Tigres UANL vs Deportivo Toluca FC Prediction & Picks - Liga MX

Mexico - Liga MX

Tigres UANL
1/17/26 20:00
Deportivo Toluca FC

Prediction:

 

Toluca to win no draw bet.

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 by Carlos Zabala | in Liga MX Picks

As early as Matchday 3 of the Liga MX Clausura tournament, we'll have an intriguing rematch of the last Apertura tournament final between Tigres and Toluca.

The Red Devils continue to dominate Mexican soccer. They are champions of the last two short tournaments. They also won the Campeón de Campeones trophy against América and the Campeones Cup against LA Galaxy.

Things haven't changed for the Diablos Rojos, who continue their winning streak. With a goal from Helinho, they emerged victorious from the challenging BBVA Bancomer Stadium against Monterrey, despite being considered underdogs in the betting odds. Then, in the second half, when they were down by a single goal against Santos Laguna at the Nemesio Díaz Stadium, they managed to come back and win 3-1. This allowed them to take first place in the overall standings.

Tigres, for their part, even without a major signing or reinforcement during the Christmas break, established themselves as the second favorite in the betting odds to win this tournament. A brace from Flores was enough to defeat Atlético San Luis in Matchday 1, but they lost to Pumas by a single goal in Matchday 2.

Tigres UANL vs Deportivo Toluca FC Form

Table

Teams Pts P W D L GD
5 Deportivo Toluca FC
30 17 8 6 3 +12
7 Tigres UANL
25 17 7 4 6 +10

Tigres UANL and Deportivo Toluca FC Latest Matches

Tigres UANL
Tigres UANL Latest matches
D D W L W L
Victories

2/6 (33%)

Draw

2/6 (33%)

Defeats

2/6 (33%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2 Total goals
67% BTTS
1 Goals scored
1 Goals conceded
33% Over 2.5
67% Under 2.5

Jan 14, 2026 - Liga MX

Tigres UANL
0 :  1
Pumas UNAM

Jan 11, 2026 - Liga MX

Atletico San Luis
1 :  2
Tigres UANL

Dec 14, 2025 - Liga MX

Deportivo Toluca FC
2 :  1
Tigres UANL

Dec 11, 2025 - Liga MX

Tigres UANL
1 :  0
Deportivo Toluca FC

Dec 6, 2025 - Liga MX

Tigres UANL
1 :  1
CF Cruz Azul

Dec 3, 2025 - Liga MX

CF Cruz Azul
1 :  1
Tigres UANL
W W W D W L
Victories

4/6 (67%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Defeats

1/6 (17%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.5 Total goals
33% BTTS
2 Goals scored
0.5 Goals conceded
33% Over 2.5
67% Under 2.5

Jan 14, 2026 - Liga MX

Tigres UANL
0 :  1
Pumas UNAM

Dec 11, 2025 - Liga MX

Tigres UANL
1 :  0
Deportivo Toluca FC

Dec 6, 2025 - Liga MX

Tigres UANL
1 :  1
CF Cruz Azul

Nov 29, 2025 - Liga MX

Tigres UANL
5 :  0
Tijuana

Nov 8, 2025 - Liga MX

Tigres UANL
3 :  1
Atletico San Luis

Oct 25, 2025 - Liga MX

Tigres UANL
2 :  0
Tijuana
W D L D L W
Victories

2/6 (33%)

Draw

2/6 (33%)

Defeats

2/6 (33%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.67 Total goals
83% BTTS
1.17 Goals scored
1.5 Goals conceded
67% Over 2.5
33% Under 2.5

Jan 11, 2026 - Liga MX

Atletico San Luis
1 :  2
Tigres UANL

Dec 14, 2025 - Liga MX

Deportivo Toluca FC
2 :  1
Tigres UANL

Dec 3, 2025 - Liga MX

CF Cruz Azul
1 :  1
Tigres UANL

Nov 27, 2025 - Liga MX

Tijuana
3 :  0
Tigres UANL

Nov 1, 2025 - Liga MX

Monterrey
1 :  1
Tigres UANL

Oct 22, 2025 - Liga MX

CF Pachuca
1 :  2
Tigres UANL
Deportivo Toluca FC
Deportivo Toluca FC Latest matches
L W L W W W
Victories

4/6 (67%)

Draw

0/6 (0%)

Defeats

2/6 (33%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.5 Total goals
50% BTTS
1.5 Goals scored
1 Goals conceded
50% Over 2.5
50% Under 2.5

Jan 14, 2026 - Liga MX

Deportivo Toluca FC
3 :  1
Club Santos Laguna

Jan 10, 2026 - Liga MX

Monterrey
0 :  1
Deportivo Toluca FC

Dec 14, 2025 - Liga MX

Deportivo Toluca FC
2 :  1
Tigres UANL

Dec 11, 2025 - Liga MX

Tigres UANL
1 :  0
Deportivo Toluca FC

Dec 6, 2025 - Liga MX

Deportivo Toluca FC
3 :  2
Monterrey

Dec 3, 2025 - Liga MX

Monterrey
1 :  0
Deportivo Toluca FC
D W D W W W
Victories

4/6 (67%)

Draw

2/6 (33%)

Defeats

0/6 (0%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3 Total goals
67% BTTS
2 Goals scored
1 Goals conceded
67% Over 2.5
33% Under 2.5

