2026 Tour de France Picks & Predictions
Find our free prediction on the winner of the 2026 Tour de France, as well as our experts' predictions on all the stages of the Tour this year. Lots of cycling information for your sports betting this tour!
2026 Tour de France: Overview and Picks
Are you into cycling betting? Then get ready to lock in your picks for the 2026 Tour de France! From July 4 to 26, the world’s top riders will race across France in pursuit of the iconic yellow jersey.
Following Slovenian Tadej Pogacar’s victory last year, riders like Vingegaard and Evenepoel are set to face off and battle it out to the very end in this 113th edition of the Tour de France.
But in practical terms, who is the favorite for the 2026 Tour de France? How can you make accurate predictions for the Tour’s stages? What is the route? Who might win today’s stage? We’ll tell you everything on our page dedicated entirely to Tour de France predictions.
Winner Prediction: Who will win the 2026 Tour de France?
Following Jonas Vingegaard’s back-to-back victories between 2022 and 2023, Tadej Pogacar has dominated the race for the past two years, winning his third and fourth Tour de France titles. The 27-year-old prodigy is once again THE favorite for this 113th edition of the Tour de France and has strong credentials to back up his status.
With 21 stage wins at the Tour de France, four overall titles, and peak form in 2026 (winner of Strade Bianche, Milan–San Remo, the Tour of Flanders, Liège–Bastogne–Liège, the Tour de Romandie, and more), the Slovenian intends to sweep up every title in his path. He therefore logically tops the bookmakers’ odds, followed by other big names in today’s cycling world (Vingegaard, Seixas, Evenepoel...).
It is therefore the formidable Tadej Pogacar (winner of the Tour in 2020, 2021, 2024, and 2025) who offers the most confidence for your 2026 Tour de France prediction. The UAE-XRG rider is once again surrounded by top talent this year (Isaac Del Toro, Marc Soler, Adam Yates, etc.) to give his team an edge over the competition. Having skipped the Giro d’Italia, Pogacar is determined to shine at the 2026 Tour de France, and he’s the clear favorite for your bets. Our 2026 Tour de France prediction: Tadej Pogacar to win!
2026 Tour de France Futures
- Tadej Pogacar -370
- Jonas Vingegaard +360
- Paul Seixas +900
- Joao Almeida +1500
- Isaac Del Toro +1800
- Florian Lipowitz +1800
- Remco Evenepoel +2200
- Juan Ayuso +3300
- Tobias Halland Johannessen +5500
- Derek Gee +5500
- Tom Pidcock +8000
- Primoz Roglic +8000
- Oscar Onley +8000
- Felix Gall +8000
- Mikel Landa +12500
- Antonio Tiberi +15000
- Max Poole +17500
- Lennert Van Eetvelt +17500
- Giulio Pellizzari +17500
- Jarno Widar +17500
- Lenny Martinez +20000
Odds sourced from FanDuel. Take advantage of the nice bonus in August 2026 to bet on the Tour de France.
Tour de France 2026 Course: The Detailed Route
The 2026 Tour de France offers an ideal route for sports betting. Starting in Barcelona and crossing France, the Grande Boucle features 21 stages, each more exciting than the last. Once again this year, the Champs-Élysées in Paris will be the setting for the Tour de France finish.
The 2026 Tour de France features a total of 7 flat stages, 4 hilly stages, 8 mountain stages (including 5 with a mountain-top finish), 2 time trials (1 team time trial and 1 individual time trial), and 2 rest days. There’s something to delight every cycling fan, and it gives riders of all profiles a chance to shine on their bikes.
Beginner Bettors - How does the Tour de France work?
The Tour de France is a cycling race organized each summer in France. Divided into 21 stages, it sees the world's best riders attempting to win one or more stages, wear the yellow jersey of leader, attempt to win the points classification, or the final overall classification of this Tour de France (chrono).
For three weeks, all eyes of the world are turned towards the most beautiful landscapes of France: mountains, plains, massifs, cities... a course that demands a wide range of skills from the different competitors. At the end of the 21 stages of the race, the rider who finishes with the best overall time is declared the winner of the Tour de France.
Tour de France Ranking: How is it Calculated?
On the Tour de France, several classifications exist, but the one that is of considerable importance is the individual ranking. This is the one that determines the yellow jersey of the race and the final winner.
This individual classification is determined by the accumulation of times achieved by each rider during the different stages of the race. At the end of the event, the one who finishes the Tour in the shortest time is declared the winner of the Tour de France.
Besides this individual classification, note that a points classification exists and awards the green jersey. It rewards the rider most often placed at the front at the end of the stages.
There is also the best climber's classification, with its famous polka-dot jersey, which rewards the best rider in the various ascents. On the different mountain passes of the route, points are awarded to the first riders to arrive at the summit, depending on the category of the climb and their order of arrival (points are collected up to the 8th arriving in case of an out-of-category climb).
