Golden State Valkyries vs Phoenix Mercury Prediction & Picks - WNBA

USA - WNBA

Golden State Valkyries
8/22/25 22:00
Phoenix Mercury

Prediction:

 

Mercury (-6.5) cover the spread

-112
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 by Paul Tamayo in WNBA Picks

The Golden State Valkyries (18-17) visit the Phoenix Mercury (21-14) on Friday, August 22, at the Footprint Center. 

This is the fourth time that the Mercury and Valkyries will face each other this season. The Mercury have won all three games so far, with an average winning margin of only 5.6 points.

However, the Mercury are coming off a disappointing 83-61 loss to the Las Vegas Aces. Only Alyssa Thomas and Satou Sabally scored in double digits for the team. As a whole, the Mercury only shot 31% from the field.

Meanwhile, the Valkyries are also coming off back-to-back losses. Interestingly, their last defeat came at a 98-91 loss to the Mercury. Veronica Burton impressed with a double-double performance of 24 points and 14 assists, but they didn't have an answer for the Mercury's balanced offense.

The Mercury and the Valkyries do share something in common: they're both good on defense. They're 4th and 5th in defensive rating, respectively. On the other end, they're 7th and 8th in offensive rating. 

Expect another tightly-contested battle between these two teams. Kahleah Cooper is listed as day-to-day in the Mercury's injury report, while Cecilia Zandalasini, Monique Billings, and Kayla Thornton will not suit up for the Valkyries.

Golden State Valkyries vs Phoenix Mercury Form

Table

Teams % P W L Series
3
Phoenix Mercury
Phoenix Mercury
0.6 35 21 14 -1
4
Golden State Valkyries
Golden State Valkyries
0.514 35 18 17 -2

Golden State Valkyries and Phoenix Mercury Latest Matches

Golden State Valkyries
Golden State Valkyries Latest matches
W W W W L L
Victories

4/6 (67%)

Defeats

2/6 (33%)

Aug 19, 2025 - WNBA

Phoenix Mercury
98 :  91
Golden State Valkyries

Aug 17, 2025 - WNBA

Atlanta Dream
79 :  63
Golden State Valkyries

Aug 15, 2025 - WNBA

Golden State Valkyries
90 :  59
Chicago Sky

Aug 13, 2025 - WNBA

Golden State Valkyries
88 :  83
Washington Mystics

Aug 11, 2025 - WNBA

Connecticut Sun
57 :  74
Golden State Valkyries

Aug 9, 2025 - WNBA

L.a. Sparks
59 :  72
Golden State Valkyries
W L W W L L
Victories

3/6 (50%)

Defeats

3/6 (50%)

Aug 19, 2025 - WNBA

Phoenix Mercury
98 :  91
Golden State Valkyries

Aug 17, 2025 - WNBA

Atlanta Dream
79 :  63
Golden State Valkyries

Aug 11, 2025 - WNBA

Connecticut Sun
57 :  74
Golden State Valkyries

Aug 9, 2025 - WNBA

L.a. Sparks
59 :  72
Golden State Valkyries

Aug 6, 2025 - WNBA

Las Vegas Aces
78 :  72
Golden State Valkyries

Jul 25, 2025 - WNBA

Dallas Wings
76 :  86
Golden State Valkyries
W W W L W W
Victories

5/6 (83%)

Defeats

1/6 (17%)

Aug 15, 2025 - WNBA

Golden State Valkyries
90 :  59
Chicago Sky

Aug 13, 2025 - WNBA

Golden State Valkyries
88 :  83
Washington Mystics

Aug 3, 2025 - WNBA

Golden State Valkyries
77 :  101
Las Vegas Aces

Aug 1, 2025 - WNBA

Golden State Valkyries
73 :  66
Chicago Sky

Jul 31, 2025 - WNBA

Golden State Valkyries
68 :  67
Washington Mystics

Jul 29, 2025 - WNBA

Golden State Valkyries
77 :  75
Atlanta Dream
Phoenix Mercury
Phoenix Mercury Latest matches
W L L W W L
Victories

3/6 (50%)

Defeats

3/6 (50%)

Aug 21, 2025 - WNBA

Phoenix Mercury
61 :  83
Las Vegas Aces

Aug 19, 2025 - WNBA

Phoenix Mercury
98 :  91
Golden State Valkyries

Aug 17, 2025 - WNBA

Phoenix Mercury
85 :  82
Seattle Storm

Aug 15, 2025 - WNBA

Las Vegas Aces
86 :  83
Phoenix Mercury

Aug 10, 2025 - WNBA

Atlanta Dream
74 :  66
Phoenix Mercury

Aug 7, 2025 - WNBA

Indiana Fever
60 :  95
Phoenix Mercury
W L W W L L
Victories

3/6 (50%)

Defeats

3/6 (50%)

Aug 15, 2025 - WNBA

Las Vegas Aces
86 :  83
Phoenix Mercury

Aug 10, 2025 - WNBA

Atlanta Dream
74 :  66
Phoenix Mercury

Aug 7, 2025 - WNBA

Indiana Fever
60 :  95
Phoenix Mercury

Aug 5, 2025 - WNBA

Connecticut Sun
66 :  82
Phoenix Mercury

Jul 23, 2025 - WNBA

Atlanta Dream
90 :  79
Phoenix Mercury

Jul 9, 2025 - WNBA

Minnesota Lynx
71 :  79
Phoenix Mercury
L L W W W L
Victories

3/6 (50%)

Defeats

3/6 (50%)

Aug 21, 2025 - WNBA

Phoenix Mercury
61 :  83
Las Vegas Aces

Aug 19, 2025 - WNBA

Phoenix Mercury
98 :  91
Golden State Valkyries

Aug 17, 2025 - WNBA

Phoenix Mercury
85 :  82
Seattle Storm

Aug 3, 2025 - WNBA

Phoenix Mercury
83 :  67
Chicago Sky

Aug 1, 2025 - WNBA

Phoenix Mercury
72 :  95
Atlanta Dream

Jul 30, 2025 - WNBA

Phoenix Mercury
101 :  107
Indiana Fever

Golden State Valkyries against Phoenix Mercury : Head to Head (H2H)

Golden State Valkyries

0 %

Phoenix Mercury

100 %

Aug 19, 2025 - WNBA

Phoenix Mercury
98 :  91
Golden State Valkyries

Jul 14, 2025 - WNBA

Phoenix Mercury
78 :  77
Golden State Valkyries

Jun 5, 2025 - WNBA

Golden State Valkyries
77 :  86
Phoenix Mercury

Golden State Valkyries - Phoenix Mercury Key Points

  1. The Mercury have won all three games against the Valkyries this season.
  2. The Mercury have better offensive and defensive rating than the Valkyries.
  3. The Valkyries are coming off back-to-back losses.
  4. Cecilia Zandalasini, Monique Billings, and Kayla Thornton will not suit up for the Valkyries.

Our Golden State Valkyries vs Phoenix Mercury Prediction

The Mercury and the Valkyries do not have a significant gap from each other on paper. However, the Mercury have won all three matchups so far this season.

With the Valkyries missing some key names, expect them to be at a disadvantage against the Mercury. The Valkyries might need an efficient offensive performance, which is difficult to do against the fourth-best defensive rating in the league. Our prediction for the Phoenix Mercury vs Golden State Valkyries is: Mercury (-6.5) cover the spread.

Prediction:

 

Mercury (-6.5) cover the spread

-112
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Golden State Valkyries vs Phoenix Mercury Picks