Detroit Lions vs Minnesota Vikings Prediction & Picks - NFL

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Detroit Lions
12/25/25 16:30
Minnesota Vikings

Prediction:

 

Detroit -5.5

-110
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 by Bill Christy in NFL Picks

The afternoon Christmas Day game between the Minnesota Vikings (7-8) and the Detroit Lions (8-7) will showcase only one team with a slim chance of making the playoffs. Currently, the Lions have just 7% chance of advancing to the postseason, while the Vikings have already been eliminated.

These teams met earlier this season, with the Vikings coming out victorious. The 27-24 win was highlighted by the strong play of JJ McCarthy. However, he is possibly not going to be playing due to a hand injury in this rematch. That could be an issue, as he was playing well over the last 3 games in which the Vikings picked up wins in all 3.

Detroit is coming off a pitiful performance last week. After losing to a strong Rams team a week prior, they played terribly against the Steelers last week and made life extremely difficult for themselves now to get to the playoffs. Over those two losses, the Lions defense has allowed exactly 1,00 yards of total offense and 70 points. If they are going to keep their slim playoff chances alive, they will need to play better on the defensive side of the ball here.

An NFC North matchup with potential playoff implications is always fun this time of year. Will it be the Vikings playing spoiler? Or will the Lions keep their chances alive?

Detroit Lions vs Minnesota Vikings Form

Table

Teams % P W D L
16
Detroit Lions
Detroit Lions
0.533 15 8 0 7
19
Minnesota Vikings
Minnesota Vikings
0.467 15 7 0 8

Detroit Lions and Minnesota Vikings Latest Matches

Detroit Lions
Detroit Lions Latest matches
L W L W L W
Victories

2/6 (33%)

Draw

0/6 (0%)

Defeats

4/6 (67%)

Dec 21, 2025 - NFL

Pittsburgh Steelers
29 :  24
Detroit Lions

Dec 14, 2025 - NFL

Detroit Lions
34 :  41
Los Angeles Rams

Dec 4, 2025 - NFL

Dallas Cowboys
30 :  44
Detroit Lions

Nov 27, 2025 - NFL

Green Bay Packers
31 :  24
Detroit Lions

Nov 23, 2025 - NFL

New York Giants
27 :  34
Detroit Lions

Nov 16, 2025 - NFL

Detroit Lions
9 :  16
Philadelphia Eagles
W L W L W W
Victories

3/6 (50%)

Draw

0/6 (0%)

Defeats

3/6 (50%)

Dec 21, 2025 - NFL

Pittsburgh Steelers
29 :  24
Detroit Lions

Dec 4, 2025 - NFL

Dallas Cowboys
30 :  44
Detroit Lions

Nov 27, 2025 - NFL

Green Bay Packers
31 :  24
Detroit Lions

Nov 23, 2025 - NFL

New York Giants
27 :  34
Detroit Lions

Nov 2, 2025 - NFL

Minnesota Vikings
27 :  24
Detroit Lions

Oct 20, 2025 - NFL

Tampa Bay Buccaneers
9 :  24
Detroit Lions
W W L W L L
Victories

3/6 (50%)

Draw

0/6 (0%)

Defeats

3/6 (50%)

Dec 14, 2025 - NFL

Detroit Lions
34 :  41
Los Angeles Rams

Nov 16, 2025 - NFL

Detroit Lions
9 :  16
Philadelphia Eagles

Nov 9, 2025 - NFL

Detroit Lions
44 :  22
Washington Commanders

Oct 12, 2025 - NFL

Detroit Lions
17 :  30
Kansas City Chiefs

Oct 5, 2025 - NFL

Detroit Lions
37 :  24
Cincinnati Bengals

Sep 22, 2025 - NFL

Detroit Lions
38 :  30
Baltimore Ravens
Minnesota Vikings
Minnesota Vikings Latest matches
L L L W W W
Victories

3/6 (50%)

Draw

0/6 (0%)

Defeats

3/6 (50%)

Dec 21, 2025 - NFL

Minnesota Vikings
16 :  13
New York Giants

Dec 14, 2025 - NFL

Minnesota Vikings
34 :  26
Dallas Cowboys

Dec 7, 2025 - NFL

Washington Commanders
0 :  31
Minnesota Vikings

Nov 30, 2025 - NFL

Minnesota Vikings
0 :  26
Seattle Seahawks

Nov 23, 2025 - NFL

Minnesota Vikings
6 :  23
Green Bay Packers

Nov 16, 2025 - NFL

Chicago Bears
19 :  17
Minnesota Vikings
L W L L L W
Victories

2/6 (33%)

Draw

0/6 (0%)

Defeats

4/6 (67%)

Dec 7, 2025 - NFL

Washington Commanders
0 :  31
Minnesota Vikings

Nov 16, 2025 - NFL

Chicago Bears
19 :  17
Minnesota Vikings

Nov 9, 2025 - NFL

Baltimore Ravens
27 :  19
Minnesota Vikings

Oct 19, 2025 - NFL

Philadelphia Eagles
28 :  22
Minnesota Vikings

Sep 21, 2025 - NFL

Cincinnati Bengals
10 :  48
Minnesota Vikings

Sep 14, 2025 - NFL

Atlanta Falcons
22 :  6
Minnesota Vikings
L W L L W W
Victories

3/6 (50%)

Draw

0/6 (0%)

Defeats

3/6 (50%)

Dec 21, 2025 - NFL

Minnesota Vikings
16 :  13
New York Giants

Dec 14, 2025 - NFL

Minnesota Vikings
34 :  26
Dallas Cowboys

Nov 30, 2025 - NFL

Minnesota Vikings
0 :  26
Seattle Seahawks

Nov 23, 2025 - NFL

Minnesota Vikings
6 :  23
Green Bay Packers

Nov 2, 2025 - NFL

Minnesota Vikings
27 :  24
Detroit Lions

Oct 23, 2025 - NFL

Minnesota Vikings
10 :  37
Los Angeles Chargers

Detroit Lions against Minnesota Vikings : Head to Head (H2H)

Detroit Lions

80 %

Draw

0 %

Minnesota Vikings

20 %

Nov 2, 2025 - NFL

Minnesota Vikings
27 :  24
Detroit Lions

Jan 5, 2025 - NFL

Minnesota Vikings
9 :  31
Detroit Lions

Oct 20, 2024 - NFL

Detroit Lions
31 :  29
Minnesota Vikings

Jan 7, 2024 - NFL

Minnesota Vikings
20 :  30
Detroit Lions

Dec 24, 2023 - NFL

Detroit Lions
30 :  24
Minnesota Vikings

Detroit Lions - Minnesota Vikings Key Points

  1. Minnesota is 2-6 ATS in its last 8 games when playing as the underdog.
  2. Minnesota is 2-6 ATS in its last 8 games played in week 17.
  3. Detroit is 9-1 ATS in its last 10 games against Minnesota.
  4. Detroit is 13-5 ATS in its last 18 games on the road.

Our Detroit Lions vs Minnesota Vikings Prediction

This Lions defense has been pitiful lately, while the Vikings have won 3 straight games. However, when we look deeper at those wins, we see that they came against the bottom teams of the NFC East. Even if McCarthy is able to go, we believe that Dan Campbell will have the Lions playing motivated in this win-or-go-home game.  

Our prediction for Minnesota Vikings vs Detroit Lions: Detroit -5.5

Prediction:

 

Detroit -5.5

-110
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Detroit Lions vs Minnesota Vikings Picks