Finally, be aware that a white jersey also exists on the Tour de France and rewards the rider aged 25 or under who is best placed in the general classification, as well as a red bib that rewards the rider deemed the most combative of the previous stage. A team classification is also established, cumulating the times of all the riders of a formation.
How to Place Reliable Predictions on the Tour de France?
To predict the Tour de France like an expert, you must apply good practices throughout the race. Here are the pillars on which our cycling specialists base themselves during each stage of the Grand Tour:
- Take into account the composition of the stage
- Take into account the weather conditions
- Take into account the location of the stage
- Take into account the different rankings
- Take into account the last stage of the riders
By considering these 5 parameters of a stage of the Tour de France, your analysis will be better and your chances of winning your bet at the same time. Consult the following paragraphs for further explanations.
Take into account the composition of the stage
To accurately predict a stage of the Tour de France, the first thing to do is... to know this stage. Don't get caught out, and don't bet on the best rider on paper: the Pogacars and other big names are not going to win all the stages of the Tour!
You absolutely must know if the stage of the day is a mountain stage, a flat stage, a hilly stage, or even an individual time trial. This will give you an indication of the riders most likely to shine (a sprinter will not be able to do much on a mountain stage, when he will be at an advantage on the flat).
Take into account the weather conditions
In addition to knowing the nature of the stage of the day, you must also consider the announced weather conditions. Is rain expected? Are high temperatures expected? What is the air quality if the riders have to pass through a city? So many questions that need to be answered to give you every chance of success.
If, for example, a thunderstorm is announced, or even strong gusts of wind, be wary because accidents can occur, just as a certain caution on the part of the announced favorite riders. This weather has already played tricks on the various cyclists on the Grand Tour. As well as on bettors.
Take into account the location of the stage
The third criterion to analyze for a good prediction of a stage is the location of today's race. Here, it is especially historical data that you need to seek. Be interested not only in French riders (are they native to the region, in this case, expect a more than certain attack), but also in the performance of each one in the location.
A rider who, for example, won a similar stage on a past Tour de France, and in the same department, should be followed with the greatest attention. This data is really to be taken into account daily.
Take into account the different rankings
Fourth advice: take into account the different rankings in progress on the Tour de France. Beyond the individual general classification, which remains the most important, take an interest in the points classification, the best climber, the best young rider and the team classification. They will systematically give you an indication of the stakes for each rider, and therefore their motivation/necessity to perform on the stage of the day.
For example, if a rider is in the running for the polka-dot jersey (best climber), expect him to be in the battle if the stage of the day consists of several passes. In the same spirit, follow closely the sprinters well placed in the points classification if the stage of the day is rather flat. They will all have an increased willingness to succeed.
Don't forget that on certain stages, the favorites for the final victory of the Tour de France will mainly seek not to lose time on their main competitors. The cyclists to follow will then be those who have a supreme interest in placing themselves on the day's route.
Take into account the last stage of the riders
Finally, you must also take into account the very last stage completed by the riders on whom you want to bet. Have they been called upon more than expected? Have they, on the contrary, contented themselves with maintaining their lead in the standings without drawing too much from their physical reserves? In short, are they fresh or rather physically affected?
By finding a first answer to this question, you will always see more clearly the capabilities of the riders who interest you. Never forget it before predicting a stage of the 2026 Tour.
Mistakes to avoid for your Tour de France Bets
To not weaken your chances of succeeding in your predictions on the 2026 Tour de France, know that there are a few pitfalls to avoid when betting. Here, according to our cycling specialists, is what you should not do for your Tour de France prediction:
- Not studying the stage
- Betting solely on the prestige of a rider
- Not taking into account the composition of cycling teams
- Not being interested in the stakes of the stage
- Betting solely on the small odds at sportsbooks
- Taking advantage of boosted odds without having done any analysis
By avoiding these 6 pitfalls while following the 5 previously delivered tips, you should thus optimize your chances of success in your sports bets on the 2026 Tour de France.
Sign Up and Grab a DraftKings Bonus!In short: How to accurately predict the Tour de France?
In summary, it is imperative to know each stage in detail before predicting a day of the Tour de France. If determining the final winner involves a certain logic (complete palette, maximum support of teammate riders within a team, experience of the race...), predicting the winner of a daily stage remains difficult each year on the Grand Tour.
In this measure, do not hesitate for a single moment to follow the daily predictions of our cycling specialists. For each stage, they deliver their feelings and their opinions on the potential winner of the day. It's up to you to take advantage of it, to succeed in a maximum of sports bets with the different online sportsbooks. And if you like sports in general, also check out all of our sports predictions, across all sports.
