Carolina Hurricanes vs Toronto Maple Leafs Prediction & Picks - NHL

USA - NHL

Carolina Hurricanes
11/9/25 19:00
Toronto Maple Leafs

Prediction:

 

Carolina Hurricanes wins both halves

-125
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 by Erik Gibbs | in NHL Picks

The Sunday matchup between the Carolina Hurricanes and the Toronto Maple Leafs is expected to be one of the most competitive early-season clashes in the NHL. Both teams are off to solid starts and have displayed the kind of consistency that suggests they'll be in the playoff picture come spring. Analysts predict a close game, but the consensus slightly favors the Hurricanes, who may have the defensive structure and balance to cover the puck line.

From a team perspective, this game is about two well-coached squads that approach success differently. The Hurricanes have earned a reputation as one of the league's most structured teams, built on disciplined forechecking, responsible play in their own zone, and strong puck possession. They've split their last ten games evenly at 5-5-0, but their underlying numbers suggest they've been controlling play more often than the scorelines show. Carolina's ability to roll four lines effectively and generate consistent offense from its blue line has kept them competitive despite a few injuries.

The Maple Leafs, also 5-5-0 in their last ten, have found ways to win even amid lineup challenges. Their offensive firepower remains among the best in the league, but their defensive depth has been tested early in the season. Toronto's style leans more toward aggressive, fast-paced offense, with an emphasis on quick transitions and shot generation. Despite that, their record against Carolina this season stands at 2-1-0, giving them confidence heading into this meeting. However, sustaining that momentum will be more difficult with several key players missing from the lineup.

Carolina Hurricanes vs Toronto Maple Leafs Form

Table

Teams Pts P W L GD
4
Carolina Hurricanes
Carolina Hurricanes
22 15 11 4 17
9
Toronto Maple Leafs
Toronto Maple Leafs
17 16 8 8 -1

Carolina Hurricanes and Toronto Maple Leafs Latest Matches

Carolina Hurricanes
Carolina Hurricanes Latest matches
L W L W W W
Victories

4/6 (67%)

Defeats

2/6 (33%)

Nov 8, 2025 - NHL

Buffalo Sabres
3 :  6
Carolina Hurricanes

Nov 6, 2025 - NHL

Minnesota Wild
3 :  4
Carolina Hurricanes

Nov 4, 2025 - NHL

Carolina Hurricanes
3 :  0
New York Rangers

Nov 1, 2025 - NHL

Carolina Hurricanes
1 :  2
Boston Bruins

Oct 30, 2025 - NHL

New York Islanders
2 :  6
Carolina Hurricanes

Oct 28, 2025 - NHL

Vegas Golden Knights
6 :  3
Carolina Hurricanes
W W L W W W
Victories

5/6 (83%)

Defeats

1/6 (17%)

Nov 8, 2025 - NHL

Buffalo Sabres
3 :  6
Carolina Hurricanes

Nov 6, 2025 - NHL

Minnesota Wild
3 :  4
Carolina Hurricanes

Oct 30, 2025 - NHL

New York Islanders
2 :  6
Carolina Hurricanes

Oct 28, 2025 - NHL

Vegas Golden Knights
6 :  3
Carolina Hurricanes

Oct 11, 2025 - NHL

Philadelphia Flyers
3 :  4
Carolina Hurricanes

Oct 9, 2025 - NHL

New Jersey Devils
3 :  6
Carolina Hurricanes
W L W L L W
Victories

3/6 (50%)

Defeats

3/6 (50%)

Nov 4, 2025 - NHL

Carolina Hurricanes
3 :  0
New York Rangers

Nov 1, 2025 - NHL

Carolina Hurricanes
1 :  2
Boston Bruins

Oct 25, 2025 - NHL

Carolina Hurricanes
2 :  3
Dallas Stars

Oct 23, 2025 - NHL

Carolina Hurricanes
5 :  4
Colorado Avalanche

Oct 20, 2025 - NHL

Carolina Hurricanes
1 :  4
Vegas Golden Knights

Oct 18, 2025 - NHL

Carolina Hurricanes
4 :  3
Los Angeles Kings
Toronto Maple Leafs
Toronto Maple Leafs Latest matches
W L W W W L
Victories

4/6 (67%)

Defeats

2/6 (33%)

