Daniil Medvedev vs Frances Tiafoe Prediction & Picks - ATP US Open
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by Bradley Gibbs | in ATP US Open Picks
Daniil Medvedev is once again showing everyone how much he enjoys playing at the US Open, winning each of his first three matches without dropping a set. The world number eight, who won this event back in 2021, now has his toughest test of the tournament, up against Frances Tiafoe, though given the form that he's shown, it's a test that he ought to pass.
The question we need to ask here is should Daniil Medvedev really be as big as -149 to win this match? For our money, the answer to that question is a resounding no. The Russian has gotten the better of Frances Tiafoe many times before, while we know how much Flushing Meadows brings out the best in his game. Clearly, he's thriving right now, so much so that he could easily be priced around -200 to win this match.
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Daniil Medvedev vs Frances Tiafoe Form
Daniil Medvedev and Frances Tiafoe Latest Matches
4/6 (67%)
2/6 (33%)
Sep 4, 2026 - ATP US Open
Sep 2, 2026 - ATP US Open
Aug 30, 2026 - ATP US Open
Aug 25, 2026 - ATP Winston-Salem Open
Aug 18, 2026 - ATP Cincinnati Open
Aug 16, 2026 - ATP Cincinnati Open
5/6 (83%)
1/6 (17%)
Sep 4, 2026 - ATP US Open
Sep 2, 2026 - ATP US Open
Aug 31, 2026 - ATP US Open
Aug 23, 2026 - ATP Cincinnati Open
Aug 22, 2026 - ATP Cincinnati Open
Aug 21, 2026 - ATP Cincinnati Open
Daniil Medvedev against Frances Tiafoe : Head to Head (H2H)
100 %
0 %
Jan 6, 2026 - Brisbane International
Mar 18, 2023 - ATP Indian Wells
Sep 7, 2020 - ATP US Open
Daniil Medvedev - Frances Tiafoe Key Points
- Daniil Medvedev won in straight sets when the pair met earlier this year.
- Daniil Medvedev has won each of his two previous Grand Slam matches against Frances Tiafoe.
- Daniil Medvedev has won four out of four against Frances Tiafoe on US hard courts.
- When the pair last met at the US Open, Daniil Medvedev won in straight sets.
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Our Daniil Medvedev vs Frances Tiafoe Prediction
On all recent evidence, this is a match that Daniil Medvedev should win, and that's why he's quite a strong favorite in the betting. However, he could easily be an even stronger favorite, leaving odds of -149 to look a little generous. He's looked in perfect condition over the last week, while his record against Frances Tiafoe is hard to ignore.
It's also worth mentioning that Medvedev has lost just one of his last 14 US Open matches against lower-ranked players, and on that basis, he's impossible to oppose here.
Our Daniil Medvedev vs Frances Tiafoe Pick: Daniil Medvedev to Win.
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All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
