Spain vs Greece Prediction & Picks - EuroBasket

Europe - EuroBasket

Spain
9/4/25 14:30
Greece

Prediction:

 

Spain (+7.5) cover the spread

-104
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 by Paul Tamayo | in EuroBasket Picks

Spain takes on Greece on Friday, September 5, at the Spyros Kyprianou Arena in Cyprus. 

Spain owns the FIBA head-to-head advantage over Greece, 13-4. Most recently, the Spaniards carved out an 84-77 win over the Greeks during the 2024 Olympics. 

Moreover, Spain has added motivation in Friday's game, as a win will see them through to the knockout stages in Riga. With a 2-2 record, they're currently in a three-way tie with Bosnia and Herzegovina and Georgia. 

Spain is coming off a 67-63 loss to Italy. They established an early lead, even leading the game by six points at halftime. But their offense sputtered in the second half, and they let the Italians escape. Santi Aldama produced a double-double performance of 19 points and 10 rebounds, while Segio De Larrea added 15 markers. 

Meanwhile, Greece has booked tickets to the Round of 16, although it's still unsure who their opponent will be. They're coming off an 80-77 loss to Bosnia and Herzegovina, a game that Giannis Antetokounmpo sat out.

Kostas Sloukas led the Greeks' charge with 15 points and 8 assists, while Tyler Dorsey fired four treys on his way to 14 markers. The other double-digit scorer for Greece is Kostas Papanikolaou, who put up 11 points on 50% shooting.

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Spain vs Greece Form

Table

Teams % P W L Series
1 Greece
9 5 4 1 1
5 Spain
7 5 2 3

Spain and Greece Latest Matches

Spain
Spain Latest matches
W L L W W L
Victories

3/6 (50%)

Defeats

3/6 (50%)

Sep 2, 2025 - EuroBasket

Italy
67 :  63
Spain

Aug 31, 2025 - EuroBasket

Spain
91 :  47
Cyprus

Aug 30, 2025 - EuroBasket

Spain
88 :  67
Bosnia & Herzegovina

Aug 28, 2025 - EuroBasket

Georgia
83 :  69
Spain

Aug 2, 2024 - Men's Olympic Tournament

Canada
88 :  85
Spain

Jul 30, 2024 - Men's Olympic Tournament

Spain
84 :  77
Greece
W L L W W W
Victories

4/6 (67%)

Defeats

2/6 (33%)

Aug 31, 2025 - EuroBasket

Spain
91 :  47
Cyprus

Aug 30, 2025 - EuroBasket

Spain
88 :  67
Bosnia & Herzegovina

Jul 30, 2024 - Men's Olympic Tournament

Spain
84 :  77
Greece

Sep 3, 2023 - Basketball World Cup

Spain
85 :  88
Canada

Sep 1, 2023 - Basketball World Cup

Spain
69 :  74
Latvia

Aug 26, 2023 - Basketball World Cup

Spain
94 :  64
Ivory Coast
W W L L L L
Victories

2/6 (33%)

Defeats

4/6 (67%)

Sep 2, 2025 - EuroBasket

Italy
67 :  63
Spain

Aug 28, 2025 - EuroBasket

Georgia
83 :  69
Spain

Aug 2, 2024 - Men's Olympic Tournament

Canada
88 :  85
Spain

Jul 27, 2024 - Men's Olympic Tournament

Australia
92 :  80
Spain

Aug 30, 2023 - Basketball World Cup

Iran
65 :  85
Spain

Aug 28, 2023 - Basketball World Cup

Brazil
78 :  96
Spain
Greece
Greece Latest matches
W L W W W L
Victories

4/6 (67%)

Defeats

2/6 (33%)

Sep 2, 2025 - EuroBasket

Greece
77 :  80
Bosnia & Herzegovina

Aug 31, 2025 - EuroBasket

Georgia
53 :  94
Greece

Aug 30, 2025 - EuroBasket

Cyprus
69 :  96
Greece

Aug 28, 2025 - EuroBasket

Greece
75 :  66
Italy

Aug 6, 2024 - Men's Olympic Tournament

Germany
76 :  63
Greece

Aug 2, 2024 - Men's Olympic Tournament

Australia
71 :  77
Greece
L W L L W L
Victories

2/6 (33%)

Defeats

4/6 (67%)

Sep 2, 2025 - EuroBasket

Greece
77 :  80
Bosnia & Herzegovina

Aug 28, 2025 - EuroBasket

Greece
75 :  66
Italy

Jul 27, 2024 - Men's Olympic Tournament

Greece
79 :  86
Canada

Sep 3, 2023 - Basketball World Cup

Greece
69 :  73
Montenegro

Aug 30, 2023 - Basketball World Cup

Greece
83 :  74
New Zealand

Aug 28, 2023 - Basketball World Cup

Greece
81 :  109
USA
L L W L W W
Victories

3/6 (50%)

Defeats

3/6 (50%)

Aug 31, 2025 - EuroBasket

Georgia
53 :  94
Greece

Aug 30, 2025 - EuroBasket

Cyprus
69 :  96
Greece

Aug 6, 2024 - Men's Olympic Tournament

Germany
76 :  63
Greece

Aug 2, 2024 - Men's Olympic Tournament

Australia
71 :  77
Greece

Jul 30, 2024 - Men's Olympic Tournament

Spain
84 :  77
Greece

Sep 1, 2023 - Basketball World Cup

Lithuania
92 :  67
Greece

Spain against Greece : Head to Head (H2H)

Spain

100 %

Greece

0 %

Jul 30, 2024 - Men's Olympic Tournament

Spain
84 :  77
Greece
Spain vs Greece Picks

Players list

Spain
Spain

S. De Larrea

J. Parra

S. Aldama

J. Pradilla

S. Yusta

Greece
Greece

T. Dorsey

K. Sloukas

D. Katsivelis

G. Antetokounmpo

K. Papanikolaou

Substitutes

Spain
Spain
Y. Sima Fatty W. Hernangomez

M. Saint-Supery

D. Brizuela

X. Lopez-Arostegui

J. Puerto

J. Hernangomez

Greece
Greece

V. Toliopoulos

G. Larentzakis

K. Antetokounmpo

P. Kalaitzakis

A. Samodurov

D. Mitoglou

T. Antetokounmpo

Spain - Greece Key Points

  1. Spain is coming off a 67-63 loss to Italy.
  2. Greece is coming off an 80-77 loss to Bosnia and Herzegovina.
  3. Spain needs a win to advance to the Round of 16.
  4. Greece has a record of 3-1.
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Our Spain vs Greece Prediction

Spain, the defending champions of EuroBasket, needs another win to advance to the knockout stages. They're currently on a three-way tie, but a win over Greece on Friday will see them through.

Look for Santi Aldama and the Hernangomez brothers to turn it up a notch on Friday. However, the Greeks would want to build momentum heading to Riga, despite having already advanced to the Round of 16. Our prediction for the Spain vs Greece match is: Spain (+7.5) cover the spread.

Prediction:

 

Spain (+7.5) cover the spread

-104
$350 offered for betting!

All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.