis Colts

Nov 20, 2025 - NFL

Buffalo Bills
19 :  23
Houston Texans

Nov 16, 2025 - NFL

Houston Texans
16 :  13
Tennessee Titans

Nov 9, 2025 - NFL

Jacksonville Jaguars
29 :  36
Houston Texans

Nov 2, 2025 - NFL

Denver Broncos
18 :  15
Houston Texans

Oct 26, 2025 - NFL

San Francisco 49ers
15 :  26
Houston Texans
L W W L W W
Victories

4/6 (67%)

Draw

0/6 (0%)

Defeats

2/6 (33%)

Nov 20, 2025 - NFL

Buffalo Bills
19 :  23
Houston Texans

Nov 9, 2025 - NFL

Jacksonville Jaguars
29 :  36
Houston Texans

Nov 2, 2025 - NFL

Denver Broncos
18 :  15
Houston Texans

Oct 26, 2025 - NFL

San Francisco 49ers
15 :  26
Houston Texans

Sep 28, 2025 - NFL

Tennessee Titans
0 :  26
Houston Texans

Sep 15, 2025 - NFL

Tampa Bay Buccaneers
20 :  19
Houston Texans
L L W L W W
Victories

3/6 (50%)

Draw

0/6 (0%)

Defeats

3/6 (50%)

Nov 30, 2025 - NFL

Houston Texans
20 :  16
Indianapolis Colts

Nov 16, 2025 - NFL

Houston Texans
16 :  13
Tennessee Titans

Oct 20, 2025 - NFL

Houston Texans
19 :  27
Seattle Seahawks

Oct 5, 2025 - NFL

Houston Texans
44 :  10
Baltimore Ravens

Sep 21, 2025 - NFL

Houston Texans
10 :  17
Jacksonville Jaguars

Sep 7, 2025 - NFL

Houston Texans
9 :  14
Los Angeles Rams
Kansas City Chiefs
Kansas City Chiefs Latest matches
W W L L W L
Victories

3/6 (50%)

Draw

0/6 (0%)

Defeats

3/6 (50%)

Nov 27, 2025 - NFL

Kansas City Chiefs
28 :  31
Dallas Cowboys

Nov 23, 2025 - NFL

Indianapolis Colts
20 :  23
Kansas City Chiefs

Nov 16, 2025 - NFL

Kansas City Chiefs
19 :  22
Denver Broncos

Nov 2, 2025 - NFL

Kansas City Chiefs
21 :  28
Buffalo Bills

Oct 27, 2025 - NFL

Washington Commanders
7 :  28
Kansas City Chiefs

Oct 19, 2025 - NFL

Las Vegas Raiders
0 :  31
Kansas City Chiefs
L W W W W W
Victories

5/6 (83%)

Draw

0/6 (0%)

Defeats

1/6 (17%)

Nov 23, 2025 - NFL

Indianapolis Colts
20 :  23
Kansas City Chiefs

Oct 27, 2025 - NFL

Washington Commanders
7 :  28
Kansas City Chiefs

Oct 19, 2025 - NFL

Las Vegas Raiders
0 :  31
Kansas City Chiefs

Oct 12, 2025 - NFL

Detroit Lions
17 :  30
Kansas City Chiefs

Sep 28, 2025 - NFL

Baltimore Ravens
20 :  37
Kansas City Chiefs

Sep 14, 2025 - NFL

Philadelphia Eagles
20 :  17
Kansas City Chiefs
L W L L L L
Victories

1/6 (17%)

Draw

0/6 (0%)

Defeats

5/6 (83%)

Nov 27, 2025 - NFL

Kansas City Chiefs
28 :  31
Dallas Cowboys

Nov 16, 2025 - NFL

Kansas City Chiefs
19 :  22
Denver Broncos

Nov 2, 2025 - NFL

Kansas City Chiefs
21 :  28
Buffalo Bills

Oct 6, 2025 - NFL

Kansas City Chiefs
28 :  31
Jacksonville Jaguars

Sep 21, 2025 - NFL

Kansas City Chiefs
22 :  9
New York Giants

Sep 5, 2025 - NFL

Kansas City Chiefs
21 :  27
Los Angeles Chargers

Houston Texans against Kansas City Chiefs : Head to Head (H2H)

Houston Texans

0 %

Draw

0 %

Kansas City Chiefs

100 %

Jan 18, 2025 - NFL

Houston Texans
14 :  23
Kansas City Chiefs

Dec 21, 2024 - NFL

Houston Texans
19 :  27
Kansas City Chiefs

Jan 12, 2020 - NFL

Houston Texans
31 :  51
Kansas City Chiefs

Houston Texans - Kansas City Chiefs Key Points

  1. The Chiefs have lost 3 of their last 4 games
  2. Houston are on a 4 game winning streak
  3. Houston have won 3 of their last 4 road games
  4. KC are 2-5 against teams with winning records this season
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Our Houston Texans vs Kansas City Chiefs Prediction

Houston are one of the NFL's most in-form teams at the moment, and we are backing them to make it five wins in a row this Sunday. 

The 2025 version of the Chiefs looks a pale imitation fo the franchise that has dominated the NFL for most of the last decade. So despite the fact that Patrick Mahomes is still playing at an elite level, we just don't think KC have the overall quality to mix with the surging Texans.

Our prediction for Kansas City Chiefs vs Houston Texans is: Texans (+3) to win. 

Prediction:

 

Texans (+3) to win

-103
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All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.

Houston Texans vs Kansas City Chiefs Picks