Nov 8, 2025 - NHL

Boston Bruins
5 :  3
Toronto Maple Leafs

Nov 5, 2025 - NHL

Utah Mammoth
3 :  5
Toronto Maple Leafs

Nov 3, 2025 - NHL

Pittsburgh Penguins
3 :  4
Toronto Maple Leafs

Nov 1, 2025 - NHL

Toronto Maple Leafs
5 :  2
Philadelphia Flyers

Oct 29, 2025 - NHL

Toronto Maple Leafs
3 :  6
Columbus Blue Jackets

Oct 28, 2025 - NHL

Calgary Flames
3 :  4
Toronto Maple Leafs
L W W W W L
Victories

4/6 (67%)

Defeats

2/6 (33%)

Nov 8, 2025 - NHL

Boston Bruins
5 :  3
Toronto Maple Leafs

Nov 5, 2025 - NHL

Utah Mammoth
3 :  5
Toronto Maple Leafs

Nov 3, 2025 - NHL

Pittsburgh Penguins
3 :  4
Toronto Maple Leafs

Oct 28, 2025 - NHL

Calgary Flames
3 :  4
Toronto Maple Leafs

Oct 25, 2025 - NHL

Buffalo Sabres
3 :  4
Toronto Maple Leafs

Oct 21, 2025 - NHL

New Jersey Devils
5 :  2
Toronto Maple Leafs
L W L L L W
Victories

2/6 (33%)

Defeats

4/6 (67%)

Nov 1, 2025 - NHL

Toronto Maple Leafs
5 :  2
Philadelphia Flyers

Oct 29, 2025 - NHL

Toronto Maple Leafs
3 :  6
Columbus Blue Jackets

Oct 24, 2025 - NHL

Toronto Maple Leafs
3 :  5
Buffalo Sabres

Oct 11, 2025 - NHL

Toronto Maple Leafs
3 :  6
Detroit Red Wings

May 16, 2025 - NHL

Toronto Maple Leafs
2 :  0
Florida Panthers

May 11, 2025 - NHL

Toronto Maple Leafs
0 :  2
Florida Panthers

Carolina Hurricanes against Toronto Maple Leafs : Head to Head (H2H)

Carolina Hurricanes

67 %

Toronto Maple Leafs

33 %

Apr 13, 2025 - NHL

Toronto Maple Leafs
4 :  1
Carolina Hurricanes

Feb 22, 2025 - NHL

Carolina Hurricanes
3 :  6
Toronto Maple Leafs

Jan 9, 2025 - NHL

Toronto Maple Leafs
3 :  6
Carolina Hurricanes

Mar 24, 2024 - NHL

Toronto Maple Leafs
1 :  2
Carolina Hurricanes

Mar 16, 2024 - NHL

Carolina Hurricanes
5 :  4
Toronto Maple Leafs

Dec 30, 2023 - NHL

Carolina Hurricanes
3 :  2
Toronto Maple Leafs

Carolina Hurricanes - Toronto Maple Leafs Key Points

  1. The Canes are 2-3 ATS in their last 5 games
  2. The Maple Leafs are 2-3 ATS in their last 5 games
  3. The Over is 3-2 in the Canes' last 5 games
  4. The Over is 5-0 in the Maple Leafs' last 5 games

Our Carolina Hurricanes vs Toronto Maple Leafs Prediction

Player availability and performance will play a major role in shaping this matchup. The Maple Leafs are dealing with significant injuries to two core players—Mitch Marner and Chris Tanev. Marner's absence removes one of Toronto's most dynamic offensive catalysts and power-play quarterbacks. His chemistry with Auston Matthews and William Nylander is hard to replace, and it forces the Leafs to rely heavily on depth scorers. On defense, Tanev's injury leaves a leadership void and weakens Toronto's penalty-killing unit, both of which could become factors against a patient Hurricanes attack.

The Hurricanes have a few injury concerns of their own, with Jalen Chatfield and Eric Robinson sidelined. However, their depth has allowed them to absorb those losses without major disruption. The recent waiver claim of goaltender Cayden Primeau from the Maple Leafs adds an intriguing twist—Primeau's familiarity with Toronto's shooters could benefit Carolina's preparation. Combined with the Hurricanes' typically strong defensive rotation and steady goaltending tandem, they appear better positioned to handle the current injury toll.

In short, both teams bring strong systems and capable lineups, but the Hurricanes have the edge in depth and defensive cohesion. If Toronto's stars can overcome the absence of Marner and Tanev, they'll keep it close, but Carolina's structure and healthier roster make them the safer pick to edge out a narrow home victory. Our prediction for Toronto Maple Leafs vs. Carolina Hurricanes: Hurricanes to win.

Prediction:

 

Carolina Hurricanes wins both halves

-125
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Carolina Hurricanes vs Toronto Maple Leafs Picks