Mexico - Liga MX
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by Edgar Jibran | in Liga MX Picks
Motivation is a key factor in sports, and it’s even more important for team sports like soccer. With that in mind, Guadalajara passed from hell to heaven after their outstanding away victory over America last weekend, so they look ready to face their next challenge. Nonetheless, facing Toluca next Saturday is expected to be one of the toughest challenges of the regular season.
Additionally, it cannot be ignored that Guadalajara also played a very difficult game during midweek against Tigres, being worth noting that their offensive line was completely nullified by Tigres’ solid defense. However, it must be taken into consideration that Roberto Alvarado wasn’t able to play referred game due to the injury he suffered against America, and he remains doubtful to play next Saturday night against Toluca.
Meanwhile, Toluca appears to be recovering after the three-game winless streak they faced in August, but it’s relevant to highlight that even though their defense is still one of the best in the league, they haven’t been able to keep a clean sheet in Liga MX since defeating FC Juarez on August 11th (2-0). Despite that, the odds make them slight favorites to win this game as Paulinho is expected to play after being rested during their weekend match against Puebla.
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Chivas vs Deportivo Toluca FC Form
Table
| Teams | Pts | P | W | D | L | GD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
3
|
19 | 9 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 11 |
|
12
|
8 | 9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | -5 |
Chivas and Deportivo Toluca FC Latest Matches
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
Sep 17, 2025 - Liga MX
Sep 13, 2025 - Liga MX
Aug 30, 2025 - Liga MX
Aug 22, 2025 - Liga MX
Aug 16, 2025 - Liga MX
Aug 10, 2025 - Liga MX
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
Sep 17, 2025 - Liga MX
Aug 30, 2025 - Liga MX
Aug 16, 2025 - Liga MX
Aug 3, 2025 - Leagues Cup
Jul 31, 2025 - Leagues Cup
Jul 26, 2025 - Liga MX
3/6 (50%)
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
Sep 13, 2025 - Liga MX
Aug 22, 2025 - Liga MX
Aug 10, 2025 - Liga MX
Aug 7, 2025 - Leagues Cup
Jul 19, 2025 - Liga MX
Jul 5, 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
3/6 (50%)
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
Sep 13, 2025 - Liga MX
Aug 29, 2025 - Liga MX
Aug 23, 2025 - Liga MX
Aug 20, 2025 - Leagues Cup
Aug 16, 2025 - Liga MX
Aug 11, 2025 - Liga MX
3/6 (50%)
3/6 (50%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
Sep 13, 2025 - Liga MX
Aug 20, 2025 - Leagues Cup
Aug 16, 2025 - Liga MX
Aug 5, 2025 - Leagues Cup
Aug 1, 2025 - Leagues Cup
Jul 29, 2025 - Leagues Cup
4/6 (67%)
1/6 (17%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
Aug 29, 2025 - Liga MX
Aug 23, 2025 - Liga MX
Aug 11, 2025 - Liga MX
Jul 20, 2025 - Trofeo de Campeon de Campeones
Jul 16, 2025 - Liga MX
May 22, 2025 - Liga MX
Chivas against Deportivo Toluca FC : Head to Head (H2H)
33 %
50 %
17 %
Average stats (last H2H results)
Feb 15, 2025 - Liga MX
Jul 6, 2024 - Liga MX
May 11, 2024 - Liga MX
May 8, 2024 - Liga MX
Jan 30, 2024 - Liga MX
Oct 1, 2023 - Liga MX
Chivas against Deportivo Toluca FC Lineups: Starting 11
Formation : 5 - 3 - 2
Formation : 4 - 2 - 3 - 1
Most goals and assists
Chivas
Deportivo Toluca FC
R. Alvarado
(6 Goals)
Paulinho
(18 Goals)
R. Alvarado
(3 Assists)
A. Vega
(14 Assists)
Chivas - Deportivo Toluca FC Key Points
- Guadalajara at home ended a three-game scoring streak after they couldn’t score any goal during their midweek draw against Tigres UANL.
- Guadalajara at home ended a three-game scoring streak after they couldn’t score any goal during their midweek draw against Tigres UANL.
- Guadalajara at home hasn’t scored more than one goal against Toluca since January 2024, when they won 3-2.
- Toluca has a two-game non-scoring streak against Guadalajara, which is expected to be broken given their current offensive power.
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Our Chivas vs Deportivo Toluca FC Prediction
With all this in mind, these teams promise to feature one of the most entertaining games of the weekend; nonetheless, this will be a must-win game for Guadalajara, because failing to win at least one of their two consecutive home games could undo all the positive momentum they gained from their away victory over America.
In conclusion, all the reviewed scenarios will also force Toluca to step up into the pitch with their best possible XI, a line up which is well-known as one of the most effective attacks in Liga MX. With Alexis Vega, Paulinho and Marcel Ruiz all still at their peak, this team becomes a real threat for any team in the league. Therefore, the pick for CD Guadalajara – Deportivo Toluca FC is: Toluca Wins!
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All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
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