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by Erik Gibbs in NFL Picks
The Jacksonville Jaguars meet the Houston Texans in an early divisional matchup that could highlight contrasting trajectories. Jacksonville comes into the game at 1–1, having opened their campaign with a comfortable win before dropping a narrow, high-scoring battle against a tougher opponent. Their defense impressed in the opener, holding the opposing attack to minimal points, while their offense produced balance through both the passing and rushing games.
The second outing was more challenging, with their defense conceding more, but the Jaguars still moved the ball effectively and kept themselves competitive until the final drive. Their ability to adapt to different styles of play suggests promise. Houston, on the other hand, has had a tough beginning at 0–2. They lost their opener in a low-scoring contest that exposed offensive inefficiency, followed by a home defeat where they narrowly missed out despite holding a late lead.
The Texans' defense has worked hard, but the unit has often been forced into extended stretches on the field due to offensive stagnation. As a result, they find themselves chasing in the standings, desperate for a turnaround.
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Houston Texans vs Jacksonville Jaguars Form
Table
| Teams | % | P | W | D | L |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
17
|
0.5 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 |
|
31
|
0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 |
Houston Texans and Jacksonville Jaguars Latest Matches
2/6 (33%)
0/6 (0%)
4/6 (67%)
Sep 15, 2025 - NFL
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2/6 (33%)
0/6 (0%)
4/6 (67%)
Sep 15, 2025 - NFL
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Dec 25, 2024 - NFL
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3/6 (50%)
0/6 (0%)
3/6 (50%)
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2/6 (33%)
0/6 (0%)
4/6 (67%)
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Dec 29, 2024 - NFL
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2/6 (33%)
0/6 (0%)
4/6 (67%)
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1/6 (17%)
0/6 (0%)
5/6 (83%)
Sep 14, 2025 - NFL
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Houston Texans against Jacksonville Jaguars : Head to Head (H2H)
83 %
0 %
17 %
Dec 1, 2024 - NFL
Sep 29, 2024 - NFL
Nov 26, 2023 - NFL
Dec 19, 2021 - NFL
Sep 15, 2019 - NFL
Dec 30, 2018 - NFL
Houston Texans - Jacksonville Jaguars Key Points
- The Over is 1-7 in the Jaguars’ last 8 games at EverBank Stadium after a loss
- The Jaguars are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games vs. AFC South teams
- The Texans are 0-10 ATS in their last 10 games when playing with a rest disadvantage
- The home team is 5-0 in the Jaguars’ last five games
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Our Houston Texans vs Jacksonville Jaguars Prediction
Jacksonville looks more settled. Their quarterback has already thrown multiple touchdowns in each of the first two games, showing composure in big moments even if turnovers remain an occasional issue. His ability to keep drives alive has been complemented by their featured running back, who has accumulated over 200 yards at an excellent per-carry average. This ground threat gives Jacksonville valuable balance and makes their passing attack harder to predict.
Houston's rookie quarterback has displayed glimpses of talent, moving the ball between the 20s with solid yardage totals, but his ability to finish drives has been limited. He has one touchdown and one interception to date, and the lack of an established rushing attack has left him carrying too much of the offensive burden. The Texans' wideouts have yet to make a significant impact, leaving their rookie signal caller with fewer reliable targets.
Defensively, Houston struggles with giving up big plays, while Jacksonville's top weapons are capable of producing them. On paper, the Jaguars' established balance and more productive individuals give them a clear edge. Our prediction for Jacksonville Jaguars vs. Houston Texans: Under 43.5 points.
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All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
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