Jan 14, 2026 - Liga MX

Deportivo Toluca FC
3 :  1
Club Santos Laguna

Dec 14, 2025 - Liga MX

Deportivo Toluca FC
2 :  1
Tigres UANL

Dec 6, 2025 - Liga MX

Deportivo Toluca FC
3 :  2
Monterrey

Nov 29, 2025 - Liga MX

Deportivo Toluca FC
0 :  0
FC Juarez

Nov 8, 2025 - Liga MX

Deportivo Toluca FC
2 :  0
CF America

Oct 26, 2025 - Liga MX

Deportivo Toluca FC
2 :  2
CF Pachuca
D D W L L W
Victories

2/6 (33%)

Draw

2/6 (33%)

Defeats

2/6 (33%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

1 Total goals
17% BTTS
0.5 Goals scored
0.5 Goals conceded
17% Over 2.5
83% Under 2.5

Jan 10, 2026 - Liga MX

Monterrey
0 :  1
Deportivo Toluca FC

Dec 11, 2025 - Liga MX

Tigres UANL
1 :  0
Deportivo Toluca FC

Dec 3, 2025 - Liga MX

Monterrey
1 :  0
Deportivo Toluca FC

Nov 26, 2025 - Liga MX

FC Juarez
1 :  2
Deportivo Toluca FC

Nov 1, 2025 - Liga MX

Atlas FC
0 :  0
Deportivo Toluca FC

Oct 22, 2025 - Liga MX

Tijuana
0 :  0
Deportivo Toluca FC

Tigres UANL against Deportivo Toluca FC : Head to Head (H2H)

Tigres UANL

33 %

Draw

17 %

Deportivo Toluca FC

50 %

Average stats (last H2H results)

2.83
Total goals
50%
BTTS
1.17
Goals scored
1.67
Goals conceded
50%
Over 2.5
50%
Under 2.5

Dec 14, 2025 - Liga MX

Deportivo Toluca FC
2 :  1
Tigres UANL

Dec 11, 2025 - Liga MX

Tigres UANL
1 :  0
Deportivo Toluca FC

Jul 26, 2025 - Liga MX

Deportivo Toluca FC
3 :  4
Tigres UANL

May 17, 2025 - Liga MX

Deportivo Toluca FC
3 :  0
Tigres UANL

May 14, 2025 - Liga MX

Tigres UANL
1 :  1
Deportivo Toluca FC

Feb 1, 2025 - Liga MX

Deportivo Toluca FC
1 :  0
Tigres UANL

Tigres UANL against Deportivo Toluca FC Lineups: Starting 11

Tigres UANL

Formation : 4 - 2 - 3 - 1

1
N. Guzman
14
J. Garza
28
Joaquim
4
J. Purata
35
O. Rodriguez
8
F. Gorriaran
23
Romulo
16
D. Lainez
11
J. Brunetta
7
A. Correa
7
N. Ibanez
26
Paulinho
15
P. Perez
10
R. Angulo
19
S. Simon
5
F. Romero
14
M. Ruiz
20
J. Gallardo
6
F. Pereira
25
E. del Villar
2
D. Barbosa
1
H. Gonzalez

Formation : 4 - 2 - 3 - 1

Deportivo Toluca FC

Substitutes

Tigres UANL
Tigres UANL
Goalkeeper

F. Rodriguez

Defender

V. Lorona

R. Guerrero

F. Ordonez

Midfielder

M. Flores

N. Ibanez 56'

J. Vigon

A. Correa 88'

D. Sanchez

Forward

A. Gignac

U. Antuna

D. Lainez 83'

E. Lopez

Deportivo Toluca FC
Deportivo Toluca FC
Goalkeeper

L. Garcia

Defender

M. Isais

B. Mendez

A. Briseno

Midfielder

S. Cordova

S. Simon 75'

N. Castro

R. Angulo 75'

F. Arce

J. Diaz

Forward

Helinho

P. Perez 59'

O. Virgen

Missing players

Tigres UANL
Tigres UANL
Midfielder

C. Araujo

Deportivo Toluca FC
Deportivo Toluca FC

Most goals and assists

CD Huachipato Tigres UANL
CD Huachipato Deportivo Toluca FC
Top Goalscorer
Argentina J. Brunetta (8 Goals)
Top Goalscorer
Portugal Paulinho (6 Goals)
Best assists
Argentina A. Correa (8 Assists)
Best assists
Mexico J. Gallardo (4 Assists)

Tigres UANL - Deportivo Toluca FC Key Points

  1. Toluca defeated Tigres in the Apertura tournament final via penalties
  2. Toluca controlled 73% possession in their 3-1 victory over Santos
  3. Toluca completed all 599 passes in their last match
  4. Santos failed to register a single shot from outside the penalty area in their match against Toluca

Our Tigres UANL vs Deportivo Toluca FC Prediction

Toluca's veteran but highly effective Portuguese striker, Paulinho, returned to the starting lineup against Santos; he was joined in midfield by a formidable trio of Helinho, Angulo, and Castro.

Helinho completed 56 passes, including two crosses and four long passes; since the final in mid-December, he has had outstanding performances with Toluca, who could well deliver another upset to Tigres.

Our prediction for Tigres vs Toluca is: Toluca to win no draw bet.

Prediction:

 

Toluca to win no draw bet.

+120
$350 offered for betting!

All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.

Tigres UANL vs Deportivo Toluca FC Picks