Grant Dawson vs Nurullo Aliev Prediction & Picks - UFC #333

UFC - UFC #333

Grant Dawson
10/23/26 22:00
Nurullo Aliev

Prediction:

 

Grant Dawson on the moneyline

−120
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 by Stephen Abiola | in UFC Picks

Grant Dawson (24-3-1) and Nurullo Aliev (12-0-0) will lock horns in the UFC lightweight division on Saturday at the Etihad Arena, Abu Dhabi. Grant Dowson is a 32-year-old American who started his UFC journey in 2017. He has since participated in 16 fights, losing only on two occasions. The “KGD” is coming off a submission win over Mateusz Rebecki at UFC 328 to bounce back from his KO defeat against Manuel Torres. He’ll be keen to make it back-to-back wins as the -139 favorite.

Nurullo Aliev, on the other hand, will enter the Octagon as the -109 betting underdog as he seeks to protect his perfect record. The 25-year-old is among the most promising prospects in the division, having joined the franchise in September 2022. He has won all five of his UFC assignments, the latest being a decision win over Mike Davis in July this year. A win this Saturday could give the “Tajik Eagle” a shot against another big name in the division.

Grant Dawson vs Nurullo Aliev Picks

Grant Dawson - Nurullo Aliev Key Points

  1. Grant Dawson is 4-1 in his last five assignments.
  2. The total rounds went over 2.5 in three of the last five Grant Dowson fights.
  3. The fight went the distance in 10 of Nurullo Aliev's last 12 bouts.
  4. The total rounds went over 2.5 in Nurullo Aliev's last four fights.

Our Grant Dawson vs Nurullo Aliev Prediction

According to Dawson, Aliev’s time will come, just not at UFC 333. We couldn’t agree more because Dawson is clearly the more experienced fighter and has faced some elite names in the division. That aside, we expect this to be one of those boring matchups that will be decided by the judges. Dawson is a takedown artist who averages 3.58 takedowns per 15 minutes, with 39% accuracy. However, we think he could have a hard time finishing Nurullo, who has an excellent submission defense. The youngster has an average takedown defense rate of 80%, one of the highest in the UFC. This fight should go the distance with Dawson edging it.

Our prediction for Grant Dawson vs Nurullo Aliev: Grant Dawson on the moneyline.

Prediction:

 

Grant Dawson on the moneyline

−120
$350 offered for betting!

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All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.